The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs UC Davis FCS | L 17–19 | -23.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 7Oklahoma State | L 23–28 | +8.4 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 3Ohio State | L 20–41 | -1.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 120Arkansas State | W 41–34 | -7.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 22HoustonCONF | L 10–45 | -22.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 79MemphisCONF | W 35–29 | +1.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 109South FloridaCONF | W 32–31 | -5.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 90NavyCONF | L 17–20 | -9.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 5CincinnatiCONF | L 20–28 | +8.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 13 | @ 88TulaneCONF | W 20–13 | +5.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 127TempleCONF | W 44–10 | +8.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 34SMUCONF | W 34–31 | +10.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 95Old DominionNEUTRAL | W 30–17 | +8.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.9% | 61st | 42.7% | 56th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.1% | 81st | 44.9% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 35th | 40.3% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 87th | 13.9% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.3% | 76th | 11.6% | 91st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.97 | 95th | 2.94 | 38th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.2% | 91st | 35.8% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 75th | 19.3% | 24th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 27th | 5.8% | 75th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.6% | 61st | 37.8% | 45th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 110th | 71.0% | 114th |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 109th | 10.3% | 35th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.5 | 80th | 26.6 | 70th |
| Yards / game | 442.3 | 27th | 379.5 | 69th |
| Yards / play | 5.84 | 52nd | 5.27 | 59th |
| Pass yards / game | 250.3 | 53rd | 221.2 | 76th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.94 | 49th | 7.36 | 74th |
| Completion % | 59.3% | 84th | 58.5% | 39th |
| Rush yards / game | 192.0 | 36th | 147.8 | 61st |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 53rd | 3.85 | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.6% | 76th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.85 | 119th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 49th | 2.08 | 72nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 71.5 | 124th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braylon Braxton | QB | ||||
| 7 | Davis Brin | QB | ||||
| 10 | Roman Fuller | QB | ||||
| 3 | Shamari Brooks | RB | ||||
| 6 | Jordan Ford | RB | ||||
| 8 | Deneric Prince | RB | ||||
| 23 | Anthony Watkins | RB | ||||
| 24 | Steven Anderson | RB | ||||
| 0 | Ezra Naylor II | WR | ||||
| 2 | Keylon Stokes | WR | ||||
| 4 | Josh Johnson | WR | ||||
| 5 | JuanCarlos Santana | WR | ||||
| 9 | Sam Crawford | WR | ||||
| 20 | Cannon Montgomery | WR | ||||
| 86 | Kamdyn Benjamin | WR | ||||
| 32 | James Palmer | TE | ||||
| 38 | Abe Anderson | TE | ||||
| 47 | Ethan Hall | TE | ||||
| 80 | Bayne Tryon | TE | ||||
| 56 | Tyler Smith | OT | ||||
| 44 | Joseph Anderson | DL | ||||
| 52 | Deven Lamp | DL | ||||
| 58 | Elijah Taylor | DL | ||||
| 90 | Jaxon Player | DL | ||||
| 91 | Cullen Wick | DL | ||||
| 97 | Tyarise Stevenson | DL | ||||
| 99 | Everitt Rogers | DL | ||||
| 94 | Anthony Goodlow | DE | ||||
| 6 | Jon-Michael Terry | LB | ||||
| 8 | Brian Johnson | LB | ||||
| 11 | Treyvon Reeves | LB | ||||
| 19 | Grant Sawyer | LB | ||||
| 30 | Justin Wright | LB | ||||
| 35 | Yohance Burnett | LB | ||||
| 40 | Mitchell Kulkin | LB | ||||
| 41 | Dorian Hopkins | LB | ||||
| 15 | Reggie Ellis | DB | ||||
| 28 | Jett Hendrix | DB | ||||
| 0 | Tyon Davis | CB | ||||
| 5 | Kenney Solomon II | CB | ||||
| 12 | Tyree Carlisle | CB | ||||
| 1 | Kendarin Ray | S | ||||
| 3 | Cristian Williams | S | ||||
| 7 | TieNeal Martin | S | ||||
| 9 | Daiquain Jackson | S | ||||
| 10 | Sean O'Keefe | S | ||||
| 13 | Malachai Jones | S | ||||
| 21 | Bryson Powers | S | ||||
| 22 | LJ Wallace | S | ||||
| 25 | Jaise Oliver | S | ||||
| 37 | Hunter Rangel | S | ||||
| 43 | Tyler Tipton | PK | ||||
| 90 | Zack Long | PK | ||||
| 37 | Lachlan Wilson | P | ||||
| 2 | Travon Fuller | DEF | ||||
| 4 | Robert Revels III | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →