The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Lehigh FCS | W 42–7 | +3.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 24–7 | +10.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 104RiceCONF | W 37–14 | +14.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 26 | @ 127TempleCONF | W 42–14 | +14.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 131TulsaCONF | W 49–7 | +16.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 115UABCONF | W 44–10 | +15.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 79East CarolinaCONF | W 45–28 | +12.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 106Air Force | W 20–3 | +7.3 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 89North TexasCONF | W 14–3 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 2Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 14–49 | -8.7 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 72UTSACONF | W 29–24 | +2.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 32Tulane | W 35–14 | +24.8 | — | ABC |
| 16 | Dec 14 | vs 36NavyNEUTRAL | L 13–31 | -12.9 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 109Louisiana TechNEUTRAL | W 27–6 | +12.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.6% | 4th | 42.4% | 73rd |
| Rushing success rate | 52.4% | 9th | 46.3% | 96th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 69th | 38.9% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 77th | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 19.5% | 1st | 9.2% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.57 | 8th | 3.34 | 107th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 26th | 39.2% | 84th |
| Stuff rate | 8.9% | 1st | 15.1% | 93rd |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 41st | 5.3% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 7th | 39.4% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.0% | 15th | 40.0% | 1st |
| Havoc rate | 5.2% | 2nd | 8.1% | 71st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.6 | 40th | 17.2 | 7th |
| Yards / game | 381.1 | 73rd | 297.9 | 8th |
| Yards / play | 5.98 | 42nd | 5.16 | 49th |
| Pass yards / game | 80.6 | 134th | 175.9 | 28th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.25 | 5th | 6.47 | 31st |
| Completion % | 54.1% | 123rd | 62.9% | 98th |
| Rush yards / game | 300.5 | 1st | 112.0 | 16th |
| Yards / carry | 5.51 | 12th | 4.12 | 64th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.2% | 9th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.64 | 3rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.43 | 2nd | 1.79 | 83rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 31.5 | 4th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →