Final TDC rank
#41
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.4
53rd in FBS
Defense
+3.5
29th in FBS
Schedule
-2.3
80th toughest
Preseason
+1.6
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.9 now, +1.6 preseason · up 6 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 69Georgia State | W 43–10 | +29.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 21Western Kentucky | W 38–35 | +8.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 129UConn | W 52–21 | +4.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 60Miami (OH) | W 23–10 | +12.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 86Ball State | L 16–28 | -13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 13Wisconsin | L 14–20 | +6.0 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 16Wake Forest | L 56–70 | -8.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 27Air ForceNEUTRAL | W 21–14 | +14.0 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs Bucknell FCS | W 63–10 | +12.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 130Massachusetts | W 33–17 | -7.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 39Liberty | W 31–16 | +22.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | — | Bye | ||||
| 15 | Dec 11 | vs 90NavyNEUTRAL | L 13–17 | -7.9 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 85MissouriNEUTRAL | W 24–22 | -0.8 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.7% | 33rd | 43.5% | 66th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.0% | 41st | 41.8% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 45.9% | 32nd | 45.1% | 95th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 96th | 14.5% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 24.8% | 1st | 11.4% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 59th | 2.97 | 46th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.9% | 110th | 37.1% | 51st |
| Stuff rate | 10.9% | 6th | 16.6% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 5.4% | 46th | 7.4% | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.4% | 21st | 39.3% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.7% | 13th | 74.1% | 120th |
| Havoc rate | 6.7% | 15th | 12.1% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.9 | 35th | 22.3 | 32nd |
| Yards / game | 375.5 | 83rd | 320.3 | 15th |
| Yards / play | 5.58 | 70th | 5.51 | 78th |
| Pass yards / game | 94.8 | 129th | 195.9 | 41st |
| Yards / pass att. | 11.21 | 1st | 8.19 | 108th |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 117th | 57.2% | 24th |
| Rush yards / game | 280.6 | 2nd | 111.3 | 13th |
| Yards / carry | 4.81 | 37th | 3.67 | 39th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.1% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.62 | 4th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.54 | 1st | 2.25 | 61st |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.9 | 7th | — | — |
Players
75 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
75 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →