
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs New Hampshire FCS | W 43–13 | +2.6 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 60Air ForceCONF | L 16–37 | -16.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 103Oregon State | L 21–35 | -21.0 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 111Fresno StateCONF | W 49–23 | +10.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 43Auburn | L 21–35 | -6.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 102UNLVCONF | W 33–27 | -0.8 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 38San Diego StateCONF | L 7–30 | -19.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 96New MexicoCONF | W 31–21 | +1.8 | — | |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 30BYU | L 16–17 | +3.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 92NevadaCONF | L 34–37 | -5.8 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 121Hawai'iCONF | W 42–23 | +6.9 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 26Boise StateCONF | L 23–40 | -11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 98Georgia StateNEUTRAL | W 27–16 | +3.3 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.4% | 32nd | 41.8% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.4% | 46th | 45.2% | 89th |
| Passing success rate | 45.4% | 30th | 37.0% | 27th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.3% | 90th | 12.8% | 31st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.8% | 97th | 9.1% | 43rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 57th | 3.00 | 74th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.2% | 69th | 38.0% | 68th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 48th | 17.1% | 94th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 103rd | 5.3% | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 10th | 38.6% | 53rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.8% | 23rd | 65.0% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.5% | 86th | 13.1% | 55th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.1 | 77th | 37.7 | 100th |
| Yards / game | 404.6 | 60th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.48 | 63rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 221.7 | 67th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.37 | 59th | — | — |
| Completion % | 67.5% | 5th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 182.9 | 47th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.48 | 60th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.1% | 11th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 109th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 35.7 | 4th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kenny Potter | QB | ||||
| 6 | Joe Gray | QB | ||||
| 8 | Malik Watson | QB | ||||
| 3 | Thomas Tucker | RB | ||||
| 7 | Tyler Ervin | RB | ||||
| 20 | Malike Roberson | RB | ||||
| 32 | Brandon Monroe | RB | ||||
| 35 | Darrion Hancock | RB | ||||
| 40 | Jarrod Lawson | RB | ||||
| 41 | Chris Dadson | RB | ||||
| 49 | Shane Smith | RB | ||||
| 1 | Jeremy Kelly | WR | ||||
| 2 | Tim Crawley | WR | ||||
| 9 | Justin Holmes | WR | ||||
| 11 | Chris Kearney | WR | ||||
| 15 | Tyler Winston | WR | ||||
| 22 | Thai Cottrell | WR | ||||
| 87 | Hansell Wilson | WR | ||||
| 18 | Billy Freeman | TE | ||||
| 33 | Brad Kuh | TE | ||||
| 83 | Matt Spadaro | TE | ||||
| 89 | Josh Oliver | TE | ||||
| 77 | Nick Gstrein | OL | ||||
| 53 | Isaiah Irving | DE | ||||
| 90 | Nick Oreglia | DE | ||||
| 94 | Eugene Taylor | DE | ||||
| 96 | Cedric Lousi | DE | ||||
| 8 | Boogie Roberts | DT | ||||
| 9 | Bryson Bridges | DT | ||||
| 57 | Nate Falo | DT | ||||
| 63 | Travis Miller | DT | ||||
| 92 | Keenan Sykes | DT | ||||
| 93 | Loni Fa | DT | ||||
| 98 | Tony Popovich | DT | ||||
| 4 | Christian Tago | LB | ||||
| 5 | Frank Ginda | LB | ||||
| 11 | William Ossai | LB | ||||
| 36 | Malik Hayes | LB | ||||
| 42 | Alex Manigo | LB | ||||
| 44 | Mark Amann | LB | ||||
| 54 | Epie Sona | LB | ||||
| 55 | Moses Saucedo | LB | ||||
| 6 | Cleveland Wallace III | CB | ||||
| 8 | Jimmy Pruitt | CB | ||||
| 19 | Dakari Monroe | CB | ||||
| 21 | Andre Chachere | CB | ||||
| 1 | Chandler Hawkins | S | ||||
| 10 | Maurice McKnight | S | ||||
| 26 | Vincente Miles Jr. | S | ||||
| 28 | Simon Connette | S | ||||
| Vincente Miles | S | |||||
| Vincente Jr. Miles | S | |||||
| 12 | Austin Lopez | PK | ||||
| 44 | Bryce Crawford | PK | ||||
| 17 | Michael Carrizosa | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →