The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 44–14 | +4.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 34SMU | L 12–35 | -15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 49UABCONF | L 6–40 | -25.6 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 108Louisiana TechCONF | L 17–24 | -12.6 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 85Missouri | L 35–48 | -13.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 50MarshallCONF | L 21–49 | -23.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 39Liberty | L 26–35 | -6.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 113RiceCONF | W 30–24 | -1.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 118Southern MissCONF | W 38–14 | +14.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 96UTEPCONF | W 20–17 | -4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 128Florida InternationalCONF | W 49–7 | +14.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 42UTSACONF | W 45–23 | +24.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 60Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | L 14–27 | -11.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.0% | 95th | 39.2% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 83rd | 39.8% | 19th |
| Passing success rate | 36.7% | 111th | 38.6% | 27th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 62nd | 12.7% | 34th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 94th | 12.0% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 31st | 2.96 | 43rd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 83rd | 37.0% | 49th |
| Stuff rate | 11.7% | 13th | 16.5% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 11th | 8.8% | 14th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.5% | 62nd | 37.7% | 43rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.5% | 100th | 54.8% | 41st |
| Havoc rate | 5.9% | 4th | 9.4% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.5 | 77th | 27.5 | 77th |
| Yards / game | 431.1 | 39th | 378.2 | 67th |
| Yards / play | 5.35 | 84th | 5.46 | 75th |
| Pass yards / game | 197.1 | 98th | 206.3 | 58th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.50 | 110th | 7.73 | 96th |
| Completion % | 51.8% | 122nd | 58.7% | 41st |
| Rush yards / game | 234.1 | 5th | 152.1 | 67th |
| Yards / carry | 4.76 | 42nd | 4.09 | 68th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.4% | 54th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.15 | 10th | 2.83 | 28th |
| Penalty yards / game | 68.4 | 116th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austin Aune | QB | ||||
| 3 | DeAndre Torrey | RB | ||||
| 21 | B.K. Jackson | RB | ||||
| 23 | Isaiah Johnson | RB | ||||
| 25 | Ikaika Ragsdale | RB | ||||
| 39 | Ayo Adeyi | RB | ||||
| 44 | Dawson Nobriga | RB | ||||
| 0 | Bryson Jackson | WR | ||||
| 5 | Tommy Bush | WR | ||||
| 9 | Deonte Simpson | WR | ||||
| 11 | Detraveon Brown | WR | ||||
| 13 | Khatib Lyles | WR | ||||
| 14 | Roderic Burns | WR | ||||
| 15 | Dorian Morris | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jyaire Shorter | WR | ||||
| 80 | Zhighlil McMillan | WR | ||||
| 83 | Damon Ward Jr. | WR | ||||
| 85 | David Chapple | WR | ||||
| 20 | Cole McCrary | TE | ||||
| 87 | Jake Roberts | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jason Pirtle | TE | ||||
| 3 | Caleb Colvin | DL | ||||
| 9 | Grayson Murphy | DL | ||||
| 9 | Kortlin Rausaw | DL | ||||
| 91 | Dayton LeBlanc | DL | ||||
| 93 | Roderick Brown | DL | ||||
| 96 | Enoch Jackson | DL | ||||
| 42 | Kameron Hill | DE | ||||
| 97 | Dion Novil | DT | ||||
| 1 | KD Davis | LB | ||||
| 5 | Tyreke Davis | LB | ||||
| 10 | Jace Ruder | LB | ||||
| 19 | Jordan Brown | LB | ||||
| 21 | Kevin Wood | LB | ||||
| 25 | Sean-Thomas Faulkner | LB | ||||
| 30 | Larry Nixon III | LB | ||||
| 31 | Junior Brown | LB | ||||
| 32 | Carson Kropp | LB | ||||
| 34 | Kyleb Howell | LB | ||||
| 36 | Jaylen Smith | LB | ||||
| 10 | Makyle Sanders | DB | ||||
| 22 | Keelan Crosby | DB | ||||
| 23 | Greg Francis | DB | ||||
| 24 | Quinn Whitlock | DB | ||||
| 25 | Kevin Davis Jr. | DB | ||||
| 27 | Harold West | DB | ||||
| 29 | Braelon Hill | DB | ||||
| 2 | DeShawn Gaddie Jr. | CB | ||||
| 6 | Loronzo Thompson | CB | ||||
| 7 | Upton Stout | CB | ||||
| 8 | John Davis | CB | ||||
| 14 | Ridge Texada | CB | ||||
| 4 | Dillion Williams | S | ||||
| 0 | Ethan Mooney | PK | ||||
| 49 | Aaron Beckham | PK | ||||
| 32 | Bernardo Rodriguez | P | ||||
| 11 | Gabriel Murphy | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →