Big 12 · 2021 · Final

TCU Horned Frogs 2021

5-73-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#83
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-2.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.5
51st in FBS
Defense
-4.4
108th in FBS
Schedule
+1.7
24th toughest
Preseason
+2.6
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.8 now, +2.6 preseason · down 51 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#85

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vsDuquesne FCSW 45–3+8.7—BIG12|ESPN+
2Sep 11vs77CaliforniaW 34–32-1.8—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 25vs34SMUL 34–42-4.7—FS1
5Oct 2vs45TexasCONFL 27–32-2.8—ABC
6Oct 9@68Texas TechCONFW 52–31+23.2—ESPN
7Oct 16@10OklahomaCONFL 31–52-8.7—ABC
8Oct 23vs65West VirginiaCONFL 17–29-13.4—ESPNU
9Oct 30@38Kansas StateCONFL 12–31-11.5—ESPNU
10Nov 6vs12BaylorCONFW 30–28+9.4—FOX
11Nov 13@7Oklahoma StateCONFL 17–63-18.3—FOX
12Nov 20vs123KansasCONFW 31–28-13.5—BIG12|ESPN+
13Nov 26@17Iowa StateCONFL 14–48-17.0—FS1

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.2%47th49.0%118th
Rushing success rate48.9%32nd51.0%117th
Passing success rate42.8%71st46.5%104th
Explosive run rate16.1%44th17.2%106th
Explosive pass rate13.9%13th14.8%125th
Line yards / carry3.3631st3.52117th
Opportunity rate44.3%17th41.6%100th
Stuff rate14.5%46th11.5%120th
Sack rate7.3%90th4.2%109th
3rd-down conversion49.4%7th45.0%104th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%110th60.4%69th
Havoc rate9.2%80th6.5%113th
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.766th34.9116th
Yards / game430.741st461.8119th
Yards / play6.3713th7.08127th
Pass yards / game236.564th230.392nd
Yards / pass att.9.158th9.34126th
Completion %64.5%33rd64.3%99th
Rush yards / game194.231st222.0122nd
Yards / carry4.9332nd5.79124th
3rd-down conv. %45.8%16th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3357th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3375th1.25121st
Penalty yards / game61.498th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →