The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 60Miami (OH) | W 49–14 | +27.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Murray State FCS | W 42–7 | +6.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 103Indiana | W 38–24 | +10.0 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 6Notre Dame | W 24–13 | +26.4 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 127TempleCONF | W 52–3 | +14.0 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 55UCFCONF | W 56–21 | +28.3 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 90NavyCONF | W 27–20 | +5.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 88TulaneCONF | W 31–12 | +17.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 70TulsaCONF | W 28–20 | +5.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 109South FloridaCONF | W 45–28 | +10.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 34SMUCONF | W 48–14 | +30.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 67East CarolinaCONF | W 35–13 | +24.6 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 22Houston | W 35–20 | +20.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 2AlabamaNEUTRAL | L 6–27 | -2.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.0% | 7th | 39.4% | 22nd |
| Rushing success rate | 53.8% | 7th | 42.5% | 42nd |
| Passing success rate | 50.3% | 10th | 35.7% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.7% | 48th | 11.3% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.8% | 14th | 8.2% | 13th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 61st | 2.90 | 29th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.0% | 41st | 34.9% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 83rd | 18.9% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 5.4% | 46th | 8.9% | 11th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.8% | 88th | 36.0% | 23rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.3% | 34th | 53.1% | 35th |
| Havoc rate | 9.9% | 95th | 12.3% | 10th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.5 | 16th | 16.9 | 5th |
| Yards / game | 413.1 | 61st | 305.9 | 7th |
| Yards / play | 6.50 | 10th | 4.15 | 4th |
| Pass yards / game | 241.2 | 58th | 151.2 | 3rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.44 | 25th | 5.68 | 3rd |
| Completion % | 64.3% | 35th | 53.5% | 4th |
| Rush yards / game | 171.9 | 56th | 137.5 | 47th |
| Yards / carry | 5.18 | 21st | 3.33 | 13th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.2% | 74th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 44th | 2.85 | 27th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.9 | 69th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Desmond Ridder | QB | ||||
| 0 | Chuck McClelland | RB | ||||
| 4 | Ethan Wright | RB | ||||
| 22 | Ryan Montgomery | RB | ||||
| 24 | Jerome Ford | RB | ||||
| 30 | Michael Kopaygorodsky | RB | ||||
| 36 | Lewis Shepherd | RB | ||||
| 3 | Evan Prater | WR | ||||
| 5 | Jordan Jones | WR | ||||
| 7 | Tre Tucker | WR | ||||
| 8 | Michael Young Jr. | WR | ||||
| 12 | Alec Pierce | WR | ||||
| 19 | Will Pauling | WR | ||||
| 20 | Jadon Thompson | WR | ||||
| 21 | Tyler Scott | WR | ||||
| 80 | Chris Scott | WR | ||||
| 11 | Leonard Taylor | TE | ||||
| 81 | Josh Whyle | TE | ||||
| 82 | Noah Davis | TE | ||||
| 88 | Payten Singletary | TE | ||||
| 59 | Jake Renfro | OL | ||||
| 75 | John Williams | OL | ||||
| 30 | Rob Jackson | DL | ||||
| 90 | Jabari Taylor | DL | ||||
| 91 | Miles Manigault | DL | ||||
| 98 | Mychal Keys | DL | ||||
| 21 | Myjai Sanders | DE | ||||
| 42 | Malik Vann | DE | ||||
| 97 | Eric Phillips | DE | ||||
| 18 | Jowon Briggs | DT | ||||
| 92 | Curtis Brooks | DT | ||||
| 99 | Marcus Brown | DT | ||||
| 0 | Darrian Beavers | LB | ||||
| 2 | Wilson Huber | LB | ||||
| 13 | Ty Van Fossen | LB | ||||
| 20 | Deshawn Pace | LB | ||||
| 23 | Daved Jones Jr. | LB | ||||
| 37 | Devin Hightower | LB | ||||
| 41 | Joel Dublanko | LB | ||||
| 49 | Jack Dingle | LB | ||||
| 10 | Bryon Threats | DB | ||||
| 15 | Taj Ward | DB | ||||
| 1 | Sauce Gardner | CB | ||||
| 7 | Coby Bryant | CB | ||||
| 9 | Arquon Bush | CB | ||||
| 14 | Todd Bumphis | CB | ||||
| Team | CB | |||||
| 3 | Ja'von Hicks | S | ||||
| 4 | Justin Harris | S | ||||
| 6 | Bryan Cook | S | ||||
| 29 | Jacob Dingle | S | ||||
| 40 | Leroy Bowers | S | ||||
| 17 | Cole Smith | PK | ||||
| 90 | Christian Lowery | PK | ||||
| 91 | Alex Bales | PK | ||||
| 31 | Mason Fletcher | P | ||||
| 24 | Jaheim Thomas | EDGE | ||||
| 60 | Joe Huber | G | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →