Final TDC rank
#102
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-5.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.6
28th in FBS
Defense
-9.6
126th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
101st toughest
Preseason
+1.6
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-5.9 now, +1.6 preseason · down 56 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 15Texas A&M | L 10–41 | -15.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs VMI FCS | W 60–10 | +11.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 32Iowa | L 7–30 | -14.5 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 71Maryland | L 16–37 | -19.2 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 117Bowling GreenCONF | W 27–20 | -6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 98BuffaloCONF | W 48–38 | +2.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 62Western MichiganCONF | L 31–64 | -23.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 110OhioCONF | W 34–27 | +0.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 84Northern IllinoisCONF | W 52–47 | -0.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 63Central MichiganCONF | L 30–54 | -20.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 126AkronCONF | W 38–0 | +15.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 60Miami (OH)CONF | W 48–47 | +0.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs84Northern IllinoisNEUTRAL | L 23–41 | -20.8 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 82WyomingNEUTRAL | L 38–52 | -16.5 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.9% | 11th | 48.9% | 117th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.7% | 8th | 50.1% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 47.2% | 25th | 47.8% | 113th |
| Explosive run rate | 21.3% | 4th | 15.7% | 88th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 51st | 9.4% | 35th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.54 | 14th | 3.41 | 108th |
| Opportunity rate | 49.3% | 1st | 42.3% | 104th |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 42nd | 15.1% | 82nd |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 113th | 3.9% | 114th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.6% | 18th | 49.7% | 126th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.7% | 104th | 59.3% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 68th | 6.0% | 118th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.0 | 33rd | 36.3 | 119th |
| Yards / game | 493.4 | 5th | 467.1 | 122nd |
| Yards / play | 6.33 | 15th | 5.94 | 104th |
| Pass yards / game | 244.6 | 57th | 266.5 | 124th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.46 | 23rd | 7.56 | 83rd |
| Completion % | 64.4% | 34th | 62.8% | 93rd |
| Rush yards / game | 248.7 | 3rd | 190.4 | 106th |
| Yards / carry | 5.38 | 9th | 4.70 | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.6% | 33rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.86 | 12th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.86 | 108th | 1.54 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.9 | 121st | — | — |
Players
62 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
62 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →