
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 101Coastal Carolina | L 27–55 | -33.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 14Louisville | L 14–49 | -14.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 113Eastern Michigan | L 34–37 | -8.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 133Southern Miss | W 44–7 | +7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 132Kennesaw StateCONF | W 63–24 | +14.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 9 | vs 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 54–13 | +12.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 23 | vs 130Middle TennesseeCONF | W 42–20 | +2.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 30 | @ 84LibertyCONF | W 31–21 | +10.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 109Louisiana TechCONF | W 44–37 | +1.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 114Florida InternationalCONF | W 34–31 | -8.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 83Sam HoustonCONF | W 21–11 | +4.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 82Western KentuckyCONF | L 17–19 | -1.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 82Western Kentucky | W 52–12 | +24.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 45OhioNEUTRAL | L 27–30 | +0.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.7% | 34th | 43.2% | 87th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.2% | 17th | 43.9% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 39.5% | 87th | 42.4% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.0% | 3rd | 13.7% | 51st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 47th | 12.0% | 107th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.54 | 9th | 3.19 | 81st |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 23rd | 39.6% | 90th |
| Stuff rate | 14.1% | 32nd | 16.5% | 75th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 77th | 5.3% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.7% | 66th | 43.0% | 94th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 80.9% | 2nd | 52.3% | 24th |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 26th | 8.2% | 69th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.1 | 14th | 26.1 | 76th |
| Yards / game | 441.6 | 19th | 393.0 | 93rd |
| Yards / play | 6.30 | 18th | 5.45 | 73rd |
| Pass yards / game | 190.4 | 106th | 205.5 | 66th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.49 | 16th | 7.45 | 85th |
| Completion % | 60.2% | 81st | 60.2% | 64th |
| Rush yards / game | 251.2 | 4th | 174.8 | 98th |
| Yards / carry | 5.44 | 14th | 4.26 | 71st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 67th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 31st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.57 | 47th | 1.79 | 83rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.7 | 93rd | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →