
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 91Boston College | W 27–24 | +1.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Southern Illinois FCS | L 11–14 | -26.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 63Nebraska | L 11–35 | -21.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 110Tulsa | L 14–22 | -18.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 50ToledoCONF | L 33–35 | +3.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 131AkronCONF | W 55–14 | +17.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 62OhioCONF | W 23–13 | +7.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 124Eastern MichiganCONF | W 20–13 | -7.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | L 31–37 | -14.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 112Ball StateCONF | L 17–20 | -14.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 117Western MichiganCONF | W 24–0 | +11.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 133Kent StateCONF | W 37–27 | -5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 88Arkansas StateNEUTRAL | W 21–19 | -2.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.5% | 65th | 40.9% | 48th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.4% | 53rd | 44.7% | 79th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 85th | 36.2% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 69th | 12.6% | 31st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 86th | 6.9% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.18 | 65th | 3.33 | 106th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.9% | 59th | 39.1% | 82nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.2% | 64th | 11.4% | 124th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 21st | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.2% | 36th | 40.4% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 124th | 67.6% | 101st |
| Havoc rate | 5.8% | 15th | 5.5% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.1 | 82nd | 20.9 | 27th |
| Yards / game | 369.4 | 77th | 321.0 | 23rd |
| Yards / play | 5.66 | 59th | 4.99 | 33rd |
| Pass yards / game | 189.8 | 105th | 160.9 | 10th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.74 | 95th | 6.31 | 13th |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 96th | 56.7% | 21st |
| Rush yards / game | 179.6 | 37th | 149.5 | 66th |
| Yards / carry | 5.00 | 22nd | 4.23 | 75th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 46th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 64th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 1.77 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.8 | 14th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →