
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 8Indiana | L 7–31 | -7.6 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 123Central Michigan | W 52–16 | +14.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 117Florida Atlantic | L 20–38 | -24.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Monmouth FCS | L 42–45 | -27.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 109Louisiana TechCONF | W 17–10 | -3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | @ 84LibertyCONF | L 24–31 | -7.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 16 | @ 128UTEPCONF | L 21–30 | -20.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 22 | vs 83Sam HoustonCONF | L 7–10 | -8.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Oct 29 | vs 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 34–13 | +3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 61Jacksonville StateCONF | L 31–34 | +0.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 132Kennesaw StateCONF | L 26–27 | -15.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 130Middle TennesseeCONF | W 35–24 | -8.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.3% | 108th | 41.4% | 62nd |
| Rushing success rate | 37.1% | 123rd | 44.5% | 78th |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 56th | 37.4% | 31st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 108th | 12.3% | 27th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 28th | 7.3% | 9th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.67 | 129th | 3.30 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.0% | 118th | 40.0% | 93rd |
| Stuff rate | 24.1% | 131st | 14.1% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 47th | 4.5% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.1% | 122nd | 31.5% | 5th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.7% | 64th | 58.1% | 50th |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 111th | 6.0% | 119th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.3 | 80th | 25.8 | 70th |
| Yards / game | 350.0 | 101st | 370.9 | 67th |
| Yards / play | 5.59 | 71st | 5.13 | 48th |
| Pass yards / game | 229.4 | 63rd | 171.6 | 24th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.24 | 23rd | 6.04 | 11th |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 63rd | 59.1% | 48th |
| Rush yards / game | 120.6 | 105th | 191.3 | 111th |
| Yards / carry | 3.61 | 107th | 4.67 | 96th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.0% | 128th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.42 | 33rd | 1.50 | 112th |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.4 | 43rd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →