Final TDC rank
#50
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.7
50th in FBS
Defense
+2.4
41st in FBS
Schedule
-3.2
94th toughest
Preseason
+3.7
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.1 now, +3.7 preseason · down 27 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 90Navy | W 49–7 | +28.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs North Carolina Central FCS | W 44–10 | +5.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 67East Carolina | L 38–42 | -6.0 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 20Appalachian State | L 30–31 | +9.1 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 81Middle TennesseeCONF | L 28–34 | -6.1 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 95Old DominionCONF | W 20–13 | 0.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 93North TexasCONF | W 49–21 | +23.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 128Florida InternationalCONF | W 38–0 | +8.7 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 91Florida AtlanticCONF | W 28–13 | +13.0 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 49UABCONF | L 14–21 | -5.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 114CharlotteCONF | W 49–28 | +12.9 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 21Western KentuckyCONF | L 21–53 | -21.5 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 31LouisianaNEUTRAL | L 21–36 | -8.6 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.1% | 29th | 40.0% | 29th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.9% | 17th | 42.4% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 45.1% | 42nd | 37.2% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 94th | 14.3% | 63rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 90th | 9.5% | 39th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 45th | 3.10 | 67th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.7% | 64th | 36.8% | 47th |
| Stuff rate | 13.2% | 30th | 16.4% | 66th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 3rd | 7.3% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 47th | 41.1% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 53rd | 55.6% | 46th |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 14th | 9.0% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.0 | 33rd | 23.7 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 456.6 | 16th | 387.8 | 76th |
| Yards / play | 6.19 | 28th | 4.85 | 24th |
| Pass yards / game | 294.4 | 18th | 179.0 | 24th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.79 | 54th | 6.18 | 11th |
| Completion % | 66.0% | 20th | 54.0% | 6th |
| Rush yards / game | 162.2 | 65th | 188.6 | 105th |
| Yards / carry | 4.70 | 47th | 4.24 | 78th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.0% | 48th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.92 | 126th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 21st | 3.17 | 11th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.7 | 84th | — | — |
Players
69 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
69 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →