The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 31Louisiana | W 38–18 | +24.1 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 25Arkansas | L 21–40 | -9.3 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 113Rice | W 58–0 | +23.5 | — | LHN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 68Texas TechCONF | W 70–35 | +25.5 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 83TCUCONF | W 32–27 | +4.5 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 10OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | L 48–55 | +3.0 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 7Oklahoma StateCONF | L 24–32 | +0.8 | — | FOX |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 12BaylorCONF | L 24–31 | +5.0 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 17Iowa StateCONF | L 7–30 | -12.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 123KansasCONF | L 56–57 | -17.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 65West VirginiaCONF | L 23–31 | -4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 38Kansas StateCONF | W 22–17 | +7.8 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.0% | 38th | 47.4% | 103rd |
| Rushing success rate | 49.5% | 30th | 47.8% | 96th |
| Passing success rate | 44.3% | 54th | 47.0% | 110th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 81st | 15.5% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 72nd | 9.5% | 39th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.53 | 15th | 3.17 | 79th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.1% | 22nd | 41.7% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 11.8% | 14th | 18.4% | 37th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 77th | 4.3% | 104th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.9% | 23rd | 44.2% | 99th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.2% | 10th | 57.8% | 54th |
| Havoc rate | 7.6% | 33rd | 8.3% | 83rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.3 | 21st | 31.1 | 96th |
| Yards / game | 424.8 | 48th | 425.6 | 99th |
| Yards / play | 6.15 | 34th | 5.90 | 103rd |
| Pass yards / game | 225.4 | 72nd | 213.8 | 67th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.82 | 51st | 7.15 | 55th |
| Completion % | 62.7% | 54th | 67.5% | 125th |
| Rush yards / game | 199.3 | 26th | 201.6 | 114th |
| Yards / carry | 5.23 | 16th | 5.15 | 114th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.8% | 31st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 68th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 62nd | 1.67 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.3 | 46th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hudson Card | QB | ||||
| 11 | Casey Thompson | QB | ||||
| 2 | Roschon Johnson | RB | ||||
| 5 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ||||
| 7 | Keilan Robinson | RB | ||||
| 24 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | ||||
| 33 | Gabriel Watson | RB | ||||
| 4 | Jordan Whittington | WR | ||||
| 6 | Joshua Moore | WR | ||||
| 8 | Xavier Worthy | WR | ||||
| 15 | Marcus Washington | WR | ||||
| 16 | Moochie Dixon | WR | ||||
| 83 | Kai Money | WR | ||||
| 3 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | ||||
| 18 | Jared Wiley | TE | ||||
| 48 | Patrick Bayouth | TE | ||||
| 80 | Cade Brewer | TE | ||||
| 81 | Juan Davis | TE | ||||
| 32 | Prince Dorbah | DL | ||||
| 18 | Ovie Oghoufo | DE | ||||
| 40 | Ayodele Adeoye | DE | ||||
| 98 | Moro Ojomo | DE | ||||
| 45 | Vernon Broughton | DT | ||||
| 90 | Byron Murphy II | DT | ||||
| 90 | Myron Warren | DT | ||||
| 93 | T'Vondre Sweat | DT | ||||
| 95 | Alfred Collins | DT | ||||
| 99 | Keondre Coburn | DT | ||||
| 99 | Sawyer Goram-Welch | NT | ||||
| 0 | DeMarvion Overshown | LB | ||||
| 3 | Jacoby Jones | LB | ||||
| 6 | Ben Davis | LB | ||||
| 11 | D.J. Harris | LB | ||||
| 30 | Devin Richardson | LB | ||||
| 33 | David Gbenda | LB | ||||
| 37 | Morice Blackwell Jr. | LB | ||||
| 41 | Jaylan Ford | LB | ||||
| 43 | Jett Bush | LB | ||||
| 47 | Luke Brockermeyer | LB | ||||
| 4 | Darion Dunn | DB | ||||
| 25 | B.J. Foster | DB | ||||
| 45 | Jamier Johnson | DB | ||||
| 5 | D'Shawn Jamison | CB | ||||
| 9 | Josh Thompson | CB | ||||
| 23 | Jahdae Barron | CB | ||||
| 1 | Chris Adimora | S | ||||
| 11 | Anthony Cook | S | ||||
| 27 | JD Coffey III | S | ||||
| 28 | Jerrin Thompson | S | ||||
| 44 | Tyler Owens | S | ||||
| 17 | Cameron Dicker | PK | ||||
| 45 | Bert Auburn | PK | ||||
| 14 | Brenden Schooler | DEF | ||||
| 46 | Ray Thornton | DEF | ||||
| 88 | Barryn Sorrell | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →