The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 28Liberty | L 24–34 | -0.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Eastern Illinois FCS | W 38–15 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 1Michigan | L 6–31 | +0.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 62OhioCONF | L 7–38 | -28.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 58Georgia Tech | W 38–27 | +14.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 0–27 | -20.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 116BuffaloCONF | W 24–14 | +2.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 131AkronCONF | W 41–14 | +7.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 112Ball StateCONF | W 24–21 | -8.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 133Kent StateCONF | W 49–19 | +10.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 50ToledoCONF | L 31–32 | -0.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 21 | @ 117Western MichiganCONF | W 34–10 | +16.7 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 74MinnesotaNEUTRAL | L 24–30 | -7.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.9% | 76th | 41.6% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.0% | 45th | 47.8% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 38.1% | 99th | 34.6% | 8th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.9% | 13th | 14.5% | 67th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 76th | 9.5% | 44th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.09 | 82nd | 3.46 | 118th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 55th | 42.1% | 111th |
| Stuff rate | 18.0% | 93rd | 9.0% | 132nd |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 7.8% | 18th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.4% | 101st | 36.6% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.0% | 53rd | 64.7% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 108th | 9.8% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.6 | 81st | 24.0 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 326.3 | 108th | 326.1 | 25th |
| Yards / play | 5.21 | 86th | 5.03 | 37th |
| Pass yards / game | 188.8 | 106th | 161.0 | 11th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.87 | 89th | 6.88 | 43rd |
| Completion % | 59.7% | 81st | 59.4% | 48th |
| Rush yards / game | 137.5 | 89th | 146.2 | 55th |
| Yards / carry | 4.17 | 81st | 4.05 | 59th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.1% | 115th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 74th | 2.54 | 31st |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.9 | 112th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →