
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 127Charlotte | L 20–23 | -23.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 123New Mexico StateCONF | W 34–32 | -10.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 25Oregon | L 28–61 | -16.1 | — | PACN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs Liberty FCS | L 33–41 | -31.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 42Appalachian StateCONF | L 3–37 | -24.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 109Ball State | W 31–19 | +3.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 62Arkansas StateCONF | L 34–48 | -10.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 104LouisianaCONF | L 21–23 | -14.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 113Texas StateCONF | W 41–19 | +12.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 107South AlabamaCONF | W 24–10 | +0.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 97TroyCONF | W 31–21 | +1.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 39Georgia SouthernCONF | W 34–7 | +33.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 88San Jose StateNEUTRAL | L 16–27 | -15.3 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 74th | 45.0% | 94th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.8% | 116th | 45.4% | 90th |
| Passing success rate | 45.6% | 29th | 44.5% | 100th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.9% | 126th | 14.5% | 68th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.2% | 8th | 7.9% | 16th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.48 | 122nd | 3.03 | 78th |
| Opportunity rate | 30.2% | 126th | 38.9% | 79th |
| Stuff rate | 22.8% | 105th | 17.9% | 86th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 85th | 3.2% | 121st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.8% | 27th | 42.8% | 80th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 44th | 53.7% | 30th |
| Havoc rate | 14.2% | 102nd | 12.7% | 60th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.9 | 89th | 28.3 | 60th |
| Yards / game | 432.9 | 43rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.01 | 34th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 335.9 | 9th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.80 | 16th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.1% | 36th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 96.9 | 126th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.10 | 125th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 29th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.54 | 96th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.5 | 109th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nick Arbuckle | QB | ||||
| 17 | Glenn Smith | RB | ||||
| 22 | Taz Bateman | RB | ||||
| 24 | Marcus Caffey | RB | ||||
| 25 | Kyler Neal | RB | ||||
| 38 | Demarcus Kirk | RB | ||||
| 46 | Jonathan Lytle | FB | ||||
| 5 | Nyiakki Height | WR | ||||
| 9 | Donovan Harden | WR | ||||
| 15 | Todd Boyd | WR | ||||
| 18 | Penny Hart | WR | ||||
| 19 | Robert Davis | WR | ||||
| 80 | Avery Sweeting | WR | ||||
| 81 | Marquan Greene | WR | ||||
| 83 | Mattavius Scott | WR | ||||
| 87 | Octavious Andrews | WR | ||||
| 89 | Kam Myers | WR | ||||
| 8 | Joel Ruiz | TE | ||||
| 12 | Emiere Scaife | TE | ||||
| 45 | Keith Rucker | TE | ||||
| 84 | Bill Teknipp | TE | ||||
| 88 | Ari Werts | TE | ||||
| 92 | DeQueszman Kelley | DL | ||||
| 97 | Jalen Lawrence | DL | ||||
| 5 | Mackendy Cheridor | DE | ||||
| 49 | Shawanye Lawrence | DE | ||||
| 52 | Tevin Jones | DE | ||||
| 55 | Carnell Hopson | DE | ||||
| 95 | Marterious Allen | DE | ||||
| 67 | David Huey | DT | ||||
| 91 | Julien Laurent | NT | ||||
| 2 | Ed Curney | LB | ||||
| 4 | Alonzo McGee | LB | ||||
| 5 | Chase Middleton | LB | ||||
| 6 | Joseph Peterson | LB | ||||
| 11 | Kaleb Ringer | LB | ||||
| 33 | James Traylor | LB | ||||
| 34 | Niemus Bryant | LB | ||||
| 38 | Jameel Spencer | LB | ||||
| 42 | Trey Payne | LB | ||||
| 44 | Michael Shaw | LB | ||||
| 98 | Nate Paxton | LB | ||||
| 99 | Melvin King | LB | ||||
| 14 | Cloves Campbell | DB | ||||
| 4 | Khai Anderson | CB | ||||
| 10 | Chandon Sullivan | CB | ||||
| 12 | Deion Wilkins | CB | ||||
| 16 | Jerome Smith | CB | ||||
| 27 | Bruce Dukes | CB | ||||
| 29 | B.J. Clay | CB | ||||
| 1 | Nate Simon | S | ||||
| 2 | Bobby Baker | S | ||||
| 3 | Tarris Batiste | S | ||||
| 20 | Bryan Williams | S | ||||
| 21 | Antreal Allen | S | ||||
| 37 | Trent Hill | S | ||||
| 96 | Wil Lutz | PK | ||||
| 70 | Colby Gossett | G |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →