Final TDC rank
#50
of 133 FBS teams
Rating
+2.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.8
51st in FBS
Defense
+1.1
49th in FBS
Schedule
-6.4
128th toughest
Preseason
+0.4
rating going in
2023 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+2.9 now, +0.4 preseason · up 16 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 75Illinois | L 28–30 | -1.3 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Texas Southern FCS | W 71–3 | +16.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 59San José State | W 21–17 | +2.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 117Western MichiganCONF | W 49–31 | +5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 98Northern IllinoisCONF | W 35–33 | -5.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 128Massachusetts | W 41–24 | +6.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 112Ball StateCONF | W 13–6 | +1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | W 21–17 | +8.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 116BuffaloCONF | W 31–13 | +5.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 124Eastern MichiganCONF | W 49–23 | +10.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 14 | @ 76Bowling GreenCONF | W 32–31 | +1.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | W 32–17 | +6.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs56Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | L 14–23 | -7.0 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 71WyomingNEUTRAL | L 15–16 | -2.4 | — | CW |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 37th | 38.3% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.7% | 38th | 41.4% | 48th |
| Passing success rate | 44.2% | 38th | 35.1% | 11th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.0% | 30th | 13.1% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.8% | 25th | 8.4% | 21st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 33rd | 3.15 | 68th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 25th | 36.3% | 42nd |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 60th | 15.9% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 2.5% | 7th | 7.5% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.8% | 52nd | 39.7% | 59th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.9% | 17th | 51.2% | 17th |
| Havoc rate | 5.2% | 8th | 8.4% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.3 | 30th | 20.3 | 22nd |
| Yards / game | 419.1 | 39th | 331.8 | 27th |
| Yards / play | 6.43 | 15th | 4.76 | 18th |
| Pass yards / game | 220.6 | 69th | 164.3 | 13th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.19 | 30th | 6.23 | 12th |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 64th | 53.3% | 5th |
| Rush yards / game | 198.4 | 15th | 148.8 | 62nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.30 | 12th | 3.96 | 50th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.1% | 28th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.79 | 4th | 2.79 | 16th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.8 | 116th | — | — |
Players
75 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
75 players
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →