The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs Montana State FCS | W 19–16 | -18.6 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 84Northern Illinois | W 50–43 | +6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 86Ball State | W 45–12 | +21.4 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 129UConn | W 24–22 | -14.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 27Air ForceCONF | L 14–24 | -0.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 43Fresno StateCONF | L 0–17 | -14.5 | — | FS2 |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 121New MexicoCONF | L 3–14 | -26.6 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 105San José StateCONF | L 21–27 | -10.3 | — | FS2 |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 100Colorado StateCONF | W 31–17 | +6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 14Boise StateCONF | L 13–23 | +1.0 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 56Utah StateCONF | W 44–17 | +29.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 94Hawai'iCONF | L 14–38 | -30.9 | — | |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 102Kent StateNEUTRAL | W 52–38 | +8.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.5% | 66th | 41.5% | 47th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.2% | 50th | 42.3% | 38th |
| Passing success rate | 40.1% | 90th | 40.5% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 91st | 14.8% | 71st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 84th | 9.2% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 29th | 3.28 | 96th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.7% | 31st | 37.9% | 58th |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 42nd | 13.1% | 104th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 65th | 6.0% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.6% | 33rd | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.6% | 45th | 58.5% | 58th |
| Havoc rate | 7.8% | 40th | 7.3% | 100th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.4 | 85th | 23.7 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 374.4 | 85th | 346.6 | 37th |
| Yards / play | 5.64 | 69th | 4.99 | 34th |
| Pass yards / game | 162.7 | 117th | 165.7 | 8th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.12 | 84th | 6.09 | 10th |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 117th | 57.7% | 27th |
| Rush yards / game | 211.7 | 20th | 169.1 | 92nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.07 | 27th | 4.37 | 84th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 35th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 37th | 1.67 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.9 | 31st | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sean Chambers | QB | ||||
| 15 | Levi Williams | QB | ||||
| 6 | Xazavian Valladay | RB | ||||
| 7 | Trey Smith | RB | ||||
| 8 | Titus Swen | RB | ||||
| 21 | Jeremy Hollingsworth | RB | ||||
| 30 | Dawaiian McNeely | RB | ||||
| 36 | Caleb Driskill | FB | ||||
| 5 | Isaiah Neyor | WR | ||||
| 9 | Alex Brown | WR | ||||
| 11 | Wyatt Wieland | WR | ||||
| 14 | Tyrese Grant | WR | ||||
| 18 | Joshua Hardeman | WR | ||||
| 19 | Ayden Eberhardt | WR | ||||
| 29 | Caleb Cooley | WR | ||||
| 80 | Parker Christensen | TE | ||||
| 81 | Treyton Welch | TE | ||||
| 82 | Jackson Marcotte | TE | ||||
| 86 | Nick Miles | TE | ||||
| 88 | Colin O'Brien | TE | ||||
| 72 | Kohl Levao | OL | ||||
| 44 | Victor Jones | DL | ||||
| 87 | Oluwaseyi Omotosho | DL | ||||
| 91 | Jaylen Pate | DL | ||||
| 98 | Ravontae Holt | DL | ||||
| 49 | Teagan Liufau | DE | ||||
| 54 | Sabastian Harsh | DE | ||||
| 88 | Garrett Crall | DE | ||||
| 93 | DeVonne Harris | DE | ||||
| 90 | Gavin Meyer | DT | ||||
| 95 | Caleb Robinson | DT | ||||
| 96 | Jordan Bertagnole | DT | ||||
| 94 | Cole Godbout | NT | ||||
| 0 | Alfred Chea | LB | ||||
| 25 | Blake Harrington | LB | ||||
| 28 | Easton Gibbs | LB | ||||
| 33 | Connor Shay | LB | ||||
| 41 | Nolan Askelson | LB | ||||
| 43 | Shae Suiaunoa | LB | ||||
| 48 | Chad Muma | LB | ||||
| 8 | Rome Weber | DB | ||||
| 12 | Cam Stone | DB | ||||
| 18 | Keyon Blankenbaker | DB | ||||
| 20 | Azizi Hearn | DB | ||||
| 30 | Buck Coors | DB | ||||
| 6 | Keonte Glinton | CB | ||||
| 21 | C.J. Coldon Jr. | CB | ||||
| 5 | Esaias Gandy | S | ||||
| 14 | Miles Williams | S | ||||
| 26 | Braden Smith | S | ||||
| 31 | Wyett Ekeler | S | ||||
| 42 | Isaac White | S | ||||
| 46 | John Hoyland | PK | ||||
| 27 | Ralph Fawaz | P | ||||
| 46 | Isaiah Perez | LS | ||||
| 71 | Tommy Sullivan | LS | ||||
| 51 | Solomon Byrd | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →