Big 12 · 2015 · Final

TCU Horned Frogs 2015

11-27-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#15
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+10.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.4
11th in FBS
Defense
+2.4
49th in FBS
Schedule
-0.6
62nd toughest
Preseason
+9.4
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+10.7 now, +9.4 preseason · down 12 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#15

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@68MinnesotaW 23–17+8.6—ESPN
2Sep 12vsStephen F Austin FCSW 70–7+14.1—FS1
3Sep 19vs119SMUW 56–37+2.4—FOXNET
4Sep 26@66Texas TechCONFW 55–52+6.2—FOX
5Oct 3vs70TexasCONFW 50–7+28.1—ABC
6Oct 10@67Kansas StateCONFW 52–45+9.9—FOX
7Oct 17@89Iowa StateCONFW 45–21+22.0—ESPN2
8—Bye
9Oct 29vs37West VirginiaCONFW 40–10+29.8—FS1
10Nov 7@40Oklahoma StateCONFL 29–49-12.0—FOX
11Nov 14vs126KansasCONFW 23–17-14.3—FS1
12Nov 21@3OklahomaCONFL 29–30+17.3—ABC
13Nov 27vs7BaylorCONFW 28–21+17.1—ESPN
BowlsJan 2vs25OregonNEUTRALW 47–41+14.6—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.5%17th37.3%19th
Rushing success rate48.5%19th41.6%50th
Passing success rate46.6%22nd32.5%6th
Explosive run rate14.3%74th14.4%67th
Explosive pass rate13.5%20th10.5%70th
Line yards / carry3.1923rd3.1397th
Opportunity rate43.2%16th37.4%56th
Stuff rate18.1%48th14.4%117th
Sack rate3.3%17th7.0%29th
3rd-down conversion42.6%50th29.4%6th
Red-zone TD rate67.3%34th64.3%80th
Havoc rate9.9%17th10.5%112th
Box score · season totals
Points / game42.113th27.249th
Yards / game562.93rd——
Yards / play6.6812th——
Pass yards / game347.58th——
Yards / pass att.8.7419th——
Completion %63.1%24th——
Rush yards / game215.424th——
Yards / carry4.9928th——
3rd-down conv. %43.2%33rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3827th——
Penalty yards / game70.9120th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →