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Sun Belt · 2026

Georgia State Panthers

Head coach Dell McGee · Center Parc Stadium
4-41-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#111
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-11.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.5
85th in FBS
Defense
-9.3
126th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.6
122nd toughest
Projected
5.7-6.3
bowl-eligible 54%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-11.8 now, -24.2 preseason · up 25 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#111

Final record odds

5.7-6.3 expected · most likely 6-6 (34%)
13%4-833%5-734%6-617%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Cameran Brown
QB · SR · 88th in FBS
1356yds
14 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Qwantavius Wiggins
RB · 107th in FBS
446yds
65 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Rodshaun Dorsey
WR · JR · 92nd in FBS
459yds
28 rec · 8 TD
Tackles
Jaydon Hood
LB · SR · 213th in FBS
49tkl
5.5 TFL
Sacks
Xavier Esqillion
LB · SR · 7th in FBS
7sacks
7 hurries
Interceptions
Deuce Lee
S · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 59–10 ›-9.4—ESPN+
2Sep 12@112Kennesaw StateW 31–17 ›+5.3—ESPN+
3Sep 19@57UCFL 30–44 ›-6.7—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs133Northern IllinoisW 35–14 ›-4.6—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs114Old DominionCONFW 42–10 ›+9.5—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@59James MadisonCONFL 22–49 ›-18.3—ESPNU
8Oct 24@105Arkansas StateCONFL 32–38 ›-13.0—ESPN+
9Oct 31vs108Coastal CarolinaCONFL 20–31 ›-26.1—ESPN+
10Nov 7@104App StateCONFApp State −5.4 · o/u 58.6—36%ESPN+
11Nov 14vs91Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −1.8 · o/u 56.4—45%ESPN+
12Nov 21@110MarshallCONFMarshall −3.8 · o/u 62.9—40%
13Nov 28vs89LouisianaCONFLouisiana −2.2 · o/u 57.8—44%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.20438th+0.09373rd
Success rate45.3%42nd39.6%49th
Explosiveness1.30943rd1.306103rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.5%48th40.7%59th
Rushing success rate44.6%58th43.6%86th
Passing success rate44.4%47th38.0%38th
Explosive run rate16.7%25th19.4%137th
Explosive pass rate14.6%16th12.8%128th
Line yards / carry3.3629th3.0677th
Opportunity rate41.2%38th37.4%73rd
Stuff rate16.7%60th21.3%25th
Sack rate4.5%53rd6.8%38th
3rd-down conversion46.7%26th33.3%20th
Red-zone TD rate61.5%76th59.3%69th
Havoc rate11.7%35th14.6%56th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.932nd26.692nd
Yards / game438.127th358.066th
Yards / play6.3226th5.4481st
Pass yards / game238.555th219.582nd
Yards / pass att.7.8051st7.3888th
Completion %63.8%60th60.1%52nd
Rush yards / game199.626th138.566th
Yards / carry5.3015th4.1880th
3rd-down conv. %43.9%36th28.7%8th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.62113th1.1278th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2525th2.8815th
Penalty yards / game61.990th54.875th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
83rd of 138
YAC per catch
6.0
39th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
49th of 138
Shotgun
94%
79th of 138
No-huddle
66%
65th of 138
QB pressured
9%
118th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
13%
90th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
89th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws235 throws charted

64% comp8.6 avg. depth6.0 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds19–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 23 throws (10%), 21 caught (91%), 115 yds, 5.0 per throw2391% · 115yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 15 caught (65%), 139 yds, 6.0 per throw2365% · 139yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 13 caught (72%), 116 yds, 6.4 per throw1872% · 116yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 75 yds, 10.7 per throw743% · 75yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 94 yds, 15.7 per throw667% · 94yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 100 yds, 12.5 per throw838% · 100yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 72 yds, 24.0 per throw367% · 72yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 31 yds, 10.3 per throw3100% · 31yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 12 caught (71%), 117 yds, 6.9 per throw1771% · 117yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 11 caught (79%), 143 yds, 10.2 per throw1479% · 143yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 106 yds, 11.8 per throw978% · 106yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 63 yds, 15.8 per throw475% · 63yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 83 yds, 13.8 per throw650% · 83yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 80 yds, 26.7 per throw333% · 80yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 14 caught (100%), 40 yds, 2.9 per throw14100% · 40yRight, 0–4 air yards: 33 throws (14%), 17 caught (52%), 117 yds, 3.5 per throw3352% · 117yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 9 caught (53%), 93 yds, 5.5 per throw1753% · 93yRight, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 42 yds, 8.4 per throw560% · 42yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 125 yds, 13.9 per throw967% · 125yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 57 yds, 8.1 per throw729% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 82 yds, 13.7 per throw633% · 82y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on230 throws charted

60% comp9.6 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds12–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 5 yds, 1.7 per throw3100% · 5yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (12%), 20 caught (74%), 187 yds, 6.9 per throw2774% · 187yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 17 caught (68%), 168 yds, 6.7 per throw2568% · 168yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 54 yds, 5.4 per throw1040% · 54yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 31 yds, 4.4 per throw714% · 31yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 10 yds, 3.3 per throw3100% · 10yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 13 caught (76%), 117 yds, 6.9 per throw1776% · 117yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 5 caught (31%), 47 yds, 2.9 per throw1631% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 9 caught (75%), 139 yds, 11.6 per throw1275% · 139yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 175 yds, 19.4 per throw967% · 175yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 25 yds, 12.5 per throw250% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 88 yds, 17.6 per throw540% · 88yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 13 caught (87%), 33 yds, 2.2 per throw1587% · 33yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 19 caught (83%), 138 yds, 6.0 per throw2383% · 138yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 9 caught (38%), 87 yds, 3.6 per throw2438% · 87yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 64 yds, 7.1 per throw956% · 64yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 16 yds, 4.0 per throw425% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 128 yds, 18.3 per throw757% · 128yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 171 yds, 24.4 per throw757% · 171y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction276 carries

Left
21%
7.8 YPC · 54% succ.
Middle
61%
4.7 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
18%
7.5 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced237 carries

Left
24%
6.2 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
55%
4.2 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
21%
6.8 YPC · 47% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dell McGee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Ayden PereiraQBSR5' 11"205Auburn, NH
8Cameran BrownQBSR6' 2"230Warner Robins, GA
12Jadon OlafssonQBFR5' 9"175Tampa, FL
14TJ StanleyQBFR6' 2"215Lyons, GA
15Gavin NuckollsQBFR5' 11"170Rocky Face, GA
0Dennis Murray Jr.RBSO5' 9"170Daytona Beach, FL
5Lanear McCrary Jr.RBSR5' 10"200Rockmart, GA
20Jamal Bing Jr.RBJR5' 8"170Hampton, GA
21Jaylen PoeRBJR5' 10"210Dallas, GA
22Xavier ButlerRBFR5' 8"180Lithonia, GA
25Tayo AshadeleRBFR5' 10"210Sugar Hill, GA
28Savion HartRBSO5' 9"190Minneapolis, MN
32Ladainnian MartinRBFR5' 10"180Greer, SC
33Jason FisherRBJR5' 8"200Lawrenceville, GA
7Owen DupreeWRJR6' 3"190Dallas, GA
9Rodshaun DorseyWRJR6' 5"210Andrews, SC
10DJ RilesWRSR5' 11"200Columbus, GA
13Derrick Avery Jr.WRSO6' 0"195Alpharetta, GA
16Jaylin MarshallWRSR5' 11"170Hamilton, GA
18D'Ontae FultonWRFR5' 11"155Sylvester, GA
19Jamari MillerWRFR5' 9"155Opelika, AL
38Khalil QuinnWRFR5' 9"180Warner Robins, GA
80Ahmed SouareWRFR6' 3"205Loganville, GA
82Zach StairWRFR6' 1"195Atlanta, GA
84Nathaniel FernanderWRFR6' 1"185Suwanee, GA
86Keron MiltonWRSO5' 11"165Warner Robins, GA
87Austin McGeeWRSO5' 8"160Athens, GA
89Amari PowellWRSO6' 4"200Cairo, GA
6Wesley Campbell VITESR6' 4"230Fairburn, GA
11Matt BuronTESR6' 5"260Bridgewater, MA
44Kyle MullenixTEFR6' 6"240Woodstock, GA
81Avion McBrideTESR6' 5"245Florence, SC
85Grant HollierTESO6' 3"225Woodstock, GA
53Malik JacksonOLSO6' 2"300Atlanta, GA
55Gage StanalandOLJR6' 3"310Tuscola, TX
56Deandre DuffusOLJR6' 4"330Hollywood, FL
57Kadorian BenjaminOLFR6' 5"320Swainsboro, GA
65Hunter BrittOLFR6' 4"315Lawrenceville, GA
68Peter DiazOLJR6' 3"320Easton, PA
70Matthew GrowOLFR6' 6"305Buford, GA
71Aidan AndrewsOLFR6' 3"295Griffin, GA
72Kelton SmithOLJR6' 5"305Columbus, GA
73Deylin HasertOLSR6' 4"305Marshall, MN
74Pherleski MartinOLFR6' 4"320Snellville, GA
75Marcus MascollOLSO6' 5"310Snellville, GA
76Jordan BrownOLSR6' 4"330Long Beach, CA
52Donovan FunschOTJR6' 6"320Perry, GA
58Maxwell RobinsonOTFR6' 3"290Derby, KS
66Braylin RobertsOTFR6' 4"310Newnan, GA
91Tyrese CatheyDLSO6' 3"275Independence, MS
1Jabriel Rhodes-NelsonDESR6' 4"270Philadelphia, PA
49Timothy DaileyDEFR6' 3"275Dallas, GA
58Kelze HowardDEJR6' 3"260Las Vegas, NV
93Aaron MooreDEFR6' 3"260Mobile, AL
95Richard KramerDEJR6' 3"250Port Saint Lucie, FL
0Jonah ReederDTSR6' 2"310Moreno Valley, CA
52Alex MullingsDTSO6' 1"285Demopolis, AL
59Gabriel ChigwereDTJR6' 1"275Milton, GA
59Abdul MohammedDTSO6' 0"280Lilburn, GA
88Kevin NorwoodDTJR6' 2"290Theodore, AL
90Zamar McGeeDTFR6' 2"305Columbus, GA
94Eli RichardsDTFR6' 2"300Hoschton, GA
98Samuel ChukwurahDTJR6' 2"330Bellflower, CA
99Mandjou BerteDTSR6' 2"310Snellville, GA
4Xavier EsqillionLBSR6' 1"250Charlotte, NC
9Eric Butler Jr.LBJR6' 1"230Olathe, KS
20Coby OwensLBJR6' 0"215Saltillo, MS
27Tyler MooreLBFR6' 0"230Opelika, AL
28Jaden KellyLBSR6' 0"215Dallas, TX
30Ryan GreenLBSR5' 10"225Athens, GA
33Zachary DavisLBFR6' 0"230Homestead, FL
34Jaydon HoodLBSR6' 0"220West Palm Beach, FL
35Khalid FelizLBFR6' 3"230Orlando, FL
41Michael FountainLBFR5' 9"195Canton, GA
43Zion LawsonLBFR6' 2"240Atlanta, GA
45Kelan ButlerLBSO6' 3"240Jefferson, GA
46Sean AdemokunLBFR6' 1"225Lawrenceville, GA
47Chandler CovingtonLBSO6' 3"210Loganville, GA
48Zach AdamsLBFR6' 2"210Atlanta, GA
11Toby BoltonCBSR5' 10"185Athens, GA
12Darius Johnson Jr.CBSR5' 10"180Watkinsville, GA
18Andre JocelynCBJR6' 0"190Fort Myers, FL
24Malique HarrellCBFR5' 11"170Saint Petersburg, FL
25Monterrius EcholsCBFR5' 11"170Phenix City, AL
31Ry'Sheed FullerCBFR5' 9"155Moultrie, GA
32Tyson McCraryCBSO6' 0"180Marietta, GA
39Cade DuttonCBJR6' 0"175Folsom, CA
42Tylan SmithCBSO5' 10"190Mableton, GA
3Demonte GastonSSR6' 2"210Pensacola, FL
8Deuce LeeSSR5' 11"195Silver Spring, MD
13Donovan FariaSSO6' 0"190Land O Lakes, FL
15Tre MittmanSJR6' 1"205Durham, NC
16Keenan NelsonSSR6' 0"200Philadelphia, PA
17Joseph HoltSFR6' 2"190Birmingham, AL
21Derrick Maxey IIISJR5' 11"170College Park, GA
22Ty SneadSFR6' 2"215East Dublin, GA
37Josh OwensSJR6' 0"180Lithonia, GA
38Christon JonesSFR5' 10"185Lawrenceville, GA
39Samer LayousPKSO5' 7"155Alpharetta, GA
36Braxton KitchensLSSO6' 0"200Cartersville, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2020 (+0.4, #63) · worst: 2014 (-19.2, #127)
-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#131
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-41-3#111-11.8-2.5-9.3
20251-110-8#131-14.0-6.0-8.0
20243-91-7#118-9.7-3.1-6.6
20237-63-5#85-3.6-0.5-3.2
20224-83-5#79-3.0+1.1-4.1
20218-56-2#69-0.3-0.30.0
20206-44-4#63+0.4+4.4-4.0
20197-64-4#108-7.3+1.8-9.1
20182-101-7#119-13.2-5.6-7.7
20177-55-3#109-8.8-8.3-0.5
20163-92-6#105-8.8-7.9-0.9
20156-75-3#98-7.7-5.0-2.7
20141-110-8#127-19.2-6.4-12.8

Georgia State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →