CUSA · 2026

Liberty Flames

Head coach Jamey Chadwell · Williams Stadium (VA)
7-14-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#61
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.7
64th in FBS
Defense
+2.2
52nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-14.3
135th toughest
Projected
10.5-1.5
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.8 now, -10.9 preseason · up 38 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#61

Final record odds

10.5-1.5 expected · most likely 11-1 (61%)
8-46%9-332%10-261%11-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@59James MadisonL 13–20 ›-0.2—ESPNU
2Sep 12vsGardner-Webb FCSW 24–23 ›-23.8—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs131Ball StateW 51–15 ›+4.1—ESPN+
4Sep 24@108Coastal CarolinaW 34–17 ›+9.4—ESPN
5Oct 2@101DelawareCONFW 30–14 ›+9.8—CBSSN
6Oct 8vs129Sam HoustonCONFW 35–3 ›+4.2—ESPNU
7—Bye
8Oct 22@112Kennesaw StateCONFW 34–6 ›+16.7—CBSSN
9Oct 31vs119Florida InternationalCONFW 49–10 ›+10.9—CBSSN
10Nov 7@125New Mexico StateCONFLiberty −15.1 · o/u 48.1—84%ESPNU
11Nov 14vs130Middle TennesseeCONFLiberty −26.5 · o/u 53.5—96%CBSSN
12Nov 21vs115Western KentuckyCONFLiberty −20.2 · o/u 51.8—91%
13Nov 28@118Missouri StateCONFLiberty −13.7 · o/u 54.0—82%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22631st-0.0767th
Success rate49.7%12th33.1%4th
Explosiveness1.137123rd1.28597th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.8%16th33.1%3rd
Rushing success rate54.1%1st32.0%6th
Passing success rate42.8%59th34.0%11th
Explosive run rate18.0%10th11.8%47th
Explosive pass rate15.4%10th6.7%13th
Line yards / carry3.588th2.6211th
Opportunity rate48.1%1st29.2%6th
Stuff rate11.7%7th26.4%6th
Sack rate6.0%87th4.9%88th
3rd-down conversion44.3%40th28.7%2nd
Red-zone TD rate61.3%77th27.3%2nd
Havoc rate11.3%30th16.3%26th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.833rd13.57th
Yards / game411.048th282.113th
Yards / play6.3722nd4.5019th
Pass yards / game198.8100th177.019th
Yards / pass att.9.2010th5.697th
Completion %61.3%83rd55.4%15th
Rush yards / game212.317th105.126th
Yards / carry5.1028th3.5940th
3rd-down conv. %45.0%31st29.0%9th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th1.3845th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6248th2.2552nd
Penalty yards / game82.5136th71.013th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
11.9
6th of 138
YAC per catch
5.1
89th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
19%
13th of 138
Shotgun
99%
9th of 138
No-huddle
86%
31st of 138
QB pressured
14%
62nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
59th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
87th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws169 throws charted

61% comp11.9 avg. depth5.1 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds13–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw667% · 25yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 38 yds, 4.2 per throw978% · 38yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (11%), 16 caught (89%), 155 yds, 8.6 per throw1889% · 155yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 5 caught (83%), 63 yds, 10.5 per throw683% · 63yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 4 caught (67%), 68 yds, 11.3 per throw667% · 68yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 4 caught (57%), 140 yds, 20.0 per throw757% · 140yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 89 yds, 22.3 per throw450% · 89yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 24 yds, 4.8 per throw560% · 24yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 109 yds, 12.1 per throw989% · 109yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (8%), 6 caught (46%), 81 yds, 6.2 per throw1346% · 81yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 5 caught (50%), 121 yds, 12.1 per throw1050% · 121yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 208 yds, 29.7 per throw771% · 208yRight, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw989% · 61yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (10%), 10 caught (59%), 59 yds, 3.5 per throw1759% · 59yRight, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 8 caught (57%), 80 yds, 5.7 per throw1457% · 80yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 2 caught (22%), 30 yds, 3.3 per throw922% · 30yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 62 yds, 8.9 per throw729% · 62yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 110 yds, 15.7 per throw743% · 110yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on238 throws charted

55% comp7.7 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds6–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 10 caught (83%), 64 yds, 5.3 per throw1283% · 64yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 12 caught (52%), 77 yds, 3.3 per throw2352% · 77yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 10 caught (59%), 102 yds, 6.0 per throw1759% · 102yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 76 yds, 6.3 per throw1242% · 76yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 49 yds, 9.8 per throw560% · 49yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 27 yds, 5.4 per throw520% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 72 yds, 24.0 per throw367% · 72yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 11 yds, 11.0 per throw1100% · 11yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 7 caught (54%), 45 yds, 3.5 per throw1354% · 45yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 10 caught (71%), 105 yds, 7.5 per throw1471% · 105yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 5 caught (42%), 86 yds, 7.2 per throw1242% · 86yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 74 yds, 24.7 per throw367% · 74yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 54 yds, 18.0 per throw367% · 54yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw333% · 36yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (10%), 21 caught (91%), 101 yds, 4.4 per throw2391% · 101yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (12%), 22 caught (76%), 124 yds, 4.3 per throw2976% · 124yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 14 caught (52%), 129 yds, 4.8 per throw2752% · 129yRight, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 5 caught (31%), 74 yds, 4.6 per throw1631% · 74yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 42 yds, 6.0 per throw729% · 42yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 2 caught (22%), 49 yds, 5.4 per throw922% · 49yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction302 carries

Left
25%
5.8 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
54%
5.2 YPC · 51% succ.
Right
21%
7.9 YPC · 61% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced214 carries

Left
17%
5.2 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
64%
4.2 YPC · 31% succ.
Right
19%
5.4 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jamey Chadwell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Deshawn PurdieQBJR6' 4"228Baltimore, MD
13Jaylen HendersonQBSR6' 3"227Los Angeles, CA
15Ethan VaskoQBSR6' 3"220Chesapeake, VA
18Jachin DavisQBFR6' 0"195Goose Creek, SC
0Jaylon ColemanRBSO5' 9"155Houma, LA
4Kam DavisRBJR5' 10"224Albany, GA
6Kanye UdohRBSR6' 1"220Mays Landing, NJ
7Peyton JonesRBSR5' 10"195Norfolk, VA
11Terron KellmanRBSR5' 8"210Clinton, MD
26Jaylin BelfordRBSR5' 8"175Lynchburg, VA
29Justin MarshallRBSR5' 10"190Chicago, IL
1Darius CopelandWRSR6' 0"195Birmingham, AL
2Makai JacksonWRSR6' 0"200Levittown, PA
3Jamari PersonWRSR6' 1"200Nashville, TN
8Nasir NewkirkWRSO6' 2"185Greensboro, NC
9Bryce RandolphWRSO5' 11"180Tampa, FL
10Jon MonteiroWRJR6' 2"200Randolph, MA
12Rashawn CunninghamWRJR6' 2"205Inman, SC
16Eric SmithWRJR5' 9"170Richmond, VA
19Refeno VangatesWRSR5' 11"195Miami, FL
27Clayton SheplerWRSR5' 11"180Roswell, GA
28Andrew RymanWRJR5' 10"165Bealeton, VA
81Jakobe DeJesusWRFR6' 2"190Douglasville, GA
89Nathanael DatesWRSO5' 9"165Waldorf, MD
14Ethan HouckTESO6' 4"205Brunswick, MD
17Bo BurklowTESR6' 2"250Brentwood, TN
48Caleb RyanTESR6' 2"240Bellingham, WA
84Breckan KirbyTEJR6' 4"220Gainesville, GA
85Kam TaylorTEFR6' 6"240Spartanburg, SC
87LaKelsey Johnson Jr.TESR6' 3"248Desoto, TX
51D.J. GethOLSR6' 3"295Spartanburg, SC
52Kevin EveheOLSO6' 6"296Baltimore, MD
53Alex BirchmeierOLSR6' 5"300Ashburn, VA
58Jude FosterOLJR6' 3"290Baton Rouge, LA
59Brandon EdozieOLSO6' 6"275Woodbridge, VA
60Joep EngbersOLSR6' 4"305Losser, Netherlands
61Aaron FenimoreOLSR6' 1"295Senoia, GA
62Blake MartinOLJR6' 2"250Gainesville, VA
63Daniel SchiffertOLFR6' 3"295Bethlehem, PA
65Malcolm GastonOLFR6' 4"350McCormick, SC
66Erwil Anthony Jr.OLSR6' 4"285Kannapolis, NC
70Austin AndersonOLSR6' 4"300Bowling Green, KY
72Val EricksonOLSR6' 5"320Chicago, IL
73Curtis DoirilusOLJR6' 3"335Philadelphia, PA
76Gabe SmithOLSO6' 5"300Milton, GA
77Carlton HallOLFR6' 4"295Savannah, GA
78Joseph MorrisOLSO6' 5"290Hinesville, GA
11Lorenzo PayneDLJR6' 1"245Apopka, FL
15Markus ClarkDLSR6' 1"295Hoover, AL
18Aaron HesterDLSR6' 2"245Jacksonville, FL
40Chris LawDLFR6' 2"293Danville, VA
44Joe StricklandDLSR6' 4"290Indianapolis, IN
50Gavin AskewDLSO6' 3"240Powder Springs, GA
53Nikodemus ToungerDLSR6' 0"275Oakton, VA
55Henry HicksDLJR6' 2"285Seaboard, NC
56Samuel CohenDLSO6' 3"245Richmond, VA
88Kam CullinsDLSO6' 4"270Cobb, GA
91Michael FloydeDLJR6' 3"245Las Vegas, NV
92John CustisDLSR6' 3"285Chesapeake, VA
94Nathan PirolliDLSR6' 3"285Davidson, NC
97Mike JarvisDLSR6' 4"295Medford, NJ
98Austin TremblayDLFR6' 2"275Lynchburg, VA
99Xavier ReidDLFR5' 11"265Deerfield Beach, FL
1Derrell FarrarLBSR6' 1"225Stone Mountain, GA
4Micah PollardLBSR6' 2"235Jacksonville, FL
6Dillano GlaudLBJR6' 3"220Clearwater, FL
9Deuce SpurlockLBSR6' 0"225Madison, AL
22Kyle FermLBSR6' 3"232Los Angeles, CA
33Aidan VaughanLBSR6' 3"220Wixom, MI
34Ellis AllowayLBFR6' 1"210Fort Walton Beach, FL
38Tre LawingLBSR6' 0"200Appomattox, VA
43Matthew KramerLBSR6' 1"216Wyomissing, PA
30Ethan CrispDBSR6' 3"235Mount Juliet, TN
35Moses ByrdDBSO6' 3"230Clarksville, TN
95Jeffrey Hairston Jr.DBSO6' 3"225Rocky Mount, VA
2Jiquavious MarshallCBJR6' 4"180Macon, GA
5Elijah HopkinsCBSR5' 10"195Ocala, FL
12Prince CottonhamCBJR6' 0"170Gulfport, MS
14Elijah McKenzieCBSR5' 10"170Brooklyn Park, MD
16Tyrell GaineyCBSR6' 1"175Orlando, FL
20Kennedi BaileyCBFR6' 2"175Atlanta, GA
21Ashton McShaneCBJR5' 11"194Dallas, TX
23Myke GunnCBSO6' 3"180Alexander City, AL
28Jamal MilesCBSR6' 0"180Pelham, AL
0D-Icey HopkinsSSR5' 11"195Macon, GA
7Izaiah GuySSR6' 2"200Ocala, FL
10Ronald Moore Jr.SJR5' 11"195Griffin, GA
13Jeremiah VesselSSR5' 11"190Baton Rouge, LA
17Jayden DavisSSR6' 1"180Suwanee, GA
25Jaleel ParkerSFR5' 11"205Fayetteville, NC
26Macaiden BrownSFR6' 1"180Sarasota, FL
29Tony ArnettSFR6' 1"180Phenix City, AL
36Anthony SagetSSO5' 10"175Port Saint Lucie, FL
39Carson JonesPKFR5' 10"170Franklinville, NC
42Chase ReevesPKSR6' 2"190Granite City, IL
49Sam CrossanPKJR6' 3"260Middletown, DE
86Nathan DinwiddiePKSO6' 2"200Oklahoma City, OK
98Tyler BlackPKJR5' 9"190Goochland, VA
41Greg RiveraLSSR6' 1"225Los Gatos, CA
45Cayden ComerLSSO6' 2"220Acworth, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2018

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+6.8, #28) · worst: 2018 (-9.2, #105)
-10-50+5FBS avg20182019202020212022202320242025#101
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far7-14-0#61+2.8+0.7+2.2
20254-83-5#101-6.1-2.4-3.7
20248-45-3#84-2.7-0.7-2.0
202313-18-0#28+6.8+7.5-0.7
20228-5—#73-1.3-0.4-0.9
20218-5—#39+5.0+2.5+2.5
202010-1—#41+3.5+2.7+0.8
20198-5—#95-5.10.0-5.1
20186-6—#105-9.2-0.5-8.7

Liberty's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →