Big 12 · 2026

TCU Horned Frogs

Head coach Sonny Dykes · Amon G. Carter Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#40
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.3
66th in FBS
Defense
+3.8
21st in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.5
119th toughest
Projected
6.4-5.6
bowl-eligible 69%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.2 now, +2.7 preseason · down 4 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#40

Final record odds

6.4-5.6 expected · most likely 6-6 (22%)
2-103-910%4-817%5-722%6-621%7-515%8-48%9-310-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs73North CarolinaNEUTRALL 10–15-6.1—ESPN
2Sep 12vsGrambling FCSW 63–7+8.0—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs112Arkansas StateW 31–7+15.0—ESPNU
4Sep 26@41UCFCONFUCF −2.7 · o/u 43.9—43%FS1
5Oct 3vs15BYUCONFBYU −2.0 · o/u 46.9—45%
6—Bye
7Oct 17@49BaylorCONFBaylor −1.4 · o/u 45.3—46%
8Oct 24vs53West VirginiaCONFTCU −4.8 · o/u 49.7—62%
9Oct 31vs83KansasCONFTCU −9.6 · o/u 46.6—74%
10Nov 6@44ArizonaCONFArizona −2.0 · o/u 45.2—45%ESPN
11Nov 14vs22Kansas StateCONFKansas State −0.2 · o/u 48.4—49%
12Nov 21vs9UtahCONFUtah −3.7 · o/u 46.4—40%
13Nov 26@26Texas TechCONFTexas Tech −5.2 · o/u 45.2—37%ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.21258th-0.08223rd
Success rate45.8%51st36.8%43rd
Explosiveness1.30055th1.04210th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.5%45th36.3%37th
Rushing success rate45.3%70th34.4%33rd
Passing success rate47.8%46th37.8%56th
Explosive run rate11.6%100th9.4%33rd
Explosive pass rate17.4%17th10.7%90th
Line yards / carry3.1868th2.7753rd
Opportunity rate37.9%82nd32.8%44th
Stuff rate14.7%60th18.8%66th
Sack rate4.4%69th8.5%19th
3rd-down conversion40.5%84th23.5%9th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%59th37.5%21st
Havoc rate8.1%14th17.1%31st
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.755th9.79th
Yards / game475.031st264.324th
Yards / play6.6930th4.6446th
Pass yards / game301.022nd185.052nd
Yards / pass att.9.7017th7.2188th
Completion %69.9%31st53.3%15th
Rush yards / game174.056th79.319th
Yards / carry4.5067th2.7421st
3rd-down conv. %43.2%62nd23.1%9th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6770th2.3337th
Penalty yards / game61.792nd28.0131st

Roster

100 players · Head coach Sonny Dykes

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Jaden CraigQBSR6' 3"225Montclair, NJ
6Jayden MaplesQBFR6' 1"200Frisco, TX
9Jack DaultonQBFR6' 2"195The Woodlands, TX
11Adam SchobelQBSO6' 5"210Columbus, TX
12David PotterQBSO6' 4"220Texarkana, TX
2Jon DenmanRBSO5' 10"215Palestine, TX
20G'Ivori GrahamRBFR5' 9"190San Antonio, TX
23Amante MartinRBFR5' 11"205Port Arthur, TX
24Joe PitchfordRBJR6' 2"210Liberty Hill, TX
26Jeremy PayneRBJR5' 10"180Missouri City, TX
29Joseph HagmanRBSR6' 0"215Westlake, TX
31Jacob MartinezRBSO5' 8"195Prosper, TX
0Dozie EzukanmaWRJR6' 3"190Keller, TX
3Major EverhartWRSR5' 11"180Amarillo, TX
6Jeremy ScottWRJR6' 3"205Jackson, MS
7Jordan DwyerWRSR6' 0"190Puyallup, WA
13James ScottWRFR6' 5"230Houston, TX
14Khamill PruittWRFR6' 1"180Arlington, TX
15Terry SheltonWRSO6' 4"205Fort Worth, TX
17Dane JonesWRSO6' 0"190Missouri City, TX
18Ed SmallWRSO6' 0"205Austin, TX
22Fletcher FierroWRJR6' 1"195Heath, TX
80Jacobe HayesWRSO5' 10"175Dallas, TX
83Keagan CunninghamWRSR6' 2"180Denton, TX
84Cooper ReidWRFR6' 4"195Dripping Springs, TX
86Sutton LeeWRSR5' 10"175Denton, TX
10Mason PetersonTESO6' 4"245Dickinson, TX
12Lafayette KaiuwayTESR6' 6"260Arlington, TX
81Kari AshleyTESR6' 4"225Marietta, GA
88Ka'Morreun PimptonTESR6' 6"250Fort Worth, TX
89Braden BachTEFR6' 5"240Argyle, TX
51Devan RobisonOLFR6' 3"305Houston, TX
55Samir CamachoOLJR6' 4"295Houston, TX
58Noah McKinneyOLSR6' 4"325Annapolis, MD
59Jaheim BuchanonOLSR6' 4"300Fort Myers, FL
60Cade BennettOLSR6' 4"310Scottsdale, AZ
61Dylan KinneyOLSR6' 3"315Richmond, TX
62Jordan BurnettOLFR6' 4"325Missouri City, TX
64Jacob AhumadaOLSR6' 1"315Gilroy, CA
65Logan SchramOLSO6' 6"325Boerne, TX
66Wesley HarveyOLJR6' 8"305Muskogee, OK
69Gannon GaubertOLSR6' 1"315Dallas, TX
70Ryan HughesOLJR6' 6"320The Woodlands, TX
71Creece BristerOLSO6' 5"315Stephenville, TX
72Jackson JonesOLSO6' 7"310Franklinton, LA
73Kilian RegisteOLSO6' 6"300Keller, TX
74Vincent Johnson Jr.OLFR6' 5"330Sulphur Springs, TX
77Cooper PowersOLSR6' 5"310Danville, CA
34Perry Cole Jr.DTJR6' 3"310Palestine, TX
35Tristan JohnsonDTJR6' 3"295Hurst, TX
52Blake RobinettDTSO6' 4"280Fort Worth, TX
90Kelten MickellDTSR6' 2"295Petal, MS
91Floyd GuidryDTSO6' 2"285Spring, TX
92Ansel Din-MbuhDTSR6' 3"300Aledo, TX
95Markis DealDTSR6' 5"320El Paso, TX
96Maddox FlyntDTFR6' 2"285Austin, TX
0Zach ChapmanLBSR6' 5"265Missouri City, TX
3Max CarrollLBSR6' 3"230Memphis, TN
11Michael ShortLBSR6' 3"235Charlotte, NC
14John SchobelLBSO6' 5"245Columbus, TX
16Koron HaywardLBSR6' 5"245Jacksonville, FL
19Jesse FordLBFR6' 5"255Arlington, TX
23Keylan AbramsLBSO6' 2"215Desoto, TX
31Noriel DominguezLBFR6' 2"240Miami, FL
32Dillon ArkansasLBSO6' 1"210Denton, TX
36Cheta OfiliLBJR6' 4"245Rowlett, TX
37Hudson HooperLBSR6' 2"235Cypress, TX
38Zion JunkLBSO6' 0"210Halawa, HI
40Oliver GunnLBFR6' 1"235La Grange, TX
41Caleb CortezLBSR6' 0"225Celina, TX
44Sam HaleyLBSO6' 3"230Nashville, TN
46Rhett SteppeLBJR6' 2"230Austin, TX
49Anders CornLBSO6' 2"230Dallas, TX
94Jared MartinLBSO6' 3"240El Centro, CA
97Paul OyewaleLBSR6' 4"265Houston, TX
98Carter BuckLBFR6' 6"255Austin, TX
1Vernon Glover Jr.CBSR6' 1"195Dickinson, TX
4Gil Jackson Jr.CBSO6' 3"195Richmond, TX
12Kalen CarrollCBSR6' 1"185Indianapolis, IN
16Brock KingCBFR5' 11"180Beaumont, TX
17Devondre McGeeCBJR6' 2"190Hearne, TX
21Teon ParksCBSR6' 1"180Detroit, MI
26Deon MaysCBSO6' 1"185Arlington, TX
30Max RankinCBSO5' 10"190La Mirada, CA
2Jamel JohnsonSSR6' 1"205Arlington, TX
6Kylin JacksonSSR6' 3"200Clinton, LA
7Julius SimmsSSO6' 2"205Whitehouse, TX
15Devyn HidrogoSJR6' 0"205Franklin, TX
18Kaden McFaddenSJR5' 11"200Texarkana, TX
22Jordan LesterSSR6' 2"190Mesquite, TX
24Joseph AlbrightSSO5' 11"180Houston, TX
29Jason BradfordSFR6' 2"200Temple, TX
39Jack PitchfordSFR5' 11"185Liberty Hill, TX
42Sebastian PetersonSJR6' 0"185Anaheim, CA
34Kyle LemmermannPKJR6' 2"190Southlake, TX
41Sam BisesiPKJR6' 1"185New Canaan, CT
99Nate McCashlandPKSR5' 10"175Lincoln, NE
48John Hoyet ChancePJR6' 1"205Shreveport, LA
97Easton BlackPSR6' 3"200Peoria, AZ
54Aaron BowersLSSR6' 3"215Hurst, TX

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →