Pac-12 · 2021 · Final

California Golden Bears 2021

5-74-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#77
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-1.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.6
104th in FBS
Defense
+3.2
33rd in FBS
Schedule
-2.7
90th toughest
Preseason
-2.0
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.5 now, -2.0 preseason · up 12 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#76

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vs46NevadaL 17–22-2.8—FS1
2Sep 11@83TCUL 32–34-2.5—ESPNU
3Sep 18vsSacramento State FCSW 42–30-9.6—
4Sep 25@89WashingtonCONFL 24–31-8.4—PACN
5Oct 2vs64Washington StateCONFL 6–21-15.8—PACN
6—Bye
7Oct 15@48OregonCONFL 17–24-0.4—ESPN
8Oct 23vs104ColoradoCONFW 26–3+14.2—PACN
9Oct 30vs57Oregon StateCONFW 39–25+14.2—PACN
10Nov 6@119ArizonaCONFL 3–10-16.4—PACN
11Nov 13vs74USCCONFCalifornia −2.2 · o/u 51.6—56%
12Nov 20@106StanfordCONFW 41–11+21.8—PACN
13Nov 27@30UCLACONFL 14–42-16.7—FS1
14Dec 4vs74USCCONFW 24–14+6.3—FS1

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.6%65th43.5%66th
Rushing success rate50.4%24th46.8%89th
Passing success rate39.4%94th40.6%53rd
Explosive run rate17.5%25th15.1%76th
Explosive pass rate10.9%64th9.2%29th
Line yards / carry3.5510th3.39107th
Opportunity rate46.0%9th41.3%99th
Stuff rate11.8%14th12.5%113th
Sack rate6.9%84th4.8%95th
3rd-down conversion44.2%41st49.4%123rd
Red-zone TD rate61.1%63rd57.1%53rd
Havoc rate7.3%25th6.7%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.995th22.434th
Yards / game385.876th366.753rd
Yards / play5.7262nd5.1646th
Pass yards / game221.675th215.370th
Yards / pass att.6.9693rd6.7027th
Completion %61.5%62nd58.9%46th
Rush yards / game164.261st137.244th
Yards / carry4.9034th3.9458th
3rd-down conv. %40.7%59th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.838th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0857th2.0077th
Penalty yards / game57.885th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →