American · 2021 · Final

Cincinnati Bearcats 2021

13-18-0 in conference
Final TDC rank
#5
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+14.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.0
17th in FBS
Defense
+8.5
5th in FBS
Schedule
-0.7
59th toughest
Preseason
+7.5
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+14.5 now, +7.5 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#5

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vs60Miami (OH)W 49–14+27.5—ESPN+
2Sep 11vsMurray State FCSW 42–7+6.3—ESPN+
3Sep 18@103IndianaW 38–24+10.0—ESPN
4—Bye
5Oct 2@6Notre DameW 24–13+26.4—NBC
6Oct 8vs127TempleCONFW 52–3+14.0—ESPN
7Oct 16vs55UCFCONFW 56–21+28.3—ESPNEWS
8Oct 23@90NavyCONFW 27–20+5.4—ESPN2
9Oct 30@88TulaneCONFW 31–12+17.6—ESPN2
10Nov 6vs70TulsaCONFW 28–20+5.2—ESPN2
11Nov 12@109South FloridaCONFW 45–28+10.8—ESPNEWS
12Nov 20vs34SMUCONFW 48–14+30.8—ESPN
13Nov 26@67East CarolinaCONFW 35–13+24.6—ABC
14Dec 4vs22HoustonW 35–20+20.2—ABC
BowlsDec 31vs2AlabamaNEUTRALL 6–27-2.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate52.0%7th39.4%22nd
Rushing success rate53.8%7th42.5%42nd
Passing success rate50.3%10th35.7%10th
Explosive run rate15.7%48th11.3%16th
Explosive pass rate13.8%14th8.2%13th
Line yards / carry3.1961st2.9029th
Opportunity rate42.0%41st34.9%24th
Stuff rate17.3%83rd18.9%29th
Sack rate5.4%46th8.9%11th
3rd-down conversion38.8%88th36.0%23rd
Red-zone TD rate67.3%34th53.1%35th
Havoc rate9.9%95th12.3%10th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.516th16.95th
Yards / game413.161st305.97th
Yards / play6.5010th4.154th
Pass yards / game241.258th151.23rd
Yards / pass att.8.4425th5.683rd
Completion %64.3%35th53.5%4th
Rush yards / game171.956th137.547th
Yards / carry5.1821st3.3313th
3rd-down conv. %39.2%74th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3661st——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8644th2.8527th
Penalty yards / game53.969th——

Players

59 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

59 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →