The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs VMI FCS | W 56–17 | +6.9 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 28Boise State | L 7–14 | +3.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 58Ohio | W 33–31 | -0.5 | — | |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 26Cincinnati | L 14–52 | -23.5 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 94Middle TennesseeCONF | L 13–24 | -13.0 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 124Old DominionCONF | W 31–17 | -3.6 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 29Florida AtlanticCONF | W 36–31 | +15.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 68Western KentuckyCONF | W 26–23 | -0.6 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 116RiceCONF | W 20–7 | +5.2 | — | |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 62Louisiana TechCONF | W 31–10 | +17.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 100CharlotteCONF | L 13–24 | -14.6 | — | |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 103Florida InternationalCONF | W 30–27 | -6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 15UCFNEUTRAL | L 25–48 | -11.2 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.9% | 86th | 41.1% | 52nd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 50th | 42.4% | 55th |
| Passing success rate | 34.9% | 112th | 39.8% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.1% | 19th | 14.4% | 56th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.3% | 74th | 11.6% | 79th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 26th | 3.21 | 102nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.7% | 36th | 38.5% | 68th |
| Stuff rate | 15.9% | 28th | 14.1% | 122nd |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 77th | 7.3% | 34th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.9% | 70th | 39.4% | 55th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.8% | 90th | 62.5% | 68th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 57th | 12.3% | 82nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.9 | 91st | 25.0 | 45th |
| Yards / game | 393.8 | 73rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.61 | 68th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 200.4 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.34 | 72nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.3% | 96th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 193.4 | 35th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.73 | 47th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.9% | 86th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 58th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.3 | 65th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →