The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 109San Diego State | L 13–20 | -12.3 | — | FS1 |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Long Island University FCS | W 27–10 | -6.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 97Florida Atlantic | W 17–10 | +4.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 34Iowa State | W 10–7 | +5.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 76Bowling GreenCONF | W 38–7 | +27.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 133Kent StateCONF | W 42–17 | +3.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 98Northern IllinoisCONF | L 13–23 | -12.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 117Western MichiganCONF | W 20–17 | -9.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 16–30 | -14.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 116BuffaloCONF | W 20–10 | +2.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 123Central MichiganCONF | W 34–20 | +0.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 131AkronCONF | W 25–14 | -1.6 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 90Georgia SouthernNEUTRAL | W 41–21 | +15.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 40th | 35.1% | 6th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 65th | 35.2% | 6th |
| Passing success rate | 46.6% | 21st | 34.9% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.3% | 115th | 10.4% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 97th | 7.5% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.98 | 100th | 2.52 | 4th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 93rd | 31.5% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 17.9% | 89th | 23.5% | 7th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 27th | 8.9% | 4th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.5% | 22nd | 33.3% | 15th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.2% | 110th | 44.4% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 7.5% | 52nd | 12.8% | 2nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.3 | 86th | 15.8 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 348.0 | 97th | 273.9 | 4th |
| Yards / play | 5.12 | 92nd | 4.61 | 12th |
| Pass yards / game | 203.6 | 95th | 167.2 | 15th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.91 | 87th | 6.40 | 16th |
| Completion % | 62.4% | 56th | 62.8% | 100th |
| Rush yards / game | 144.4 | 83rd | 91.2 | 8th |
| Yards / carry | 3.87 | 97th | 3.24 | 14th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.6% | 18th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 71st | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →