
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 4Michigan | L 14–47 | -10.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Illinois State FCS | W 28–0 | +3.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 9Pittsburgh | W 44–41 | +15.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 105San José State | W 23–3 | +11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 98BuffaloCONF | W 24–17 | +4.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 86Ball StateCONF | L 20–45 | -30.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 102Kent StateCONF | W 64–31 | +18.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 53ToledoCONF | L 15–34 | -13.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 63Central MichiganCONF | L 30–42 | -12.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 126AkronCONF | W 45–40 | -13.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 87Eastern MichiganCONF | L 21–22 | -2.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 84Northern IllinoisCONF | W 42–21 | +20.5 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 46NevadaNEUTRAL | W 52–24 | +29.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.3% | 15th | 39.2% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.5% | 14th | 43.7% | 60th |
| Passing success rate | 47.3% | 24th | 34.5% | 6th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 52nd | 16.8% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.4% | 4th | 12.6% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.57 | 7th | 2.84 | 25th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.3% | 17th | 38.9% | 71st |
| Stuff rate | 11.6% | 12th | 22.2% | 5th |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 88th | 12.0% | 1st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.8% | 9th | 27.4% | 2nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.5% | 76th | 44.7% | 10th |
| Havoc rate | 6.1% | 6th | 14.1% | 2nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.5 | 37th | 28.4 | 82nd |
| Yards / game | 467.7 | 12th | 339.3 | 28th |
| Yards / play | 6.16 | 33rd | 5.64 | 88th |
| Pass yards / game | 253.6 | 49th | 170.8 | 13th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.96 | 9th | 7.72 | 95th |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 46th | 55.4% | 9th |
| Rush yards / game | 214.1 | 16th | 147.4 | 60th |
| Yards / carry | 4.72 | 46th | 4.55 | 98th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.4% | 11th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 48th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 64th | 2.92 | 23rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.9 | 89th | — | — |
51 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kaleb Eleby | QB | ||||
| 6 | Jack Salopek | QB | ||||
| 12 | Lucas Hartings | QB | ||||
| 3 | La'Darius Jefferson | RB | ||||
| 7 | Jaxson Kincaide | RB | ||||
| 9 | Sean Tyler | RB | ||||
| 10 | Zahir Abdus-Salaam | RB | ||||
| 32 | Trae Allen | RB | ||||
| 1 | Jaylen Hall | WR | ||||
| 4 | Corey Crooms Jr. | WR | ||||
| 13 | Henry Wilson Jr. | WR | ||||
| 19 | Bryce Nunnelly | WR | ||||
| 24 | Skyy Moore | WR | ||||
| 16 | Mareyohn Hrabowski | TE | ||||
| 85 | Anthony Torres | TE | ||||
| 87 | Mitch Bartol | TE | ||||
| 89 | Brett Borske | TE | ||||
| 5 | Andre Carter | DL | ||||
| 54 | Mason Nelson | DL | ||||
| 58 | Tyson Lee | DL | ||||
| 90 | Ken Aguirre | DL | ||||
| 95 | Kainoa Fuiava | DL | ||||
| 8 | Ralph Holley | DT | ||||
| 55 | Braden Fiske | DT | ||||
| 1 | Ali Fayad | LB | ||||
| 3 | Zaire Barnes | LB | ||||
| 6 | A.J. Thomas | LB | ||||
| 10 | Matthew Stuckey | LB | ||||
| 13 | Harrison Taylor | LB | ||||
| 20 | Corvin Moment | LB | ||||
| 22 | Boone Bonnema | LB | ||||
| 27 | Ryan Selig | LB | ||||
| 33 | Quinton Cannon | LB | ||||
| 9 | Anthony Enechukwu | DB | ||||
| 0 | DaShon Bussell | CB | ||||
| 11 | Jeremiah Piper | CB | ||||
| 18 | Keni-H Lovely | CB | ||||
| 23 | Dorian Jackson | CB | ||||
| 30 | Cam Griffin | CB | ||||
| 21 | Giacomo Iraci | S | ||||
| 25 | Aaron Wofford | S | ||||
| 26 | Delano Ware | S | ||||
| 29 | Ryan Kilburg | S | ||||
| 35 | Jake Moertl | S | ||||
| 97 | Parker Sampson | PK | ||||
| 39 | Nick Mihalic | P | ||||
| 96 | Bryce Bouwens | LS | ||||
| 2 | Bricen Garner | DEF | ||||
| 7 | Therran Coleman | DEF | ||||
| 94 | Marshawn Kneeland | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →