The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Eastern Washington FCS | W 61–42 | -4.5 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 13Michigan State | L 28–31 | +10.6 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 98Georgia State | W 61–28 | +17.0 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 22UtahCONF | L 20–62 | -23.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 85ColoradoCONF | W 41–24 | +15.5 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 56Washington StateCONF | L 38–45 | -6.4 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 21WashingtonCONF | W 26–20 | +17.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 50Arizona StateCONF | W 61–55 | +12.2 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 36CaliforniaCONF | W 44–28 | +20.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 5StanfordCONF | W 38–36 | +19.3 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 18USCCONF | W 48–28 | +27.6 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 103Oregon StateCONF | W 52–42 | -1.9 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 15TCUNEUTRAL | L 41–47 | +4.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.7% | 10th | 47.2% | 111th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.9% | 11th | 49.5% | 118th |
| Passing success rate | 48.0% | 13th | 45.6% | 108th |
| Explosive run rate | 22.6% | 2nd | 16.1% | 92nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.6% | 6th | 10.1% | 61st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.49 | 6th | 3.17 | 101st |
| Opportunity rate | 44.9% | 10th | 41.7% | 105th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 17th | 17.3% | 89th |
| Sack rate | 8.7% | 112th | 6.1% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.5% | 80th | 42.0% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.6% | 51st | 68.9% | 97th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 40th | 11.3% | 90th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 43.0 | 9th | 37.5 | 99th |
| Yards / game | 538.2 | 5th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.78 | 7th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 258.3 | 36th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.96 | 11th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 26th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 279.9 | 5th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.89 | 5th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.9% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 111th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.0 | 94th | — | — |
50 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vernon Adams Jr. | QB | ||||
| 12 | Taylor Alie | QB | ||||
| 17 | Jeff Lockie | QB | ||||
| 5 | Taj Griffin | RB | ||||
| 20 | Tony Brooks-James | RB | ||||
| 21 | Royce Freeman | RB | ||||
| 29 | Kani Benoit | RB | ||||
| 37 | J.J. Jones | RB | ||||
| 2 | Bralon Addison | WR | ||||
| 6 | Charles Nelson | WR | ||||
| 7 | Darren Carrington | WR | ||||
| 9 | Byron Marshall | WR | ||||
| 11 | Kirk Merritt | WR | ||||
| 13 | Devon Allen | WR | ||||
| 15 | Jalen Brown | WR | ||||
| 82 | Zac Schuller | WR | ||||
| 88 | Dwayne Stanford | WR | ||||
| 81 | Evan Baylis | TE | ||||
| 83 | Johnny Mundt | TE | ||||
| 64 | Tyler Johnstone | OT | ||||
| 32 | Eddie Heard | DL | ||||
| 55 | Tui Talia | DL | ||||
| 92 | Henry Mondeaux | DL | ||||
| 44 | DeForest Buckner | DE | ||||
| 97 | Jalen Jelks | DE | ||||
| 56 | Alex Balducci | DT | ||||
| 18 | Jimmie Swain | LB | ||||
| 28 | Johnny Ragin III | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tyson Coleman | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Walker | LB | ||||
| 39 | Kaulana Apelu | LB | ||||
| 46 | Danny Mattingly | LB | ||||
| 48 | Rodney Hardrick | LB | ||||
| 54 | Nate DeRider | LB | ||||
| 54 | De'Quan McDowell | LB | ||||
| 86 | Torrodney Prevot | LB | ||||
| 96 | Christian French | LB | ||||
| 8 | Reggie Daniels | DB | ||||
| 25 | Glen Ihenacho | DB | ||||
| 26 | Khalil Oliver | DB | ||||
| 1 | Arrion Springs | CB | ||||
| 3 | Tyree Robinson | CB | ||||
| 12 | Chris Seisay | CB | ||||
| 14 | Ugo Amadi | S | ||||
| 17 | Juwaan Williams | S | ||||
| 19 | Fotu T. Leiato II | S | ||||
| 41 | Aidan Schneider | PK | ||||
| 49 | Matt Wogan | PK | ||||
| 38 | Ian Wheeler | P | ||||
| 36 | Ryan Navarro | LS |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →