
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 55South Alabama | W 52–38 | +18.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Stephen F. Austin FCS | W 35–20 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 62Texas Tech | L 21–66 | -27.9 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 116Wyoming | W 44–17 | +13.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 131TulsaCONF | W 52–20 | +7.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 41–37 | -2.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 41MemphisCONF | L 44–52 | -0.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 32TulaneCONF | L 37–45 | -4.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 31ArmyCONF | L 3–14 | -7.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 72UTSACONF | L 27–48 | -18.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 79East CarolinaCONF | L 28–40 | -16.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 127TempleCONF | W 24–17 | -3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Jan 3 | vs 51Texas StateNEUTRAL | L 28–30 | +0.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.6% | 105th | 42.6% | 76th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.4% | 111th | 46.5% | 100th |
| Passing success rate | 39.8% | 84th | 38.1% | 40th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 23rd | 13.1% | 42nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 60th | 12.0% | 107th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.80 | 119th | 3.23 | 85th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 92nd | 38.5% | 77th |
| Stuff rate | 20.6% | 113th | 15.2% | 91st |
| Sack rate | 2.6% | 10th | 5.0% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.1% | 122nd | 39.9% | 70th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.2% | 92nd | 57.7% | 47th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 86th | 7.4% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.5 | 29th | 34.1 | 117th |
| Yards / game | 488.9 | 3rd | 460.5 | 127th |
| Yards / play | 6.62 | 8th | 6.02 | 109th |
| Pass yards / game | 328.2 | 4th | 252.8 | 123rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 48th | 8.07 | 114th |
| Completion % | 63.0% | 44th | 61.3% | 78th |
| Rush yards / game | 160.6 | 69th | 195.9 | 116th |
| Yards / carry | 5.44 | 15th | 4.68 | 98th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.1% | 98th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 20th | 1.85 | 75th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.5 | 99th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →