The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 78Ohio | L 28–45 | -21.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 18USC | L 9–59 | -20.6 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs Wofford FCS | W 41–38 | -20.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 39Georgia SouthernCONF | L 20–44 | -20.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 62Arkansas StateCONF | L 35–49 | -10.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 97TroyCONF | W 19–16 | -0.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 120Louisiana MonroeCONF | W 27–13 | -2.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 123New Mexico StateCONF | L 48–55 | -19.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 107South AlabamaCONF | L 45–52 | -15.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 42Appalachian StateCONF | L 20–47 | -22.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 43Auburn | L 34–56 | -14.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 113Texas StateCONF | W 38–31 | -7.9 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 23rd | 50.8% | 127th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.7% | 16th | 52.6% | 123rd |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 41st | 48.0% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.8% | 97th | 22.4% | 127th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.6% | 42nd | 11.5% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 29th | 3.27 | 110th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 40th | 45.7% | 125th |
| Stuff rate | 14.8% | 13th | 16.6% | 100th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 79th | 4.7% | 88th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.8% | 65th | 41.5% | 69th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.8% | 106th | 75.5% | 119th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 59th | 10.7% | 109th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.3 | 69th | 52.9 | 124th |
| Yards / game | 429.1 | 44th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 73rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 281.0 | 28th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.14 | 69th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 27th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 148.1 | 97th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.88 | 99th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.1% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 86th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.6 | 23rd | — | — |
46 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matt Linehan | QB | ||||
| 14 | Jake Luton | QB | ||||
| 21 | Isaiah Saunders | RB | ||||
| 22 | Elijhaa Penny | RB | ||||
| 23 | Aaron Duckworth | RB | ||||
| 45 | Jake Manley | FB | ||||
| 1 | Dezmon Epps | WR | ||||
| 3 | Kareem Coles Jr. | WR | ||||
| 6 | Callen Hightower | WR | ||||
| 8 | Jacob Sannon | WR | ||||
| 19 | Jante Boston | WR | ||||
| 26 | Reuben Mwehla | WR | ||||
| 13 | Trent Cowan | TE | ||||
| 83 | Deon Watson | TE | ||||
| Buck Cowan | TE | |||||
| 61 | Steven Matlock | OL | ||||
| 8 | Ryan Edwards | DL | ||||
| 15 | Glen Antoine | DL | ||||
| 19 | Garren Jackson | DL | ||||
| 43 | Kevin Shelton | DL | ||||
| 44 | Tueni Lupeamanu | DL | ||||
| 90 | Zach Cable | DL | ||||
| 43 | Quinton Bradley | DE | ||||
| 45 | Kevin White | DE | ||||
| 92 | Kaylyn Ayers | DE | ||||
| 3 | Kaden Elliss | LB | ||||
| 10 | Broc Westlake | LB | ||||
| 11 | Khalin Smith | LB | ||||
| 12 | Emmanuel Jones | LB | ||||
| 23 | Marc Millan | LB | ||||
| 24 | Chris Edwards | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tony Lashley | LB | ||||
| 50 | Ed Hall | LB | ||||
| 4 | Calvary Pugh | DB | ||||
| 8 | Armond Hawkins | DB | ||||
| 9 | Austin Exford | DB | ||||
| 21 | Jordan Grabski | DB | ||||
| 39 | Dorian Clark | DB | ||||
| 1 | Isaiah Taylor | CB | ||||
| 4 | Jayshawn Jordan | CB | ||||
| 6 | Kendrick Trotter | CB | ||||
| 2 | D.J. Hampton | S | ||||
| 11 | Russell Siavii | S | ||||
| 25 | Desmond Banks | S | ||||
| 5 | Austin Rehkow | P | ||||
| 56 | Carson Sharp | LS |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →