Sun Belt · 2026

Georgia State Panthers

Head coach Dell McGee · Center Parc Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#80
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-2.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.2
46th in FBS
Defense
-4.3
114th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.5
101st toughest
Projected
6.9-5.1
bowl-eligible 80%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-2.1 now, -7.7 preseason · up 53 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#80

Final record odds

6.9-5.1 expected · most likely 7-5 (23%)
3-96%4-812%5-720%6-623%7-520%8-412%9-310-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 59–10+5.5—ESPN+
2Sep 12@107Kennesaw StateW 31–17+11.9—ESPN+
3Sep 19@41UCFL 30–44-7.1—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs137Northern IllinoisGeorgia State −15.4 · o/u 54.8—84%ESPN+
5Oct 3vs86Old DominionCONFGeorgia State −3.4 · o/u 54.3—59%ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@17James MadisonCONFJames Madison −13.6 · o/u 53.6—19%
8Oct 24@112Arkansas StateCONFGeorgia State −1.0 · o/u 56.1—53%
9Oct 31vs95Coastal CarolinaCONFGeorgia State −4.3 · o/u 53.7—61%
10Nov 7@82App StateCONFApp State −2.8 · o/u 54.9—43%
11Nov 14vs102Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia State −5.4 · o/u 53.0—64%
12Nov 21@101MarshallCONFMarshall −0.9 · o/u 57.2—48%
13Nov 28vs97LouisianaCONFGeorgia State −4.5 · o/u 56.6—62%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.25344th+0.07073rd
Success rate48.3%36th37.8%47th
Explosiveness1.29856th1.31690th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.0%43rd38.6%56th
Rushing success rate44.1%82nd42.0%83rd
Passing success rate50.0%32nd35.2%37th
Explosive run rate16.7%42nd21.7%136th
Explosive pass rate17.0%21st9.1%63rd
Line yards / carry3.3942nd3.23104th
Opportunity rate42.2%49th39.1%99th
Stuff rate15.7%70th23.2%34th
Sack rate2.1%26th7.0%38th
3rd-down conversion55.6%16th31.0%30th
Red-zone TD rate69.2%57th50.0%37th
Havoc rate11.6%54th15.7%49th
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.028th23.778th
Yards / game510.314th310.355th
Yards / play6.7429th5.4195th
Pass yards / game271.340th157.024th
Yards / pass att.7.8072nd6.2854th
Completion %67.6%44th53.3%17th
Rush yards / game239.021st153.392nd
Yards / carry6.0018th5.05125th
3rd-down conv. %51.2%22nd25.7%17th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.6799th0.67107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.6710th2.0056th
Penalty yards / game58.376th51.089th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dell McGee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Ayden PereiraQBSR5' 11"205Auburn, NH
8Cameran BrownQBSR6' 2"230Warner Robins, GA
12Jadon OlafssonQBFR5' 9"175Tampa, FL
14TJ StanleyQBFR6' 2"215Lyons, GA
15Gavin NuckollsQBFR5' 11"170Rocky Face, GA
0Dennis Murray Jr.RBSO5' 9"170Daytona Beach, FL
5Lanear McCrary Jr.RBSR5' 10"200Rockmart, GA
20Jamal Bing Jr.RBJR5' 8"170Hampton, GA
21Jaylen PoeRBJR5' 10"210Dallas, GA
22Xavier ButlerRBFR5' 8"180Lithonia, GA
25Tayo AshadeleRBFR5' 10"210Sugar Hill, GA
28Savion HartRBSO5' 9"190Minneapolis, MN
32Ladainnian MartinRBFR5' 10"180Greer, SC
33Jason FisherRBJR5' 8"200Lawrenceville, GA
7Owen DupreeWRJR6' 3"190Dallas, GA
9Rodshaun DorseyWRJR6' 5"210Andrews, SC
10DJ RilesWRSR5' 11"200Columbus, GA
13Derrick Avery Jr.WRSO6' 0"195Alpharetta, GA
16Jaylin MarshallWRSR5' 11"170Hamilton, GA
18D'Ontae FultonWRFR5' 11"155Sylvester, GA
19Jamari MillerWRFR5' 9"155Opelika, AL
38Khalil QuinnWRFR5' 9"180Warner Robins, GA
80Ahmed SouareWRFR6' 3"205Loganville, GA
82Zach StairWRFR6' 1"195Atlanta, GA
84Nathaniel FernanderWRFR6' 1"185Suwanee, GA
86Keron MiltonWRSO5' 11"165Warner Robins, GA
87Austin McGeeWRSO5' 8"160Athens, GA
89Amari PowellWRSO6' 4"200Cairo, GA
6Wesley Campbell VITESR6' 4"230Fairburn, GA
11Matt BuronTESR6' 5"260Bridgewater, MA
44Kyle MullenixTEFR6' 6"240Woodstock, GA
81Avion McBrideTESR6' 5"245Florence, SC
85Grant HollierTESO6' 3"225Woodstock, GA
53Malik JacksonOLSO6' 2"300Atlanta, GA
55Gage StanalandOLJR6' 3"310Tuscola, TX
56Deandre DuffusOLJR6' 4"330Hollywood, FL
57Kadorian BenjaminOLFR6' 5"320Swainsboro, GA
65Hunter BrittOLFR6' 4"315Lawrenceville, GA
68Peter DiazOLJR6' 3"320Easton, PA
70Matthew GrowOLFR6' 6"305Buford, GA
71Aidan AndrewsOLFR6' 3"295Griffin, GA
72Kelton SmithOLJR6' 5"305Columbus, GA
73Deylin HasertOLSR6' 4"305Marshall, MN
74Pherleski MartinOLFR6' 4"320Snellville, GA
75Marcus MascollOLSO6' 5"310Snellville, GA
76Jordan BrownOLSR6' 4"330Long Beach, CA
52Donovan FunschOTJR6' 6"320Perry, GA
58Maxwell RobinsonOTFR6' 3"290Derby, KS
66Braylin RobertsOTFR6' 4"310Newnan, GA
91Tyrese CatheyDLSO6' 3"275Independence, MS
1Jabriel Rhodes-NelsonDESR6' 4"270Philadelphia, PA
49Timothy DaileyDEFR6' 3"275Dallas, GA
58Kelze HowardDEJR6' 3"260Las Vegas, NV
93Aaron MooreDEFR6' 3"260Mobile, AL
95Richard KramerDEJR6' 3"250Port Saint Lucie, FL
0Jonah ReederDTSR6' 2"310Moreno Valley, CA
52Alex MullingsDTSO6' 1"285Demopolis, AL
59Gabriel ChigwereDTJR6' 1"275Milton, GA
59Abdul MohammedDTSO6' 0"280Lilburn, GA
88Kevin NorwoodDTJR6' 2"290Theodore, AL
90Zamar McGeeDTFR6' 2"305Columbus, GA
94Eli RichardsDTFR6' 2"300Hoschton, GA
98Samuel ChukwurahDTJR6' 2"330Bellflower, CA
99Mandjou BerteDTSR6' 2"310Snellville, GA
4Xavier EsqillionLBSR6' 1"250Charlotte, NC
9Eric Butler Jr.LBJR6' 1"230Olathe, KS
20Coby OwensLBJR6' 0"215Saltillo, MS
27Tyler MooreLBFR6' 0"230Opelika, AL
28Jaden KellyLBSR6' 0"215Dallas, TX
30Ryan GreenLBSR5' 10"225Athens, GA
33Zachary DavisLBFR6' 0"230Homestead, FL
34Jaydon HoodLBSR6' 0"220West Palm Beach, FL
35Khalid FelizLBFR6' 3"230Orlando, FL
41Michael FountainLBFR5' 9"195Canton, GA
43Zion LawsonLBFR6' 2"240Atlanta, GA
45Kelan ButlerLBSO6' 3"240Jefferson, GA
46Sean AdemokunLBFR6' 1"225Lawrenceville, GA
47Chandler CovingtonLBSO6' 3"210Loganville, GA
48Zach AdamsLBFR6' 2"210Atlanta, GA
11Toby BoltonCBSR5' 10"185Athens, GA
12Darius Johnson Jr.CBSR5' 10"180Watkinsville, GA
18Andre JocelynCBJR6' 0"190Fort Myers, FL
24Malique HarrellCBFR5' 11"170Saint Petersburg, FL
25Monterrius EcholsCBFR5' 11"170Phenix City, AL
31Ry'Sheed FullerCBFR5' 9"155Moultrie, GA
32Tyson McCraryCBSO6' 0"180Marietta, GA
39Cade DuttonCBJR6' 0"175Folsom, CA
42Tylan SmithCBSO5' 10"190Mableton, GA
3Demonte GastonSSR6' 2"210Pensacola, FL
8Deuce LeeSSR5' 11"195Silver Spring, MD
13Donovan FariaSSO6' 0"190Land O Lakes, FL
15Tre MittmanSJR6' 1"205Durham, NC
16Keenan NelsonSSR6' 0"200Philadelphia, PA
17Joseph HoltSFR6' 2"190Birmingham, AL
21Derrick Maxey IIISJR5' 11"170College Park, GA
22Ty SneadSFR6' 2"215East Dublin, GA
37Josh OwensSJR6' 0"180Lithonia, GA
38Christon JonesSFR5' 10"185Lawrenceville, GA
39Samer LayousPKSO5' 7"155Alpharetta, GA
36Braxton KitchensLSSO6' 0"200Cartersville, GA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →