MAC · 2015 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2015

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#95
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-5.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.7
78th in FBS
Defense
-3.9
96th in FBS
Schedule
-5.3
111th toughest
Preseason
-3.5
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-5.7 now, -3.5 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#95

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAlbany FCSW 51–14+5.0—ESPN3
2Sep 12@58Penn StateL 14–27-7.7—ESPN2
3Sep 19@101Florida AtlanticW 33–15+11.2—
4Sep 26vs92NevadaL 21–24-10.7—ESPN3
5Oct 3vs31Bowling GreenCONFL 22–28-1.5—ESPN3
6—Bye
7Oct 17@74Central MichiganCONFL 14–51-26.5—ESPN3
8Oct 24vs78OhioCONFW 41–17+19.7—ESPN3
9Oct 29@114Miami (OH)CONFW 29–24-5.2—ESPN3
10Nov 5@110Kent StateCONFW 18–17-8.3—ESPN3
11Nov 11vs64Northern IllinoisCONFL 30–41-12.4—ESPNU
12Nov 21@79AkronCONFL 21–42-20.4—CBSSN
13Nov 27vs105MassachusettsCONFL 26–31-17.7—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.4%71st41.4%63rd
Rushing success rate41.2%89th43.4%68th
Passing success rate43.4%44th39.3%47th
Explosive run rate11.1%116th15.0%73rd
Explosive pass rate6.9%120th10.5%70th
Line yards / carry3.0258th2.9257th
Opportunity rate38.0%72nd38.9%79th
Stuff rate18.3%56th18.9%73rd
Sack rate3.1%13th4.4%97th
3rd-down conversion39.4%81st40.4%64th
Red-zone TD rate60.5%74th72.2%108th
Havoc rate11.6%53rd14.8%19th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.791st49.3120th
Yards / game386.471st——
Yards / play5.1890th——
Pass yards / game249.543rd——
Yards / pass att.6.5893rd——
Completion %62.2%34th——
Rush yards / game136.9104th——
Yards / carry3.87100th——
3rd-down conv. %36.2%96th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3325th——
Penalty yards / game64.0104th——

Players

57 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

57 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →