Big 12 · 2026

Cincinnati Bearcats

Head coach Scott Satterfield · Nippert Stadium
3-00-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#52
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.4
33rd in FBS
Defense
-0.9
77th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.9
128th toughest
Projected
6.9-5.1
bowl-eligible 78%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.5 now, +0.8 preseason · up 5 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#52

Final record odds

6.9-5.1 expected · most likely 7-5 (22%)
3-96%4-814%5-721%6-622%7-518%8-411%9-310-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs119Boston CollegeW 34–15+8.1—FOX
2Sep 12vsWestern Carolina FCSW 62–10+6.6—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs96Miami (OH)W 35–31-2.6—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs22Kansas StateCONFKansas State −2.0 · o/u 56.2—45%ESPN2
5Oct 3@44ArizonaCONFArizona −3.8 · o/u 53.0—40%FOX
6—Bye
7Oct 17@53West VirginiaCONFWest Virginia −2.9 · o/u 57.5—42%
8Oct 24vs26Texas TechCONFTexas Tech −1.0 · o/u 52.9—48%
9Oct 31vs9UtahCONFUtah −5.5 · o/u 54.2—36%
10Nov 7@33HoustonCONFHouston −5.7 · o/u 56.7—35%
11Nov 14@39Iowa StateCONFIowa State −4.9 · o/u 51.4—38%
12Nov 21vs104ColoradoCONFCincinnati −10.3 · o/u 52.7—75%
13Nov 28@15BYUCONFBYU −9.7 · o/u 54.7—26%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.36214th+0.08683rd
Success rate50.8%23rd41.6%88th
Explosiveness1.25070th1.33099th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.1%26th41.4%86th
Rushing success rate47.5%48th45.1%101st
Passing success rate55.4%14th38.5%64th
Explosive run rate18.8%28th18.3%125th
Explosive pass rate7.5%108th11.5%98th
Line yards / carry3.5129th3.23105th
Opportunity rate43.6%39th38.0%89th
Stuff rate12.9%36th16.9%90th
Sack rate3.6%52nd4.4%85th
3rd-down conversion50.0%29th34.4%49th
Red-zone TD rate100.0%1st44.4%33rd
Havoc rate8.2%15th14.8%62nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game43.720th18.750th
Yards / game491.724th346.375th
Yards / play6.6731st5.3690th
Pass yards / game222.075th241.3109th
Yards / pass att.7.5082nd7.2490th
Completion %78.7%2nd59.0%52nd
Rush yards / game269.78th105.043rd
Yards / carry6.3015th3.6664th
3rd-down conv. %51.4%21st32.4%47th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.337th1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3354th2.6724th
Penalty yards / game71.3112th46.399th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Scott Satterfield

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4JC French IVQBSR6' 1"205Roswell, GA
5Samaj JonesQBJR5' 11"217Philadelphia, PA
10Liam O'BrienQBSR6' 0"210Boulder, CO
12Brooks GoodmanQBFR6' 2"212Atlanta, GA
15Will KocherQBSR6' 2"205Kings Mills, OH
22JJ MillerQBJR6' 0"185Amelia, OH
3Cole TabbRBJR5' 8"200Fort Walton Beach, FL
6Gi'Bran PayneRBSR5' 10"208Cincinnati, OH
7Zylan PerryRBSR5' 11"210Franklin, LA
13Zion JohnsonRBSO5' 8"192Covington, GA
25James LewisRBJR6' 0"200Bloomfield, IN
26Jayzon ThompsonRBFR5' 11"195Knoxville, TN
0Isaiah JohnsonWRJR5' 11"184Fort Walton Beach, FL
2Larenzo FennerWRSR6' 2"183Independence, MO
9Malachi HenryWRSR6' 0"205Van Buren, AR
11JV GibsonWRSR6' 2"208Opelousas, LA
14Elijah JonesWRJR5' 11"195Norristown, PA
16Flynn SchieleWRSR6' 4"210West Linn, OR
17H'eij JacksonWRFR6' 4"206New Orleans, LA
18Giyahni KontosisWRSO6' 1"205Beltsville, MD
19Dadrien WallerWRFR6' 3"205Guntersville, AL
20Joshua SmithWRFR6' 5"205Columbus, OH
27Taizaun BurnsWRSO5' 10"175Columbus, OH
37Ryan TalebWRJR5' 7"175Warner Robins, GA
39Christian MoultonWRSO5' 10"179Powell, OH
89Pierce AyersWRSO5' 10"185Alexandria, VA
82Ka'Maurri SmithTESO6' 5"252Dayton, OH
84Gavin GregoryTEFR6' 7"255Alliance, OH
85Lyviel WatersTEJR6' 2"245Cincinnati, OH
86Kellen DavisTEJR6' 3"248Middletown, OH
87Gavin GroverTEJR6' 6"255Lewis Center, OH
50Evan TengesdahlOLSR6' 3"325Dayton, OH
52Austin HoaneOLFR6' 5"295Cookeville, TN
55Solomon MathisOLFR6' 5"275Hephzibah, GA
63Zac ClarkeOLJR6' 6"312Plainfield, IL
66Xavier LozowickiOLSR6' 5"320Ridley Park, PA
67Luke GroverOLFR6' 5"308Lewis Center, OH
69JP SchrieberOLJR6' 2"305Berwyn, PA
70Cray PaichOLSO6' 5"315Northbrook, IL
71Judea MilonOLSR6' 4"300Killeen, TX
72Nolan LatulippeOLSR6' 8"310Aylmer, Canada
73Aiden PastorizaOLJR6' 6"315Jackson, MI
74Joe CottonOLSR6' 6"320Sioux Falls, SD
75Marcus McGregorOLSO6' 3"312West Des Moines, IA
76Zach TaylorOLSO6' 3"315Kingsland, GA
77Taran TyoOLSR6' 3"325Greenville, OH
78Grant EdgingtonOLSR6' 4"307Madeira, OH
79Luke CollinsOLFR6' 5"305Gahanna, OH
4Marquaze ParkerDLJR6' 3"270West Memphis, AR
11Chidera OtutuDLJR6' 1"300Pflugerville, TX
26Cam RoetherfordDLSR6' 3"280Detroit, MI
88CD McFeeDLSO6' 4"312Elkhart, IN
90Darrius SimmonsDLFR6' 3"300Cairo, GA
92Elijah GunnDLSR6' 0"307LaGrange, GA
94Juan BatesDLFR6' 3"290Mason, OH
95Josh HoughDLSR6' 2"335Beaver Falls, PA
96Nathan NunnDLJR6' 2"282Medina, OH
97Kamron NealDLSO6' 2"268Fort Myers, FL
99Jonathan RuloDLFR6' 1"320Belleville, IL
3Antwan Peek Jr.LBSR6' 1"223Cincinnati, OH
5Marqavious SaboorLBJR5' 11"190Decatur, GA
12Filip MaciorowskiLBSR6' 3"235Carol Stream, IL
15Jamari JohnsonLBSO5' 10"175Birmingham, AL
22Jonathan ThompsonLBSR6' 2"228Columbus, OH
31Simeon ColemanLBJR5' 11"225Seat Pleasant, MD
33George LeiboldLBJR6' 1"220Sarasota, FL
35Drew RobinsonLBJR6' 2"195Clarksville, OH
44Montay WeedonLBJR6' 0"217Silver Spring, MD
45Jaxon NewtonLBFR6' 3"210Anniston, AL
52Ronan CasanovaLBSR5' 10"225Middletown, OH
0Jacob FinleyCBSR6' 0"190Birmingham, AL
6Zay JohnsonCBJR6' 2"185Clinton, SC
14KK MeierCBSR6' 0"205Lubbock, TX
21Jamarion McKinneyCBFR6' 2"195Greenville, SC
25Daniel JamesCBJR5' 10"183Powder Springs, GA
29Kameron HurstCBFR6' 0"166St. Louis, MO
2MJ CannonSSR6' 3"213Evanston, IL
7Ty GoodwillSJR6' 3"195Prichard, AL
18Jasper BeelerSSR6' 1"194Farmington, MI
19CJ JonesSSO5' 9"195Chicago, IL
20CJ CriteSSO6' 1"207Lincolnton, GA
27Markell TaylorSFR5' 11"210Dallas, GA
30D'Angelo HutchinsonSSR6' 3"200St. Petersburg, FL
32Landen SchaeferSSO6' 0"185Cincinnati, OH
46Xavier StarksSFR5' 11"205Birmingham, AL
93Max LemastersPKSR5' 6"175Cincinnati, OH
99Stephen RusnakPKSR6' 0"185Clarkston, MI
31Max FletcherPSR6' 6"190Melbourne, Australia
35Dino BeslagicPSR6' 4"203Santa Clara, CA
41Kenny BakerLSFR6' 0"218Cincinnati, OH
48Eli SteinLSSR6' 3"225Cambridge, WI
10Patrick BauerEDGESR6' 3"235Mount Prospect, IL
17Brian Simms IIIEDGESR6' 3"240Baltimore, MD
24Terrell HolcombEDGESO6' 1"230Gahanna, OH
34Myles HarrisonEDGESO6' 2"235Pickerington, OH
54Thomas JohnsonEDGESR6' 3"255Lawndale, CA
60Lance DawsonEDGEFR6' 4"258Avon, OH
82James EarlyEDGESO6' 3"257Fort Wayne, IN
91Drew LoganEDGESR6' 4"270North Canton, OH
93Keegan HornEDGEFR6' 3"235Hueytown, AL

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →