Final TDC rank
#42
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.4
22nd in FBS
Defense
+0.4
62nd in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
101st toughest
Preseason
-0.5
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.8 now, -0.5 preseason · up 32 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 73Illinois | W 37–30 | +8.0 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Lamar FCS | W 54–0 | +12.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 81Middle TennesseeCONF | W 27–13 | +9.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 79Memphis | W 31–28 | +3.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 111UNLV | W 24–17 | -4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 21Western KentuckyCONF | W 52–46 | +16.0 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 113RiceCONF | W 45–0 | +18.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 108Louisiana TechCONF | W 45–16 | +20.2 | — | |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 96UTEPCONF | W 44–23 | +18.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 118Southern MissCONF | W 27–17 | -3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 49UABCONF | W 34–31 | +4.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 93North TexasCONF | L 23–45 | -24.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs21Western Kentucky | W 49–41 | +13.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 47San Diego StateNEUTRAL | L 24–38 | -9.6 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.1% | 36th | 44.2% | 75th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.3% | 69th | 44.2% | 65th |
| Passing success rate | 49.2% | 15th | 44.2% | 85th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.3% | 83rd | 13.4% | 46th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 47th | 13.1% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 44th | 3.15 | 76th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.6% | 55th | 39.5% | 84th |
| Stuff rate | 16.5% | 72nd | 17.0% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 3.3% | 10th | 6.9% | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.5% | 19th | 41.0% | 67th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.1% | 42nd | 59.0% | 62nd |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 54th | 11.1% | 22nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.9 | 13th | 24.6 | 49th |
| Yards / game | 439.0 | 34th | 363.8 | 48th |
| Yards / play | 6.01 | 43rd | 5.37 | 70th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.5 | 43rd | 234.0 | 96th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.02 | 45th | 8.22 | 109th |
| Completion % | 64.8% | 30th | 58.4% | 37th |
| Rush yards / game | 183.5 | 43rd | 111.5 | 14th |
| Yards / carry | 4.62 | 49th | 3.23 | 11th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.1% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.93 | 21st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 23rd | 2.46 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.9 | 57th | — | — |
Players
69 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
69 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →