Final TDC rank
#86
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-3.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.4
89th in FBS
Defense
-1.0
76th in FBS
Schedule
-2.2
78th toughest
Preseason
+5.1
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-3.4 now, +5.1 preseason · down 72 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Western Illinois FCS | W 31–21 | -11.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 19Penn State | L 13–44 | -16.5 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 82Wyoming | L 12–45 | -27.3 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 53ToledoCONF | L 12–22 | -9.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 41Army | W 28–16 | +14.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 62Western MichiganCONF | W 45–20 | +28.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 87Eastern MichiganCONF | W 38–31 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 60Miami (OH)CONF | L 17–24 | -7.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 126AkronCONF | W 31–25 | -7.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 84Northern IllinoisCONF | L 29–30 | -1.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 63Central MichiganCONF | L 17–37 | -20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 98BuffaloCONF | W 20–3 | +9.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 25 | vs 69Georgia StateNEUTRAL | L 20–51 | -26.7 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 102nd | 49.3% | 120th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.2% | 111th | 47.1% | 91st |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 86th | 51.9% | 128th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 91st | 13.9% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 106th | 9.6% | 44th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 91st | 3.28 | 93rd |
| Opportunity rate | 35.7% | 97th | 39.3% | 78th |
| Stuff rate | 13.0% | 28th | 12.8% | 109th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 40th | 4.7% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.8% | 73rd | 41.8% | 80th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.6% | 99th | 51.0% | 25th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 54th | 6.5% | 113th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.1 | 94th | 28.4 | 82nd |
| Yards / game | 337.2 | 111th | 415.7 | 93rd |
| Yards / play | 4.82 | 112th | 5.63 | 87th |
| Pass yards / game | 207.6 | 89th | 234.8 | 99th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.13 | 116th | 7.86 | 99th |
| Completion % | 60.7% | 70th | 65.2% | 107th |
| Rush yards / game | 129.6 | 96th | 169.5 | 93rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.79 | 95th | 4.18 | 74th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.9% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 15th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 49th | 1.92 | 83rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.9 | 14th | — | — |
Players
68 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
68 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →