Sun Belt · 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd

Head coach Tony Gibson · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
5-32-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#110
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-11.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.4
99th in FBS
Defense
-7.4
119th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.6
116th toughest
Projected
7.1-4.9
bowl-eligible 96%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-11.8 now, -5.4 preseason · down 25 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#110

Final record odds

7.1-4.9 expected · most likely 7-5 (38%)
5-721%6-638%7-529%8-47%9-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@26Penn StateL 0–45 ›-15.3—FS1
2Sep 12vs130Middle TennesseeW 28–26 ›-21.7—ESPN+
3Sep 19@118Missouri StateW 30–24 ›-4.8—CBSSN
4Sep 26vsGardner-Webb FCSW 36–35 ›-23.8—ESPN+
5Oct 3@59James MadisonCONFL 17–45 ›-18.6—ESPNU
6Oct 10vs108Coastal CarolinaCONFL 21–27 ›-21.1—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 20vs106South AlabamaCONFW 20–13 ›-7.5—ESPN2
9Oct 31@114Old DominionCONFW 36–23 ›+3.2—ESPN+
10Nov 7@91Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −9.2 · o/u 52.6—27%ESPN+
11Nov 14vs104App StateCONFMarshall −2.1 · o/u 54.8—56%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs111Georgia StateCONFMarshall −3.8 · o/u 62.9—60%
13Nov 28@136UL MonroeCONFMarshall −8.3 · o/u 54.8—71%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.11374th+0.192117th
Success rate43.9%51st42.8%92nd
Explosiveness1.183104th1.365124th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.5%60th42.4%80th
Rushing success rate46.6%40th43.0%77th
Passing success rate40.3%84th41.8%87th
Explosive run rate14.7%50th13.9%84th
Explosive pass rate10.1%73rd12.5%125th
Line yards / carry3.1856th3.1491st
Opportunity rate39.8%62nd41.8%121st
Stuff rate18.0%89th16.8%91st
Sack rate6.1%89th2.7%128th
3rd-down conversion38.0%95th37.6%54th
Red-zone TD rate41.9%130th52.2%38th
Havoc rate15.1%109th13.4%78th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.599th29.8111th
Yards / game388.167th427.4128th
Yards / play5.4091st6.16124th
Pass yards / game226.371st249.8119th
Yards / pass att.7.1087th7.5797th
Completion %61.3%83rd57.2%26th
Rush yards / game161.962nd177.6112th
Yards / carry4.3074th5.06122nd
3rd-down conv. %36.5%94th38.2%71st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.88131st1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1285th1.25114th
Penalty yards / game62.091st57.858th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
60th of 138
YAC per catch
5.4
68th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
95th of 138
Shotgun
98%
35th of 138
No-huddle
81%
42nd of 138
QB pressured
21%
6th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
22%
4th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
39th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws246 throws charted

61% comp8.9 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds8–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 12 caught (86%), 30 yds, 2.1 per throw1486% · 30yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 9 caught (56%), 73 yds, 4.6 per throw1656% · 73yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (12%), 23 caught (77%), 214 yds, 7.1 per throw3077% · 214yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 3 caught (27%), 35 yds, 3.2 per throw1127% · 35yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw650% · 66yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 55 yds, 18.3 per throw367% · 55yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 1 caught (11%), 38 yds, 4.2 per throw911% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 8 yds, 4.0 per throw2100% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 23 yds, 4.6 per throw560% · 23yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 15 caught (75%), 145 yds, 7.3 per throw2075% · 145yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 128 yds, 10.7 per throw1242% · 128yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 80 yds, 16.0 per throw580% · 80yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 31 yds, 31.0 per throw1100% · 31yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 81 yds, 11.6 per throw729% · 81yRight, Behind air yards: 27 throws (11%), 23 caught (85%), 159 yds, 5.9 per throw2785% · 159yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (9%), 18 caught (78%), 162 yds, 7.0 per throw2378% · 162yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (9%), 14 caught (61%), 140 yds, 6.1 per throw2361% · 140yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 5 caught (38%), 68 yds, 5.2 per throw1338% · 68yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 97 yds, 10.8 per throw956% · 97yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 178 yds, 19.8 per throw967% · 178yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on255 throws charted

58% comp10.2 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds16–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (5%), 14 caught (100%), 60 yds, 4.3 per throw14100% · 60yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 13 caught (68%), 92 yds, 4.8 per throw1968% · 92yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 14 caught (64%), 141 yds, 6.4 per throw2264% · 141yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 49 yds, 5.4 per throw933% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 95 yds, 15.8 per throw650% · 95yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 42 yds, 7.0 per throw617% · 42yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 4 yds, 2.0 per throw250% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 109 yds, 7.3 per throw1573% · 109yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 8 caught (50%), 72 yds, 4.5 per throw1650% · 72yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 8 caught (53%), 162 yds, 10.8 per throw1553% · 162yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 9 caught (90%), 275 yds, 27.5 per throw1090% · 275yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 85 yds, 12.1 per throw743% · 85yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 41 yds, 10.3 per throw425% · 41yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 12 caught (92%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1392% · 63yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (11%), 21 caught (72%), 172 yds, 5.9 per throw2972% · 172yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 17 caught (65%), 165 yds, 6.3 per throw2665% · 165yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 3 caught (23%), 25 yds, 1.9 per throw1323% · 25yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 16 yds, 3.2 per throw520% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 140 yds, 14.0 per throw1050% · 140yRight, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 129 yds, 14.3 per throw933% · 129y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction265 carries

Left
22%
5.1 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
56%
5.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
22%
5.1 YPC · 45% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced267 carries

Left
18%
8.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
63%
4.2 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
19%
7.8 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tony Gibson

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Zion TurnerQBSR6' 1"212Miami, FL
7Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBSR6' 2"225Atlanta, GA
12Koi FaganQBFR6' 0"190Martinsburg, WV
17Dylan BarberQBFR5' 11"194LaGrange, GA
6Jo'Shon BarbieRBSR5' 9"188Harvey, LA
10Judah PriceRBSO5' 9"178Sophia, WV
21TJ LesterRBSO5' 9"205Milton, GA
22Anthony Quinn Jr.RBFR6' 0"196Fayetteville, NC
0De'Andre TamarezWRSR5' 11"172Overtown, FL
2Adrian NortonWRSR6' 0"199Huber Heights, OH
3Chris CulliverWRJR6' 1"195Maiden, NC
5Xayvion Turner-BradshawWRSR5' 10"166Bluefield, VA
9Christian HamiltonWRJR5' 11"186Harrisburg, NC
13Brennan ChambersWRFR6' 3"186Kinston, NC
14Demarcus LaceyWRSR6' 0"187Birmingham, AL
15Josiah McLaurinWRSO6' 1"186Clinton, NC
16Jalyn AbercrombieWRFR5' 11"183Huntington, WV
18Justin HaggertyWRJR5' 9"169Welch, WV
19Tony MartinWRJR5' 10"174Pahokee, FL
20Owen SweeneyWRSO6' 3"204Roanoke, VA
23Chase MasseyWRSO6' 1"175Winfield, WV
24Aiden BurkeWRFR6' 0"182Matewan, WV
80Shawn RouseTEJR6' 3"244Milton, WV
81Toby PayneTESR6' 4"237Poca, WV
85Tracy StephensTEJR6' 4"242Columbia, SC
86Brandon HettwerTEFR6' 4"234Charlotte, NC
50Jae'Von WhiteOLFR6' 5"293Rockledge, FL
52Rhett McGrewOLFR6' 2"264Hurricane, WV
53Mason RamseyOLFR6' 1"261Huntington, WV
54Drake LanhamOLFR6' 3"281Hurricane, WV
55Holden GriegerOLSO6' 7"315Elk Grove, CA
56Andrew DudleyOLFR6' 3"292Tempe, AZ
57Logan GreerOLJR6' 2"287Pittsburgh, PA
59Evan FergusonOLSR6' 2"297Huntington, WV
61Da'Ron ParksOLFR6' 5"340Nitro, WV
62Marwan DiabOLFR6' 3"286Burke, VA
64Jaquez JoinerOLFR6' 1"285Cocoa, FL
65Parker BraultOLFR6' 2"286Palatine, IL
66Eli KaufmanOLFR6' 4"300Wadsworth, OH
67Jack LairdOLFR6' 6"314Columbia, SC
69William SandfossOLFR6' 5"297Newport, KY
70Jalen SlappyOLSR6' 4"312Columbus, OH
73Robby MartinOLSO6' 4"304Huntington, WV
74Justyn LylesOLFR6' 3"245Cincinnati, OH
76Tariq MontgomeryOLSR6' 6"312Akron, OH
77Isaac ClaryOLJR6' 7"337Gallipolis, OH
78Xavier BausleyOLSR6' 4"318South Charleston, WV
24Jacarius ClaytonDLSR6' 5"241Tupelo, MS
34Caden TurnerDLFR6' 3"202Ironton, OH
44Kenyatta HardgeDLSO6' 1"293Lexington, KY
49Mekhi LockhartDLFR6' 4"296Winter Park, FL
51Jaxson CunninghamDLSO5' 11"225Winfield, WV
52Mikailin WarrenDLJR6' 4"380Baltimore, MD
55Cole FunderburkDLFR6' 3"244Suwanee, GA
58Braydin WardDLJR6' 6"258Montgomery, WV
90B.J. CarterDLFR6' 2"295Middleburg, FL
92Cam ChmuraDLSO6' 3"298Wexford, PA
95Donovan GarrettDLSO6' 2"210Huntington, WV
98Terry Nwabuisi-EzealaDLFR6' 1"324Munich, Germany
99Simeon JohnDLJR6' 2"281Dacula, GA
97Nate BlancDTFR6' 2"290Quebec City, Canada
5Javae GilmoreLBSR6' 4"221Amite, LA
6Jalen MarshallLBSR6' 2"224Hiram, GA
10Chason ClarkLBJR6' 2"207Starke, FL
25Andrew HamadLBSO5' 11"209Fairfax, VA
27Cannon LewisLBSO6' 2"230Barboursville, WV
30Jaasai SimmonsLBFR6' 1"234Philadelphia, PA
31Brysen DaviesLBFR5' 11"200Newnan, GA
33Andre ParkerLBFR5' 11"202Cincinnati, OH
40Ryan AyersLBSR6' 1"203Memphis, MI
47EahJay McAdamsLBFR6' 1"216East Orange, NJ
0Caleb Clark-GloverDBJR5' 11"187Cincinnati, OH
2Charles McCartherensDBJR5' 10"183Kennesaw, GA
4Philipp DavisDBJR6' 1"194Lake Wales, FL
11Josh Pierre-LouisDBSR5' 11"182West Palm Beach, FL
12Louikenzy JulesDBJR5' 11"180Union, NJ
18Daniel HarrisDBJR6' 4"180Melbourne, FL
23Sammy EtienneDBFR5' 11"185Lakeland, FL
39Dawson HillDBFR6' 2"184Nitro, WV
1Boogie TrotterCBSR5' 10"185Nashville, TN
8Eddie Pleasant IIICBJR5' 11"185Tampa, FL
9Brayden HallCBSR5' 10"181Chicago, IL
29Jason HaggertyCBJR5' 10"173Welch, WV
37Atley CowanCBSO6' 2"192Wheeling, WV
3Terrente HintonSSR6' 2"203Mobile, AL
15Tristan LesterSFR5' 9"190Alpharetta, GA
16Kendell AndersonSJR6' 1"208Silver Spring, MD
17Daytione SmithSSR6' 0"190East Highland Park, VA
19Zah JacksonSFR5' 10"190Huntington, WV
20Zeke GunnSFR6' 0"205Orlando, FL
22Jaycee HoustonSFR6' 2"181Cincinnati, OH
28Aumad EdwardsSFR5' 10"168Villa Hills, KY
32Pete SchuhSSR5' 10"187Montvale, NJ
41Jorge Diaz NicolasPKFR6' 4"228Madrid, Spain
90Samuel Guiden KrebsPKFR6' 0"216Laois, Ireland
96Ty PowellPKFR6' 0"185Thibodaux, LA
91Cooper HeimbachPFR6' 0"188Wheelersburg, OH
43Chase OrtizLSSO6' 1"220Davie, FL
7Kelvon McBrideEDGEJR6' 2"242Mobile, AL
21Keydel PainterEDGEJR6' 3"243Norfolk, VA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+12.6, #11) · worst: 2016 (-10.4, #112)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#81
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-32-2#110-11.8-4.4-7.4
20255-73-5#81-2.5+1.9-4.4
202410-37-1#49+3.3+1.7+1.6
20236-73-5#99-5.3-3.5-1.8
20229-45-3#57+2.5-4.2+6.7
20217-65-3#50+4.1+1.7+2.4
20207-34-1#37+4.6-3.4+8.0
20198-56-2#72-1.4-2.3+0.9
20189-46-2#64+1.0-1.5+2.4
20178-54-4#70-0.6-2.9+2.3
20163-92-6#112-10.4-6.7-3.7
201510-36-2#47+4.3-0.1+4.4
201413-17-1#11+12.6+9.5+3.1

Marshall's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →