The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 44Wisconsin | L 17–38 | -15.1 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Fordham FCS | L 37–40 | -26.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 28Liberty | L 27–55 | -21.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 73Louisiana | L 38–45 | -5.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 131AkronCONF | W 13–10 | -9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 123Central MichiganCONF | W 37–13 | +10.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 76Bowling GreenCONF | L 14–24 | -14.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 133Kent StateCONF | W 24–6 | +2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 50ToledoCONF | L 13–31 | -12.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 62OhioCONF | L 10–20 | -12.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 10–23 | -8.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 21 | vs 124Eastern MichiganCONF | L 11–24 | -27.3 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.2% | 114th | 39.3% | 33rd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 65th | 37.5% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 32.3% | 127th | 41.5% | 73rd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.1% | 121st | 19.0% | 132nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.0% | 125th | 6.8% | 6th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 88th | 2.79 | 16th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.9% | 99th | 35.2% | 29th |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 72nd | 19.9% | 22nd |
| Sack rate | 3.5% | 20th | 4.8% | 101st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.9% | 97th | 34.3% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.9% | 66th | 62.9% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 120th | 10.7% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.8 | 111th | 27.4 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 318.8 | 115th | 367.1 | 55th |
| Yards / play | 4.52 | 124th | 5.66 | 85th |
| Pass yards / game | 185.3 | 108th | 177.5 | 23rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.64 | 128th | 6.87 | 42nd |
| Completion % | 53.8% | 119th | 63.3% | 105th |
| Rush yards / game | 133.6 | 94th | 179.9 | 115th |
| Yards / carry | 3.69 | 107th | 4.99 | 118th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.2% | 109th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.42 | 29th | 1.50 | 117th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.6 | 21st | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →