Pac-12 · 2015 · Final

Oregon Ducks 2015

9-47-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#25
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+8.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+14.7
1st in FBS
Defense
-6.1
111th in FBS
Schedule
+2.7
23rd toughest
Preseason
+10.2
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+8.6 now, +10.2 preseason · down 22 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#24

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsEastern Washington FCSW 61–42-4.5—PACN
2Sep 12@13Michigan StateL 28–31+10.6—ABC
3Sep 19vs98Georgia StateW 61–28+17.0—PACN
4Sep 26vs22UtahCONFL 20–62-23.9—FOX
5Oct 3@85ColoradoCONFW 41–24+15.5—ESPN
6Oct 10vs56Washington StateCONFL 38–45-6.4—PACN
7Oct 17@21WashingtonCONFW 26–20+17.3—ESPN2
8—Bye
9Oct 29@50Arizona StateCONFW 61–55+12.2—ESPN
10Nov 7vs36CaliforniaCONFW 44–28+20.2—ESPN2
11Nov 14@5StanfordCONFW 38–36+19.3—FOX
12Nov 21vs18USCCONFW 48–28+27.6—ESPN
13Nov 27vs103Oregon StateCONFW 52–42-1.9—FS1
BowlsJan 2vs15TCUNEUTRALL 41–47+4.7—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.7%10th47.2%111th
Rushing success rate50.9%11th49.5%118th
Passing success rate48.0%13th45.6%108th
Explosive run rate22.6%2nd16.1%92nd
Explosive pass rate15.6%6th10.1%61st
Line yards / carry3.496th3.17101st
Opportunity rate44.9%10th41.7%105th
Stuff rate15.3%17th17.3%89th
Sack rate8.7%112th6.1%49th
3rd-down conversion39.5%80th42.0%75th
Red-zone TD rate64.6%51st68.9%97th
Havoc rate11.0%40th11.3%90th
Box score · season totals
Points / game43.09th37.599th
Yards / game538.25th——
Yards / play6.787th——
Pass yards / game258.336th——
Yards / pass att.8.9611th——
Completion %62.9%26th——
Rush yards / game279.95th——
Yards / carry5.895th——
3rd-down conv. %38.9%70th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.00111th——
Penalty yards / game61.094th——

Players

50 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

50 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →