
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 25–17 | -16.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 78NC State | L 20–30 | -9.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 131Tulsa | L 20–23 | -22.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 114Florida InternationalCONF | L 10–17 | -12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 130Middle TennesseeCONF | W 48–21 | +6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 15 | @ 129New Mexico StateCONF | L 30–33 | -15.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 22 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 14–10 | -13.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Oct 29 | @ 83Sam HoustonCONF | L 3–9 | -6.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 61Jacksonville StateCONF | L 37–44 | -8.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 82Western KentuckyCONF | W 12–7 | +5.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 43Arkansas | L 14–35 | -14.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 132Kennesaw StateCONF | W 33–0 | +6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 31ArmyNEUTRAL | L 6–27 | -14.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.0% | 123rd | 37.1% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.4% | 126th | 39.1% | 24th |
| Passing success rate | 37.6% | 106th | 34.7% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.9% | 128th | 12.8% | 38th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 80th | 8.1% | 20th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.66 | 130th | 3.05 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.2% | 129th | 38.2% | 69th |
| Stuff rate | 21.3% | 124th | 18.8% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 8.2% | 124th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.1% | 71st | 35.9% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.1% | 115th | 63.6% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 94th | 7.9% | 75th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.9 | 119th | 21.0 | 23rd |
| Yards / game | 333.9 | 110th | 308.4 | 12th |
| Yards / play | 4.62 | 123rd | 4.57 | 9th |
| Pass yards / game | 223.9 | 74th | 161.6 | 11th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.03 | 87th | 6.14 | 15th |
| Completion % | 62.1% | 58th | 55.7% | 14th |
| Rush yards / game | 110.0 | 117th | 135.5 | 44th |
| Yards / carry | 2.96 | 130th | 3.59 | 25th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.2% | 77th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.15 | 121st | 1.62 | 99th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.6 | 64th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →