CUSA · 2021 · Final

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2021

9-57-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#21
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+7.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+11.1
3rd in FBS
Defense
-3.4
99th in FBS
Schedule
-3.0
93rd toughest
Preseason
-3.4
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.6 now, -3.4 preseason · up 81 spots since preseason
-50+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#21

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsUT Martin FCSW 59–21+7.3—ESPN+
2Sep 11@41ArmyL 35–38+4.2—CBSSN
3—Bye
4Sep 25vs103IndianaL 31–33-10.6—CBSSN
5Oct 2@23Michigan StateL 31–48-7.2—FS1
6Oct 9vs42UTSACONFL 46–52-3.5—
7Oct 16@95Old DominionCONFW 43–20+20.6—ESPN3
8Oct 23@128Florida InternationalCONFW 34–19-0.6—ESPN+
9Oct 30vs114CharlotteCONFW 45–13+14.1—ESPN+
10Nov 6vs81Middle TennesseeCONFW 48–21+20.3—
11Nov 13@113RiceCONFW 42–21+13.2—ESPN+
12Nov 20vs91Florida AtlanticCONFW 52–17+21.3—
13Nov 27@50MarshallCONFW 53–21+33.2—CBSSN
14Dec 3@42UTSAL 41–49-0.9—CBSSN
BowlsDec 18vs20Appalachian StateNEUTRALW 59–38+28.7—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate54.0%3rd45.4%89th
Rushing success rate50.3%26th46.7%88th
Passing success rate55.4%4th44.2%85th
Explosive run rate16.1%44th13.4%46th
Explosive pass rate12.7%33rd9.2%29th
Line yards / carry3.3924th3.2184th
Opportunity rate42.3%35th38.3%61st
Stuff rate12.6%20th13.6%100th
Sack rate2.4%1st6.7%49th
3rd-down conversion48.1%12th45.0%104th
Red-zone TD rate66.2%41st52.1%29th
Havoc rate8.7%68th11.3%19th
Box score · season totals
Points / game44.23rd29.490th
Yards / game536.22nd422.597th
Yards / play7.063rd5.3065th
Pass yards / game433.71st245.9111th
Yards / pass att.8.7115th7.0145th
Completion %68.9%9th61.2%74th
Rush yards / game102.5119th161.380th
Yards / carry4.1175th4.0363rd
3rd-down conv. %46.5%9th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.4373rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2112th2.4650th
Penalty yards / game54.170th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →