Final TDC rank
#98
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-5.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.4
82nd in FBS
Defense
-3.6
101st in FBS
Schedule
-4.8
122nd toughest
Preseason
+6.7
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-5.0 now, +6.7 preseason · down 90 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Wagner FCS | W 69–7 | +15.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 44Nebraska | L 3–28 | -17.5 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 28Coastal Carolina | L 25–28 | +1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 95Old Dominion | W 35–34 | -1.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 62Western MichiganCONF | L 17–24 | -7.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 102Kent StateCONF | L 38–48 | -13.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 110OhioCONF | W 27–26 | -10.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 126AkronCONF | W 45–10 | +14.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 117Bowling GreenCONF | L 44–56 | -25.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 60Miami (OH)CONF | L 18–45 | -20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 84Northern IllinoisCONF | L 27–33 | -11.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 86Ball StateCONF | L 3–20 | -18.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.0% | 10th | 39.2% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.5% | 77th | 45.7% | 76th |
| Passing success rate | 57.2% | 3rd | 32.7% | 1st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 107th | 19.0% | 122nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.7% | 3rd | 9.9% | 48th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 77th | 3.18 | 81st |
| Opportunity rate | 33.5% | 115th | 42.5% | 106th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 58th | 15.1% | 82nd |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 9th | 10.3% | 6th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.6% | 44th | 35.4% | 20th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.6% | 79th | 61.4% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 5.6% | 3rd | 9.2% | 58th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.2 | 68th | 29.9 | 91st |
| Yards / game | 410.4 | 63rd | 416.3 | 94th |
| Yards / play | 5.34 | 85th | 6.06 | 110th |
| Pass yards / game | 214.9 | 82nd | 200.7 | 46th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.03 | 88th | 8.91 | 123rd |
| Completion % | 59.4% | 81st | 61.7% | 79th |
| Rush yards / game | 195.5 | 30th | 195.2 | 110th |
| Yards / carry | 4.35 | 62nd | 4.79 | 108th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.5% | 10th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.33 | 17th | 3.08 | 16th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.0 | 60th | — | — |
Players
61 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
61 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →