Mountain West · 2015 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2015

8-66-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#60
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+2.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.0
47th in FBS
Defense
+0.2
63rd in FBS
Schedule
-3.2
88th toughest
Preseason
+1.2
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.1 now, +1.2 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#59

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMorgan State FCSW 63–7+11.7—
2Sep 12vs88San Jose StateCONFW 37–16+14.3—ESPNU
3Sep 19@13Michigan StateL 21–35-0.4—ABC
4—Bye
5Oct 3@23NavyL 11–33-10.8—CBSSN
6Oct 10vs122WyomingCONFW 31–17-3.1—ESPN2
7Oct 17@82Colorado StateCONFL 23–38-15.4—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs111Fresno StateCONFW 42–14+11.2—ESPN3
9Oct 31@121Hawai'iCONFW 58–7+21.4—CBSSN
10Nov 7vs108ArmyW 20–3+3.7—ESPNU
11Nov 14vs69Utah StateCONFW 35–28+4.7—ESPN3
12Nov 20@26Boise StateCONFW 37–30+17.8—ESPN2
13Nov 28@96New MexicoCONFL 35–47-15.3—ESPNU
14Dec 5@38San Diego StateL 24–27+5.4—ESPN2
BowlsDec 29vs36CaliforniaNEUTRALL 36–55-12.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.5%23rd35.4%10th
Rushing success rate48.1%24th33.1%4th
Passing success rate39.5%78th38.0%32nd
Explosive run rate15.0%55th12.9%32nd
Explosive pass rate23.3%2nd13.2%112th
Line yards / carry3.3211th2.468th
Opportunity rate42.3%25th28.1%4th
Stuff rate14.1%8th23.3%20th
Sack rate1.9%3rd8.4%8th
3rd-down conversion43.9%38th39.3%58th
Red-zone TD rate70.8%16th55.6%37th
Havoc rate9.3%13th14.2%27th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.849th25.539th
Yards / game451.133rd——
Yards / play6.3920th——
Pass yards / game131.9123rd——
Yards / pass att.10.871st——
Completion %51.2%110th——
Rush yards / game319.14th——
Yards / carry5.4711th——
3rd-down conv. %42.9%35th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.211st——
Penalty yards / game38.07th——

Players

68 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

68 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →