Big 12 · 2021 · Final

Baylor Bears 2021

12-27-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#12
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+9.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
48th in FBS
Defense
+7.8
7th in FBS
Schedule
+1.3
30th toughest
Preseason
-1.1
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+9.7 now, -1.1 preseason · up 66 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#13

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4@116Texas StateW 29–20+0.1—ESPN+
2Sep 11vsTexas Southern FCSW 66–7+14.7—BIG12|ESPN+
3Sep 18@123KansasCONFW 45–7+17.0—BIG12|ESPN+
4Sep 25vs17Iowa StateCONFW 31–29+7.9—FOX
5Oct 2@7Oklahoma StateCONFL 14–24+3.4—ESPN2
6Oct 9vs65West VirginiaCONFW 45–20+22.9—FS1
7Oct 16vs26BYUW 38–24+18.8—ESPN
8—Bye
9Oct 30vs45TexasCONFW 31–24+9.2—ABC
10Nov 6@83TCUCONFL 28–30-2.5—FOX
11Nov 13vs10OklahomaCONFW 27–14+20.7—FOX
12Nov 20@38Kansas StateCONFW 20–10+17.5—FS1
13Nov 27vs68Texas TechCONFW 27–24+0.6—FS1
14Dec 4vs7Oklahoma StateNEUTRALW 21–16+16.1—ABC
BowlsJan 1vs24Ole MissNEUTRALW 21–7+21.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.6%41st39.4%22nd
Rushing success rate47.9%43rd37.8%8th
Passing success rate44.8%48th40.8%57th
Explosive run rate18.3%20th12.8%38th
Explosive pass rate13.0%27th10.9%75th
Line yards / carry3.4221st2.9030th
Opportunity rate43.9%24th32.8%11th
Stuff rate15.2%55th15.2%81st
Sack rate4.2%20th8.8%14th
3rd-down conversion44.7%32nd36.8%34th
Red-zone TD rate76.0%5th55.6%46th
Havoc rate7.7%37th10.6%28th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.642nd18.310th
Yards / game422.453rd347.638th
Yards / play6.1927th5.1144th
Pass yards / game203.192nd213.565th
Yards / pass att.7.7955th7.3471st
Completion %64.9%26th60.9%71st
Rush yards / game219.310th116.816th
Yards / carry5.3710th3.4317th
3rd-down conv. %42.1%47th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0733rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2914th2.4650th
Penalty yards / game48.447th——

Players

56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

56 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →