The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 89UCLA | W 24–14 | +3.8 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 1Ohio State | L 0–42 | -1.6 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 87Miami (OH) | W 35–13 | +15.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 72Marshall | W 52–14 | +30.1 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 15UCFCONF | W 27–24 | +12.2 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 70HoustonCONF | W 38–23 | +16.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 78TulsaCONF | W 24–13 | +6.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 117East CarolinaCONF | W 46–43 | -4.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 127UConnCONF | W 48–3 | +11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 99South FloridaCONF | W 20–17 | -0.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 64TempleCONF | W 15–13 | -1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 18MemphisCONF | L 24–34 | +3.0 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 7 | @ 18Memphis | L 24–29 | +8.0 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 71Boston CollegeNEUTRAL | W 38–6 | +25.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.4% | 69th | 39.1% | 28th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.3% | 52nd | 40.8% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 38.4% | 94th | 37.4% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.7% | 38th | 12.6% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 115th | 11.8% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.06 | 54th | 2.77 | 32nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 41st | 36.5% | 43rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.6% | 47th | 21.1% | 36th |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 104th | 6.1% | 63rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.7% | 37th | 41.0% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.9% | 30th | 42.6% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 13.5% | 86th | 13.5% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.8 | 45th | 18.5 | 10th |
| Yards / game | 390.3 | 80th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.32 | 91st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 182.3 | 107th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.77 | 100th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.2% | 106th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 208.0 | 25th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.73 | 46th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.0% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.43 | 66th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 99th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.8 | 123rd | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ben Bryant | QB | ||||
| 9 | Desmond Ridder | QB | ||||
| 10 | Jake Sopko | QB | ||||
| 3 | Michael Warren II | RB | ||||
| 5 | Tavion Thomas | RB | ||||
| 22 | Ryan Montgomery | RB | ||||
| 23 | Gerrid Doaks | RB | ||||
| 30 | Michael Kopaygorodsky | RB | ||||
| 1 | Blue Smith | WR | ||||
| 2 | Jayshon Jackson | WR | ||||
| 4 | Thomas Geddis | WR | ||||
| 8 | Malick Mbodj | WR | ||||
| 12 | Alec Pierce | WR | ||||
| 13 | Trent Cloud | WR | ||||
| 17 | Rashad Medaris | WR | ||||
| 21 | Tre Tucker | WR | ||||
| 84 | Wyatt Fischer | WR | ||||
| 11 | Leonard Taylor | TE | ||||
| 81 | Josh Whyle | TE | ||||
| 83 | Josiah Deguara | TE | ||||
| 87 | Bruno Labelle | TE | ||||
| 90 | Jabari Taylor | DL | ||||
| 4 | Malik Vann | DE | ||||
| 9 | Michael Pitts | DE | ||||
| 21 | Myjai Sanders | DE | ||||
| 19 | Ethan Tucky | DT | ||||
| 92 | Curtis Brooks | DT | ||||
| 93 | Elijah Ponder | DT | ||||
| 95 | Joe Schroer | DT | ||||
| 99 | Marcus Brown | DT | ||||
| 0 | Darrian Beavers | LB | ||||
| 1 | RJ Potts | LB | ||||
| 6 | Perry Young | LB | ||||
| 8 | Jarell White | LB | ||||
| 11 | Bryan Wright | LB | ||||
| 13 | Ty Van Fossen | LB | ||||
| 19 | Brody Ingle | LB | ||||
| 40 | DeMarco Baker | LB | ||||
| 41 | Joel Dublanko | LB | ||||
| 82 | Wilson Huber | LB | ||||
| 15 | Taj Ward | DB | ||||
| 1 | Arquon Bush | CB | ||||
| 3 | Ja'Quan Sheppard | CB | ||||
| 7 | Coby Bryant | CB | ||||
| 12 | Sauce Gardner | CB | ||||
| 14 | Cam Jefferies | CB | ||||
| 3 | Ja'von Hicks | S | ||||
| 5 | Darrick Forrest | S | ||||
| 20 | Justin Harris | S | ||||
| 29 | Jacob Dingle | S | ||||
| 19 | Cole Smith | PK | ||||
| 31 | Sam Crosa | PK | ||||
| 97 | Ryan Jones | PK | ||||
| 37 | James Smith | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →