Sun Belt · 2015 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2015

9-48-0 in conference
Final TDC rank
#62
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+1.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.5
27th in FBS
Defense
-3.9
96th in FBS
Schedule
-6.0
118th toughest
Preseason
-0.4
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.5 now, -0.4 preseason · up 9 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#62

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@18USCL 6–55-20.3—PACN
2Sep 12vs71MissouriL 20–27-9.7—ESPN3
3Sep 19vsMissouri State FCSW 70–7+14.1—ESPN3
4Sep 26@27ToledoL 7–37-15.6—ESPN3
5Oct 3vs115IdahoCONFW 49–35-1.7—ESPN3
6—Bye
7Oct 13@107South AlabamaCONFW 49–31+9.6—ESPN2
8Oct 20vs104LouisianaCONFW 37–27-2.2—ESPN2
9Oct 31vs98Georgia StateCONFW 48–34+3.8—ESPN3
10Nov 5@42Appalachian StateCONFW 40–27+20.7—ESPNU
11Nov 14@120Louisiana MonroeCONFW 59–21+16.9—ESPN3
12—Bye
13Nov 28@123New Mexico StateCONFW 52–28+11.6—ESPN3
14Dec 5vs113Texas StateCONFW 55–17+14.0—ESPN3
BowlsDec 19vs53Louisiana TechNEUTRALL 28–47-15.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.2%34th36.9%15th
Rushing success rate47.2%28th38.7%33rd
Passing success rate42.2%54th35.6%19th
Explosive run rate17.5%22nd15.2%79th
Explosive pass rate9.0%94th11.8%91st
Line yards / carry2.9472nd2.374th
Opportunity rate42.5%21st32.9%13th
Stuff rate21.2%96th25.6%8th
Sack rate5.6%64th6.0%51st
3rd-down conversion42.7%49th35.4%21st
Red-zone TD rate62.5%63rd75.0%116th
Havoc rate12.8%72nd16.0%5th
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.218th30.269th
Yards / game438.537th——
Yards / play5.7151st——
Pass yards / game207.285th——
Yards / pass att.7.3856th——
Completion %56.7%79th——
Rush yards / game231.315th——
Yards / carry4.9529th——
3rd-down conv. %38.5%74th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.9257th——
Penalty yards / game76.6125th——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →