The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 76Bowling Green | W 34–24 | +5.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 78New Mexico StateCONF | W 33–17 | +11.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 116Buffalo | W 55–27 | +18.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 38–6 | +14.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 21–16 | -7.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 69Jacksonville StateCONF | W 31–13 | +19.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 103Middle TennesseeCONF | W 42–35 | -1.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 66Western KentuckyCONF | W 42–29 | +15.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 120Louisiana TechCONF | W 56–30 | +11.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 94Old Dominion | W 38–10 | +17.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 128Massachusetts | W 49–25 | +8.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 121UTEPCONF | W 42–28 | +5.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 78New Mexico State | W 49–35 | +9.4 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 3OregonNEUTRAL | L 6–45 | -11.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 53.8% | 4th | 43.2% | 78th |
| Rushing success rate | 55.7% | 3rd | 47.9% | 114th |
| Passing success rate | 49.8% | 8th | 39.7% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 21.3% | 4th | 17.7% | 119th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.9% | 6th | 9.0% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.77 | 3rd | 3.26 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 48.9% | 3rd | 41.0% | 102nd |
| Stuff rate | 12.5% | 15th | 16.7% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 2.5% | 7th | 3.4% | 127th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 53.3% | 4th | 42.2% | 87th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.0% | 6th | 61.0% | 67th |
| Havoc rate | 5.0% | 6th | 9.3% | 40th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.3 | 9th | 23.9 | 51st |
| Yards / game | 499.1 | 4th | 372.6 | 60th |
| Yards / play | 7.12 | 4th | 5.57 | 75th |
| Pass yards / game | 205.9 | 90th | 245.3 | 119th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.51 | 4th | 7.07 | 54th |
| Completion % | 58.8% | 89th | 59.0% | 44th |
| Rush yards / game | 293.3 | 1st | 116.7 | 26th |
| Yards / carry | 6.13 | 2nd | 4.04 | 58th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.4% | 4th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.29 | 47th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.64 | 2nd | 1.79 | 96th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.5 | 119th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →