Pac-12 · 2015 · Final

California Golden Bears 2015

8-54-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#36
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+6.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+9.0
7th in FBS
Defense
-2.4
87th in FBS
Schedule
+3.3
13th toughest
Preseason
-0.4
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+6.6 now, -0.4 preseason · up 37 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#36

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsGrambling State FCSW 73–14+12.7—PACN
2Sep 12vs38San Diego StateW 35–7+28.8—PACN
3Sep 19@70TexasW 45–44+3.4—FOX
4Sep 26@21WashingtonCONFW 30–24+17.3—PACN
5Oct 3vs56Washington StateCONFW 34–28+6.6—PACN
6Oct 10@22UtahCONFL 24–30+5.3—ESPN
7—Bye
8Oct 22@29UCLACONFL 24–40-6.5—ESPN
9Oct 31vs18USCCONFL 21–27+1.6—FOX
10Nov 7@25OregonCONFL 28–44-4.9—ESPN2
11Nov 14vs103Oregon StateCONFW 54–24+14.2—PACN
12Nov 21@5StanfordCONFL 22–35+4.3—ESPN
13Nov 28vs50Arizona StateCONFW 48–46+3.3—FS1
BowlsDec 29vs60Air ForceNEUTRALW 55–36+21.1—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.3%7th45.8%101st
Rushing success rate49.9%14th47.6%106th
Passing success rate50.7%6th43.6%94th
Explosive run rate16.9%30th15.3%81st
Explosive pass rate14.0%17th11.7%89th
Line yards / carry3.1631st3.28113th
Opportunity rate41.4%31st42.4%109th
Stuff rate19.2%70th14.5%115th
Sack rate3.8%25th7.2%22nd
3rd-down conversion49.0%14th44.4%92nd
Red-zone TD rate67.2%38th60.0%61st
Havoc rate9.2%12th11.6%83rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.926th30.770th
Yards / game529.18th——
Yards / play6.778th——
Pass yards / game376.33rd——
Yards / pass att.8.8913th——
Completion %64.0%19th——
Rush yards / game152.892nd——
Yards / carry4.5355th——
3rd-down conv. %46.9%14th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0863rd——
Penalty yards / game43.725th——

Players

73 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

73 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →