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American · 2026

North Texas Mean Green

Head coach Neal Brown · DATCU Stadium
6-24-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#56
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+9.6
13th in FBS
Defense
-5.9
109th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.7
87th toughest
Projected
9.0-3.0
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.7 now, -1.5 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#56

Final record odds

9.0-3.0 expected · most likely 9-3 (46%)
7-522%8-446%9-328%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Tayven Jackson
QB · SR · 3rd in FBS
2568yds
22 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Jahiem White
RB · SR · 2nd in FBS
1043yds
143 car · 13 TD
Receiving
Justin Stevenson
WR · SR · 11th in FBS
781yds
50 rec · 8 TD
Tackles
Zakye Barker
LB · SR · 84th in FBS
60tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Davion Rhodes
DL · SR · 75th in FBS
4sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Keshawn Davila
CB · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@6IndianaL 16–52 ›-0.8—FOX
2Sep 12vs88UNLVW 44–6 ›+19.3—ESPNU
3Sep 19@60Texas StateL 35–49 ›-7.4—USA Net
4Sep 26vsHouston Christian FCSW 63–14 ›+2.0—ESPN+
5Oct 1@92TulsaCONFW 45–44 ›-1.8—ESPN
6Oct 10vs134CharlotteCONFW 50–10 ›+2.7—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 24@84NavyCONFW 49–39 ›+8.5—CBSSN
9Oct 29vs99Florida AtlanticCONFW 48–41 ›-6.5—ESPN
10Nov 7vs117RiceCONFNorth Texas −21.6 · o/u 67.2—93%ESPNU
11Nov 14@70UTSACONFUTSA −0.4 · o/u 74.0—49%ESPNU
12Nov 21@90TulaneCONFNorth Texas −6.3 · o/u 62.0—66%
13Nov 28vs113UABCONFNorth Texas −20.6 · o/u 67.1—92%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3644th+0.13390th
Success rate49.5%14th44.0%105th
Explosiveness1.4146th1.27791st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.5%9th44.1%104th
Rushing success rate42.2%87th40.6%55th
Passing success rate57.5%2nd48.2%128th
Explosive run rate17.5%19th12.8%64th
Explosive pass rate16.4%5th11.6%106th
Line yards / carry3.1664th2.7833rd
Opportunity rate40.8%49th33.1%22nd
Stuff rate17.0%69th18.8%55th
Sack rate1.5%4th3.6%115th
3rd-down conversion53.4%8th41.8%94th
Red-zone TD rate76.3%9th62.1%85th
Havoc rate9.2%7th11.4%122nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game43.82nd31.9123rd
Yards / game539.61st395.5109th
Yards / play7.463rd5.5993rd
Pass yards / game348.92nd234.3100th
Yards / pass att.9.705th8.08123rd
Completion %72.3%4th63.8%100th
Rush yards / game190.832nd161.397th
Yards / carry5.4011th4.0775th
3rd-down conv. %49.5%18th37.8%66th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.5032nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.757th2.1263rd
Penalty yards / game70.1116th44.8118th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.4
43rd of 138
YAC per catch
5.9
45th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
51st of 138
Shotgun
94%
84th of 138
No-huddle
59%
74th of 138
QB pressured
6%
136th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
77th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
43rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws281 throws charted

72% comp9.4 avg. depth5.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds24–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 22 throws (8%), 15 caught (68%), 109 yds, 5.0 per throw2268% · 109yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 18 caught (90%), 139 yds, 7.0 per throw2090% · 139yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 22 caught (76%), 198 yds, 6.8 per throw2976% · 198yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 12 caught (80%), 191 yds, 12.7 per throw1580% · 191yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 105 yds, 21.0 per throw580% · 105yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 148 yds, 18.5 per throw863% · 148yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw425% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 61 yds, 5.5 per throw1164% · 61yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 9 caught (64%), 145 yds, 10.4 per throw1464% · 145yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 11 caught (69%), 220 yds, 13.8 per throw1669% · 220yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 246 yds, 18.9 per throw1385% · 246yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 6 caught (86%), 181 yds, 25.9 per throw786% · 181yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 209 yds, 23.2 per throw956% · 209yRight, Behind air yards: 28 throws (10%), 28 caught (100%), 170 yds, 6.1 per throw28100% · 170yRight, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 21 caught (81%), 152 yds, 5.8 per throw2681% · 152yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 17 caught (85%), 171 yds, 8.6 per throw2085% · 171yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 89 yds, 8.1 per throw1155% · 89yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 4 caught (44%), 73 yds, 8.1 per throw944% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 69 yds, 8.6 per throw838% · 69yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 53 yds, 8.8 per throw617% · 53y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on223 throws charted

64% comp9.4 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds19–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 107 yds, 6.3 per throw1771% · 107yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 14 caught (70%), 129 yds, 6.5 per throw2070% · 129yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 136 yds, 6.8 per throw2065% · 136yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw850% · 55yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw667% · 66yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 53 yds, 13.3 per throw450% · 53yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 43 yds, 10.8 per throw425% · 43yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 6 caught (100%), 3 yds, 0.5 per throw6100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 9 caught (75%), 98 yds, 8.2 per throw1275% · 98yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 15 caught (71%), 214 yds, 10.2 per throw2171% · 214yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 9 caught (90%), 209 yds, 20.9 per throw1090% · 209yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 102 yds, 14.6 per throw757% · 102yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 42 yds, 10.5 per throw425% · 42yRight, Behind air yards: 9 throws (4%), 9 caught (100%), 29 yds, 3.2 per throw9100% · 29yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 15 caught (75%), 91 yds, 4.5 per throw2075% · 91yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 113 yds, 5.7 per throw2065% · 113yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw933% · 37yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 133 yds, 12.1 per throw1164% · 133yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 57 yds, 9.5 per throw633% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw743% · 109y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction267 carries

Left
22%
5.7 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
58%
5.3 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
21%
6.7 YPC · 58% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced292 carries

Left
23%
5.8 YPC · 37% succ.
Middle
49%
4.0 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
28%
5.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Neal Brown

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Tayven JacksonQBSR6' 4"209Greenwood, IN
9Chaston DittaQBSO6' 0"195Austin, TX
12Chris Jimerson Jr.QBSO5' 10"176Fort Worth, TX
1Jahiem WhiteRBSR5' 7"190York, PA
4Nick OshoRBSR6' 1"217Burnaby, Canada
20Adarion NettlesRBFR5' 8"186Arlington, TX
22Colin PageRBSR5' 11"207Austin, TX
29Brendon HaygoodRBSO5' 10"190Wylie, TX
36Keenan Jackson Jr.RBSO5' 10"173Haltom City, TX
0Corri MillinerWRSR6' 2"164Alexander City, AL
3TJ ChukwurahWRSR5' 11"200Arlington, TX
6Josiah MartinWRJR5' 11"167Corinth, TX
8Shandon KingWRSR6' 2"185Houston, TX
11Dalton CarnesWRSR5' 9"173College Station, TX
13Justin StevensonWRSR6' 2"195Philadelphia, PA
14Kyle KochWRJR6' 2"198Dripping Springs, TX
16James TyreWRSR5' 8"171Suwanee, GA
18Lathon LatiolaisWRFR5' 10"179Prosper, TX
19Grayson O'BaraWRSR6' 1"191Denton, TX
80Baron TiptonWRJR6' 5"207Coppell, TX
84Jackson MuckelroyWRSR6' 4"208Houston, TX
87Eli NikolasWRFR6' 2"194Boerne, TX
7Max ReeseTESR6' 2"249Chicago, IL
17Brec LongTESR6' 4"231Copan, OK
82Connor VaughnTESR6' 4"253Flower Mound, TX
85Drew ClemensTESO6' 4"221Kansas City, MO
88Victor AderungboyeTEJR6' 3"244Missouri City, TX
89Jerious SingletaryTEFR6' 4"237Huntsville, TX
50Jahzari PriesterOLSR6' 6"322Chesapeake, VA
53Dylan ShawOLSR6' 4"330Corpus Christi, TX
54Henry FenukuOLSO6' 3"296Fort Worth, TX
56Austin OdetteOLFR6' 5"259Grapevine, TX
57Chandler StrongOLSR6' 1"289Warner Robins, GA
61Drew CunninghamOLJR6' 4"302Southlake, TX
62Amarion BerryOLJR6' 2"301Tupelo, MS
64Roberto RodriguezOLSO6' 5"303Pasadena, TX
66Willie GoodacreOLJR6' 5"326Denton, TX
68Keon JohnsonOLSR6' 4"376Akron, OH
70Brody HamiltonOLSO6' 4"297Denton, TX
72Neto UmeozuluOLSR6' 4"315Allen, TX
73Julio Madero IVOLJR6' 4"327Odessa, TX
74Francisco AdamsOLFR6' 6"290Flower Mound, TX
77Caden VoltaireOLFR6' 7"314Cape Coral, FL
78KC EkwuOLFR6' 4"324Sunnyvale, TX
6Udoka EzeaniDLSR6' 1"224Richmond, TX
10David OnuohaDLSR6' 1"236Cliffwood, NJ
11Steven CurtisDLSR6' 5"260Palm Beach, FL
15Justin BentonDLSR6' 0"296Atlanta, GA
18Mo DiawaraDLSR6' 4"270Brooklyn Park, MN
23Christian LorenzoDLSR6' 3"304Dekalb, IL
41Cason ApplewhiteDLFR6' 4"241Palestine, TX
42Brayden KnoxDLSO6' 3"257Oklahoma City, OK
51Keelene BradleyDLSR6' 3"240Fort Worth, TX
52Courage Osawe Jr.DLJR6' 4"305Sparks, NV
53Rohan SturgeonDLFR6' 3"202Austin, TX
58Nolan ClarkDLSR6' 2"309Glen Rock, NJ
88Wesley HudsonDLSR6' 3"297Lancaster, TX
91Davion RhodesDLSR6' 2"251Camilla, GA
92Grady HolmesDLFR6' 2"292Rowlett, TX
93Terrell WashingtonDLJR6' 1"314Lynchburg, VA
94Caleb LathanDLJR6' 4"282Plano, TX
96AJ BrownDLSO6' 3"309Dallas, TX
97Demetrie MorganDLSR6' 5"242Fort Myers, FL
98Curlee Thomas IVDLSR6' 4"264Fort Worth, TX
99Avion CarterDLSR6' 4"278Amarillo, TX
3Zakye BarkerLBSR5' 11"229Norcross, GA
7Aaron AlexanderLBSR6' 1"232Belleville, MI
17Cedric RobertsLBJR6' 1"225Fort Valley, GA
30Chantz JohnsonLBSR6' 1"235Fort Pierce, FL
34Brenden ReeseLBSO6' 2"236Longview, TX
36Jaden ManningLBSO6' 1"235Mansfield, TX
40Kailer PettijohnLBFR6' 0"200McKinney, TX
45Kenton AllenLBSR6' 2"225Riverside, CA
1Keshawn DavilaCBSR6' 1"169Tampa, FL
5Chase CanadaCBSR5' 11"191Hahnville, LA
8Caden JenkinsCBSR6' 1"176Lewisville, TX
19Jaden AllenCBJR5' 10"171Aledo, TX
20Taylor StarlingCBSR5' 9"177Dallas, TX
24Peyton TaylorCBSR5' 11"167Aurora, CO
25Ja'Bree BickhamCBSO6' 4"186McKinney, TX
27Zach JohnsonCBSR5' 10"178Tampa, FL
32Anthony Benford IICBSR5' 11"194Denton, TX
35Kaeden SwannCBFR6' 3"167Garland, TX
0Brandon JonesSSO5' 9"183Houston, TX
2Taye SeymoreSSR5' 11"199Fort Walton Beach, FL
4CJ CoombesSSR6' 1"207Bellefonte, DE
9Cameren JenkinsSSR6' 1"202Lewisville, TX
13Graham GillespieSSR6' 1"196Cypress, TX
14Bryce GarzaSSO6' 2"200Wolfforth, TX
16BJ Allen Jr.SSR6' 0"199Aledo, TX
21Jason Cross Jr.SJR6' 1"183Pittsburgh, PA
22Julian Knox Sr.SJR6' 3"213Fort Worth, TX
31Aaden LittleSFR6' 1"183Dallas, TX
38Alonzo WelchSFR6' 2"195Mesquite, TX
48Michael Taylor IIPKFR5' 8"182Houston, TX
90Dominic De FreitasPKSO6' 0"186Nappanee, IN
37Ian RatliffPSR5' 11"183Humble, TX
46Luke CrudgingtonPFR5' 11"176The Woodlands, TX
51Brodie ScogginsLSSO6' 2"218Coppell, TX
52Jacob PoffLSSO6' 0"184Orange, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+8.5, #23) · worst: 2015 (-19.4, #128)
-20-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#23
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-24-0#56+3.7+9.6-5.9
202512-27-1#23+8.5+12.0-3.5
20246-73-5#89-3.8+4.0-7.9
20235-73-5#104-5.9+4.5-10.5
20227-76-2#74-1.5+2.7-4.3
20216-75-3#93-4.5-1.7-2.8
20204-63-4#117-11.3+2.5-13.8
20194-83-5#105-6.8-0.2-6.6
20189-45-3#65+1.0+1.8-0.8
20179-57-1#90-4.0+4.3-8.3
20165-83-5#114-10.7-5.7-5.0
20151-111-7#128-19.4-11.7-7.7
20144-82-6#104-8.6-4.1-4.5

North Texas's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →