The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Campbell FCS | W 41–24 | -7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 30–24 | -6.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 28–10 | +0.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 79East Carolina | W 35–24 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 94App State | App State −0.8 · o/u 57.6 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | vs 114Florida InternationalCONF | W 31–24 | -4.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 23 | @ 132Kennesaw StateCONF | L 24–27 | -17.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Oct 30 | vs 61Jacksonville StateCONF | L 21–31 | -11.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 130Middle TennesseeCONF | W 37–17 | +6.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 126Massachusetts | W 35–34 | -9.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 82Western KentuckyCONF | W 38–21 | +11.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 83Sam HoustonCONF | L 18–20 | -2.0 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Jan 4 | vs 86BuffaloNEUTRAL | L 7–26 | -22.4 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.2% | 9th | 38.4% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 54.5% | 3rd | 38.1% | 13th |
| Passing success rate | 40.4% | 76th | 38.8% | 49th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.9% | 9th | 13.2% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 116th | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.67 | 4th | 2.71 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 48.6% | 2nd | 33.4% | 19th |
| Stuff rate | 12.5% | 16th | 20.0% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 88th | 4.9% | 83rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.6% | 35th | 36.3% | 31st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.0% | 52nd | 54.8% | 31st |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 41st | 9.0% | 52nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.9 | 59th | 23.5 | 44th |
| Yards / game | 419.2 | 38th | 351.9 | 49th |
| Yards / play | 5.90 | 46th | 5.25 | 57th |
| Pass yards / game | 167.8 | 123rd | 186.3 | 40th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.97 | 91st | 7.29 | 75th |
| Completion % | 54.3% | 121st | 58.8% | 42nd |
| Rush yards / game | 251.3 | 3rd | 155.6 | 77th |
| Yards / carry | 5.57 | 10th | 4.04 | 57th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.0% | 38th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.83 | 60th | 1.67 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.1 | 117th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →