
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Morgan State FCS | W 63–7 | +11.7 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 88San Jose StateCONF | W 37–16 | +14.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 13Michigan State | L 21–35 | -0.4 | — | ABC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 23Navy | L 11–33 | -10.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 122WyomingCONF | W 31–17 | -3.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 82Colorado StateCONF | L 23–38 | -15.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 111Fresno StateCONF | W 42–14 | +11.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 121Hawai'iCONF | W 58–7 | +21.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 108Army | W 20–3 | +3.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 69Utah StateCONF | W 35–28 | +4.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 26Boise StateCONF | W 37–30 | +17.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 96New MexicoCONF | L 35–47 | -15.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 38San Diego State | L 24–27 | +5.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 36CaliforniaNEUTRAL | L 36–55 | -12.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 23rd | 35.4% | 10th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.1% | 24th | 33.1% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 39.5% | 78th | 38.0% | 32nd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 55th | 12.9% | 32nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 23.3% | 2nd | 13.2% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.32 | 11th | 2.46 | 8th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.3% | 25th | 28.1% | 4th |
| Stuff rate | 14.1% | 8th | 23.3% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 1.9% | 3rd | 8.4% | 8th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.9% | 38th | 39.3% | 58th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.8% | 16th | 55.6% | 37th |
| Havoc rate | 9.3% | 13th | 14.2% | 27th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.8 | 49th | 25.5 | 39th |
| Yards / game | 451.1 | 33rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.39 | 20th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 131.9 | 123rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 10.87 | 1st | — | — |
| Completion % | 51.2% | 110th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 319.1 | 4th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.47 | 11th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.9% | 35th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.21 | 1st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.0 | 7th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →