The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 42–17 | +2.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 120Arkansas State | W 55–50 | -4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 58Mississippi State | W 31–29 | +2.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 42UTSA | L 28–31 | -0.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 127TempleCONF | L 31–34 | -17.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 70TulsaCONF | L 29–35 | -4.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 90NavyCONF | W 35–17 | +11.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 55UCFCONF | L 7–24 | -12.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 34SMUCONF | W 28–25 | +6.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 67East CarolinaCONF | L 29–30 | -3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 22HoustonCONF | L 13–31 | -8.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 88TulaneCONF | W 33–28 | -1.0 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 24 | @ 94Hawai'i | Memphis −0.5 · o/u 61.5 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.9% | 77th | 44.9% | 81st |
| Rushing success rate | 42.9% | 88th | 45.6% | 75th |
| Passing success rate | 42.9% | 68th | 44.1% | 84th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 104th | 13.2% | 41st |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.0% | 43rd | 9.5% | 39th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 84th | 3.29 | 98th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.5% | 71st | 36.7% | 46th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 75th | 12.1% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 65th | 6.0% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 48.7% | 121st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 71st | 63.0% | 86th |
| Havoc rate | 8.6% | 61st | 8.0% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.3 | 53rd | 29.3 | 89th |
| Yards / game | 435.8 | 35th | 418.0 | 95th |
| Yards / play | 5.88 | 49th | 5.26 | 58th |
| Pass yards / game | 298.8 | 16th | 234.9 | 101st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.06 | 43rd | 6.88 | 38th |
| Completion % | 60.2% | 73rd | 63.4% | 94th |
| Rush yards / game | 137.1 | 91st | 167.4 | 91st |
| Yards / carry | 3.95 | 86th | 4.11 | 70th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 61st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 81st | 2.25 | 61st |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.6 | 12th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Parrish | QB | ||||
| 14 | Seth Henigan | QB | ||||
| 2 | Rodrigues Clark | RB | ||||
| 11 | Kylan Watkins | RB | ||||
| 22 | Brandon Thomas | RB | ||||
| 24 | Cameron Fleming | RB | ||||
| 26 | Marquavius Weaver | RB | ||||
| 28 | Asa Martin | RB | ||||
| 3 | Roc Taylor | WR | ||||
| 3 | Eric Rivers Jr. | WR | ||||
| 4 | Calvin Austin III | WR | ||||
| 5 | Sean Dykes | WR | ||||
| 6 | Marcayll Jones | WR | ||||
| 9 | Gabriel Rogers | WR | ||||
| 13 | Javon Ivory | WR | ||||
| 17 | Cameron Wright | WR | ||||
| 18 | Eddie Lewis | WR | ||||
| 84 | Khi Mathieu | WR | ||||
| 85 | Koby Drake | WR | ||||
| 86 | Caden Prieskorn | TE | ||||
| 0 | Maurice White | DL | ||||
| 7 | John Tate IV | DL | ||||
| 15 | Drew Martin | DL | ||||
| 22 | Jaylon Allen | DL | ||||
| 91 | Morris Joseph Jr. | DL | ||||
| 93 | Meonta Kimbrough | DL | ||||
| 95 | John Cartwright | DL | ||||
| 96 | Zy Brockington | DL | ||||
| 97 | Wardalis Ducksworth | DL | ||||
| 99 | Cam Jackson | DT | ||||
| 0 | Thomas Pickens | LB | ||||
| 3 | Keith Brown Jr. | LB | ||||
| 8 | Xavier Cullens | LB | ||||
| 23 | J.J. Russell | LB | ||||
| 46 | Cole Mashburn | LB | ||||
| 1 | Cobi Francis | DB | ||||
| 2 | Julian Barnett | DB | ||||
| 11 | Sylvonta Oliver | DB | ||||
| 22 | Tyrez Lindsey | DB | ||||
| 24 | Greg Rubin | DB | ||||
| 30 | Rodney Owens | DB | ||||
| 41 | Sanchez Blake Jr. | DB | ||||
| 1 | Josh Hastings | S | ||||
| 15 | Quindell Johnson | S | ||||
| 29 | Cam Smith | S | ||||
| 37 | David Kemp | PK | ||||
| 17 | Joe Doyle | P | ||||
| 42 | Preston Brady | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →