American · 2026

North Texas Mean Green

Head coach Neal Brown · DATCU Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#47
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.9
9th in FBS
Defense
-4.0
112th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.7
7th toughest
Projected
7.2-4.8
bowl-eligible 88%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.9 now, +5.4 preseason · down 28 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#47

Final record odds

7.2-4.8 expected · most likely 7-5 (25%)
3-94-88%5-717%6-625%7-525%8-416%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@2IndianaL 16–52-9.7—FOX
2Sep 12vs91UNLVW 44–6+22.9—ESPNU
3Sep 19@77Texas StateL 35–49-12.5—USA Net
4Sep 26vsHouston Christian FCSNorth Texas −30.1 · o/u 58.1—96%ESPN+
5Oct 1@67TulsaCONFTulsa −0.4 · o/u 55.0—49%ESPN
6Oct 10vs135CharlotteCONFNorth Texas −18.8 · o/u 64.6—89%
7—Bye
8Oct 24@74NavyCONFNorth Texas −1.2 · o/u 65.3—53%CBSSN
9Oct 29vs106Florida AtlanticCONFNorth Texas −10.8 · o/u 66.3—76%
10Nov 7vs118RiceCONFNorth Texas −13.1 · o/u 54.6—80%
11Nov 14@69UTSACONFUTSA −0.3 · o/u 63.1—49%
12Nov 21@71TulaneCONFNorth Texas −0.0 · o/u 54.2—50%
13Nov 28vs120UABCONFNorth Texas −14.1 · o/u 61.6—82%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.26143rd+0.296130th
Success rate45.6%57th50.3%134th
Explosiveness1.35633rd1.18749th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.0%53rd49.1%131st
Rushing success rate39.3%105th44.8%99th
Passing success rate51.4%27th56.1%136th
Explosive run rate16.7%42nd10.5%49th
Explosive pass rate14.6%37th15.6%129th
Line yards / carry3.1471st2.8161st
Opportunity rate36.9%93rd32.4%38th
Stuff rate14.3%52nd15.2%98th
Sack rate1.9%24th3.0%109th
3rd-down conversion56.8%13th53.1%130th
Red-zone TD rate64.3%73rd66.7%73rd
Havoc rate10.1%33rd6.4%138th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.770th35.7125th
Yards / game472.032nd423.7118th
Yards / play6.4147th6.55125th
Pass yards / game322.713th234.0101st
Yards / pass att.8.5045th9.89135th
Completion %71.9%18th67.6%122nd
Rush yards / game149.390th189.7123rd
Yards / carry4.3077th4.82115th
3rd-down conv. %53.5%15th50.0%125th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.6710th1.6774th
Penalty yards / game84.3130th60.746th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Neal Brown

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Tayven JacksonQBSR6' 4"209Greenwood, IN
9Chaston DittaQBSO6' 0"195Austin, TX
12Chris Jimerson Jr.QBSO5' 10"176Fort Worth, TX
1Jahiem WhiteRBSR5' 7"190York, PA
4Nick OshoRBSR6' 1"217Burnaby, Canada
20Adarion NettlesRBFR5' 8"186Arlington, TX
22Colin PageRBSR5' 11"207Austin, TX
29Brendon HaygoodRBSO5' 10"190Wylie, TX
36Keenan Jackson Jr.RBSO5' 10"173Haltom City, TX
0Corri MillinerWRSR6' 2"164Alexander City, AL
3TJ ChukwurahWRSR5' 11"200Arlington, TX
6Josiah MartinWRJR5' 11"167Corinth, TX
8Shandon KingWRSR6' 2"185Houston, TX
11Dalton CarnesWRSR5' 9"173College Station, TX
13Justin StevensonWRSR6' 2"195Philadelphia, PA
14Kyle KochWRJR6' 2"198Dripping Springs, TX
16James TyreWRSR5' 8"171Suwanee, GA
18Lathon LatiolaisWRFR5' 10"179Prosper, TX
19Grayson O'BaraWRSR6' 1"191Denton, TX
80Baron TiptonWRJR6' 5"207Coppell, TX
84Jackson MuckelroyWRSR6' 4"208Houston, TX
87Eli NikolasWRFR6' 2"194Boerne, TX
7Max ReeseTESR6' 2"249Chicago, IL
17Brec LongTESR6' 4"231Copan, OK
82Connor VaughnTESR6' 4"253Flower Mound, TX
85Drew ClemensTESO6' 4"221Kansas City, MO
88Victor AderungboyeTEJR6' 3"244Missouri City, TX
89Jerious SingletaryTEFR6' 4"237Huntsville, TX
50Jahzari PriesterOLSR6' 6"322Chesapeake, VA
53Dylan ShawOLSR6' 4"330Corpus Christi, TX
54Henry FenukuOLSO6' 3"296Fort Worth, TX
56Austin OdetteOLFR6' 5"259Grapevine, TX
57Chandler StrongOLSR6' 1"289Warner Robins, GA
61Drew CunninghamOLJR6' 4"302Southlake, TX
62Amarion BerryOLJR6' 2"301Tupelo, MS
64Roberto RodriguezOLSO6' 5"303Pasadena, TX
66Willie GoodacreOLJR6' 5"326Denton, TX
68Keon JohnsonOLSR6' 4"376Akron, OH
70Brody HamiltonOLSO6' 4"297Denton, TX
72Neto UmeozuluOLSR6' 4"315Allen, TX
73Julio Madero IVOLJR6' 4"327Odessa, TX
74Francisco AdamsOLFR6' 6"290Flower Mound, TX
77Caden VoltaireOLFR6' 7"314Cape Coral, FL
78KC EkwuOLFR6' 4"324Sunnyvale, TX
6Udoka EzeaniDLSR6' 1"224Richmond, TX
10David OnuohaDLSR6' 1"236Cliffwood, NJ
11Steven CurtisDLSR6' 5"260Palm Beach, FL
15Justin BentonDLSR6' 0"296Atlanta, GA
18Mo DiawaraDLSR6' 4"270Brooklyn Park, MN
23Christian LorenzoDLSR6' 3"304Dekalb, IL
41Cason ApplewhiteDLFR6' 4"241Palestine, TX
42Brayden KnoxDLSO6' 3"257Oklahoma City, OK
44Dylan WilliamsDLFR6' 1"299Duncanville, TX
51Keelene BradleyDLSR6' 3"240Fort Worth, TX
52Courage Osawe Jr.DLJR6' 4"305Sparks, NV
53Rohan SturgeonDLFR6' 3"202Austin, TX
58Nolan ClarkDLSR6' 2"309Glen Rock, NJ
88Wesley HudsonDLSR6' 3"297Lancaster, TX
91Davion RhodesDLSR6' 2"251Camilla, GA
92Grady HolmesDLFR6' 2"292Rowlett, TX
93Terrell WashingtonDLJR6' 1"314Lynchburg, VA
94Caleb LathanDLJR6' 4"282Plano, TX
96AJ BrownDLSO6' 3"309Dallas, TX
97Demetrie MorganDLSR6' 5"242Fort Myers, FL
98Curlee Thomas IVDLSR6' 4"264Fort Worth, TX
99Avion CarterDLSR6' 4"278Amarillo, TX
3Zakye BarkerLBSR5' 11"229Norcross, GA
7Aaron AlexanderLBSR6' 1"232Belleville, MI
17Cedric RobertsLBJR6' 1"225Fort Valley, GA
30Chantz JohnsonLBSR6' 1"235Fort Pierce, FL
34Brenden ReeseLBSO6' 2"236Longview, TX
36Jaden ManningLBSO6' 1"235Mansfield, TX
40Kailer PettijohnLBFR6' 0"200McKinney, TX
45Kenton AllenLBSR6' 2"225Riverside, CA
1Keshawn DavilaCBSR6' 1"169Tampa, FL
5Chase CanadaCBSR5' 11"191Hahnville, LA
8Caden JenkinsCBSR6' 1"176Lewisville, TX
19Jaden AllenCBJR5' 10"171Aledo, TX
20Taylor StarlingCBSR5' 9"177Dallas, TX
24Peyton TaylorCBSR5' 11"167Aurora, CO
25Ja'Bree BickhamCBSO6' 4"186McKinney, TX
27Zach JohnsonCBSR5' 10"178Tampa, FL
32Anthony Benford IICBSR5' 11"194Denton, TX
35Kaeden SwannCBFR6' 3"167Garland, TX
0Brandon JonesSSO5' 9"183Houston, TX
2Taye SeymoreSSR5' 11"199Fort Walton Beach, FL
4CJ CoombesSSR6' 1"207Bellefonte, DE
9Cameren JenkinsSSR6' 1"202Lewisville, TX
13Graham GillespieSSR6' 1"196Cypress, TX
14Bryce GarzaSSO6' 2"200Wolfforth, TX
16BJ Allen Jr.SSR6' 0"199Aledo, TX
21Jason Cross Jr.SJR6' 1"183Pittsburgh, PA
22Julian Knox Sr.SJR6' 3"213Fort Worth, TX
31Aaden LittleSFR6' 1"183Dallas, TX
48Michael Taylor IIPKFR5' 8"182Houston, TX
90Dominic De FreitasPKSO6' 0"186Nappanee, IN
37Ian RatliffPSR5' 11"183Humble, TX
46Luke CrudgingtonPFR5' 11"176The Woodlands, TX
51Brodie ScogginsLSSO6' 2"218Coppell, TX
52Jacob PoffLSSO6' 0"184Orange, CA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →