
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs Monmouth FCS | W 50–15 | +6.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 78Virginia Tech | L 14–35 | -20.4 | — | ACCNX |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 42UTSACONF | L 13–27 | -6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 114CharlotteCONF | L 39–42 | -11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 50MarshallCONF | W 34–28 | +7.8 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 39Liberty | L 13–41 | -18.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 129UConn | W 44–13 | +9.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 118Southern MissCONF | W 35–10 | +10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 21Western KentuckyCONF | L 21–48 | -15.1 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 128Florida InternationalCONF | W 50–10 | +9.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 95Old DominionCONF | L 17–24 | -14.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 91Florida AtlanticCONF | W 27–17 | +8.0 | — | |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 53ToledoNEUTRAL | W 31–24 | +10.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 102nd | 43.3% | 61st |
| Rushing success rate | 41.9% | 95th | 48.7% | 105th |
| Passing success rate | 39.4% | 94th | 39.2% | 33rd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.3% | 83rd | 17.2% | 106th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 87th | 9.6% | 44th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 89th | 3.52 | 118th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.2% | 75th | 43.6% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 101st | 12.1% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 62nd | 4.6% | 100th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.6% | 113th | 41.2% | 71st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 53rd | 69.7% | 110th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 94th | 9.5% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.8 | 55th | 25.7 | 56th |
| Yards / game | 362.1 | 96th | 367.4 | 54th |
| Yards / play | 4.97 | 106th | 4.90 | 28th |
| Pass yards / game | 238.5 | 62nd | 219.3 | 73rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.70 | 102nd | 6.33 | 17th |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 39th | 59.5% | 58th |
| Rush yards / game | 123.7 | 100th | 128.8 | 33rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.52 | 105th | 3.70 | 40th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.4% | 125th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 61st | 2.50 | 48th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.6 | 79th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →