The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 116Texas State | W 29–20 | +0.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Texas Southern FCS | W 66–7 | +14.7 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 123KansasCONF | W 45–7 | +17.0 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 17Iowa StateCONF | W 31–29 | +7.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 7Oklahoma StateCONF | L 14–24 | +3.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 65West VirginiaCONF | W 45–20 | +22.9 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 26BYU | W 38–24 | +18.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 45TexasCONF | W 31–24 | +9.2 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 83TCUCONF | L 28–30 | -2.5 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 10OklahomaCONF | W 27–14 | +20.7 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 38Kansas StateCONF | W 20–10 | +17.5 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 68Texas TechCONF | W 27–24 | +0.6 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 7Oklahoma StateNEUTRAL | W 21–16 | +16.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 24Ole MissNEUTRAL | W 21–7 | +21.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 41st | 39.4% | 22nd |
| Rushing success rate | 47.9% | 43rd | 37.8% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 44.8% | 48th | 40.8% | 57th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.3% | 20th | 12.8% | 38th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.0% | 27th | 10.9% | 75th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 21st | 2.90 | 30th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.9% | 24th | 32.8% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 15.2% | 55th | 15.2% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 20th | 8.8% | 14th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 32nd | 36.8% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.0% | 5th | 55.6% | 46th |
| Havoc rate | 7.7% | 37th | 10.6% | 28th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.6 | 42nd | 18.3 | 10th |
| Yards / game | 422.4 | 53rd | 347.6 | 38th |
| Yards / play | 6.19 | 27th | 5.11 | 44th |
| Pass yards / game | 203.1 | 92nd | 213.5 | 65th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.79 | 55th | 7.34 | 71st |
| Completion % | 64.9% | 26th | 60.9% | 71st |
| Rush yards / game | 219.3 | 10th | 116.8 | 16th |
| Yards / carry | 5.37 | 10th | 3.43 | 17th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 47th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 33rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 14th | 2.46 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.4 | 47th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gerry Bohanon | QB | ||||
| 12 | Blake Shapen | QB | ||||
| 14 | Jacob Zeno | QB | ||||
| 18 | Brandon Bass | QB | ||||
| 1 | Trestan Ebner | RB | ||||
| 6 | Rory Walling | RB | ||||
| 20 | Craig Williams | RB | ||||
| 22 | Taye McWilliams | RB | ||||
| 25 | Jacoby Clarke | RB | ||||
| 28 | Abram Smith | RB | ||||
| 0 | R.J. Sneed II | WR | ||||
| 9 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | ||||
| 16 | Hal Presley III | WR | ||||
| 18 | Drew Estrada | WR | ||||
| 21 | Joshua Fleeks | WR | ||||
| 80 | Monaray Baldwin | WR | ||||
| 84 | Jaylen Ellis | WR | ||||
| 43 | Gavin Yates | TE | ||||
| 86 | Ben Sims | TE | ||||
| 89 | Drake Dabney | TE | ||||
| 63 | Grant Miller | OL | ||||
| 9 | TJ Franklin | DL | ||||
| 45 | Taurus Simmons | DL | ||||
| 54 | Brayden Utley | DL | ||||
| 90 | Josh Landry | DL | ||||
| 91 | Rob Saulin | DL | ||||
| 96 | Cole Maxwell | DL | ||||
| 98 | Chidi Ogbonnaya | DL | ||||
| 42 | Victor Obi | DE | ||||
| 62 | Siaki Ika | DT | ||||
| 95 | Gabe Hall | DT | ||||
| 2 | Terrel Bernard | LB | ||||
| 33 | Will Williams | LB | ||||
| 34 | Ashton Logan | LB | ||||
| 41 | Brooks Miller | LB | ||||
| 44 | Dillon Doyle | LB | ||||
| 52 | Matt Jones | LB | ||||
| 13 | Alfahiym Walcott | DB | ||||
| 19 | A.J. McCarty | DB | ||||
| 12 | Kalon Barnes | CB | ||||
| 18 | Lorando Johnson | CB | ||||
| 23 | Zeke Brown | CB | ||||
| 25 | Byron Hanspard Jr. | CB | ||||
| 37 | Mark Milton | CB | ||||
| 4 | Christian Morgan | S | ||||
| 7 | Bryson Jackson | S | ||||
| 8 | Jalen Pitre | S | ||||
| 20 | Devin Lemear | S | ||||
| 22 | JT Woods | S | ||||
| 27 | Devin Neal Jr. | S | ||||
| 98 | Isaiah Hankins | PK | ||||
| 43 | Issac Power | P | ||||
| 3 | Raleigh Texada | DEF | ||||
| 42 | Jairon McVea | DEF | ||||
| 55 | Garmon Randolph | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →