Final TDC rank
#78
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.6
85th in FBS
Defense
+0.8
57th in FBS
Schedule
-4.3
98th toughest
Preseason
-4.2
rating going in
2015 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-1.9 now, -4.2 preseason · up 23 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 115Idaho | W 45–28 | +6.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 47Marshall | W 21–10 | +12.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs Southeastern Louisiana FCS | W 35–14 | -2.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 68Minnesota | L 24–27 | -0.4 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 79AkronCONF | W 14–12 | +2.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 114Miami (OH)CONF | W 34–3 | +11.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 51Western MichiganCONF | L 14–49 | -26.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 95BuffaloCONF | L 17–41 | -27.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 31Bowling GreenCONF | L 24–62 | -19.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 110Kent StateCONF | W 27–0 | +10.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 109Ball StateCONF | W 48–31 | +3.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 64Northern IllinoisCONF | W 26–21 | +8.5 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 42Appalachian StateNEUTRAL | L 29–31 | +3.3 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 84th | 39.2% | 38th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.1% | 80th | 37.9% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 40.1% | 72nd | 40.4% | 63rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 80th | 15.5% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 61st | 8.0% | 19th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.18 | 27th | 2.95 | 63rd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 58th | 35.7% | 38th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 30th | 20.2% | 49th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 79th | 4.8% | 87th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.1% | 63rd | 33.8% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.8% | 95th | 57.1% | 44th |
| Havoc rate | 11.3% | 46th | 10.6% | 110th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.5 | 83rd | 27.4 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 413.5 | 56th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.50 | 60th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 232.6 | 56th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.50 | 51st | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 54th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 180.9 | 50th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.30 | 76th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 54th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 68th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.8 | 112th | — | — |
Players
63 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
63 players
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →