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MAC · 2026

Bowling Green Falcons

Head coach Eddie George · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
2-72-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#127
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-18.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-12.0
133rd in FBS
Defense
-6.3
113th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.0
110th toughest
Projected
3.4-8.6
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-18.3 now, -15.8 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#127

Final record odds

3.4-8.6 expected · most likely 4-8 (44%)
10%2-1042%3-944%4-85-7

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jay Kastantin
QB · JR · 71st in FBS
1567yds
11 TD · 8 INT
Rushing
Austyn Dendy
RB · SO · 156th in FBS
371yds
104 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Winn Sharp
WR · SO · 233rd in FBS
314yds
28 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Dorian Pringle
LB · SO · 1st in FBS
87tkl
7.5 TFL
Sacks
Myles Bradley
DE · SR · 3rd in FBS
9sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Drey Braxton
DB · JR · 145th in FBS
1INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsTarleton State FCSL 13–20 ›-20.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12@20NebraskaL 7–56 ›-14.1—FS1
3Sep 19@51Iowa StateL 7–55 ›-23.8—ESPNU
4Sep 26vs74South FloridaL 6–14 ›-13.2—ESPN+
5Oct 3@97Miami (OH)CONFW 24–20 ›-0.4—ESPN+
6Oct 10vs138Sacramento StateCONFW 38–10 ›-5.8—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs131Ball StateCONFL 31–32 ›-25.1—ESPN+
8Oct 24@126BuffaloCONFL 24–31 ›-21.5—ESPN+
9Oct 31@82Western MichiganCONFL 10–23 ›-13.2—CBSSN
10—Bye
11Nov 10vs135Kent StateCONFBowling Green −9.0 · o/u 43.5—73%ESPNU
12Nov 20@77ToledoCONFToledo −19.9 · o/u 50.4—9%ESPN2
13Nov 28vs128MassachusettsCONFBowling Green −3.9 · o/u 44.0—60%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.009126th+0.13894th
Success rate39.9%102nd44.4%112th
Explosiveness1.110130th1.28394th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.5%98th45.3%117th
Rushing success rate38.6%115th48.0%127th
Passing success rate42.4%62nd41.3%80th
Explosive run rate9.4%126th14.9%103rd
Explosive pass rate8.3%112th11.0%91st
Line yards / carry2.79121st3.30116th
Opportunity rate33.9%121st42.7%128th
Stuff rate20.2%107th17.8%70th
Sack rate5.7%80th9.0%5th
3rd-down conversion44.0%43rd35.6%32nd
Red-zone TD rate47.4%121st56.0%55th
Havoc rate15.4%113th12.6%97th
Box score · season totals
Points / game17.8132nd29.0106th
Yards / game286.2136th377.991st
Yards / play4.70127th5.98117th
Pass yards / game176.3123rd165.910th
Yards / pass att.6.8098th7.4691st
Completion %65.7%40th64.5%107th
Rush yards / game109.9123rd212.0131st
Yards / carry3.30129th5.50133rd
3rd-down conv. %40.0%67th34.6%40th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.44100th1.1194th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th2.4443rd
Penalty yards / game47.735th53.678th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.6
134th of 138
YAC per catch
5.8
52nd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
7%
138th of 138
Shotgun
75%
130th of 138
No-huddle
21%
113th of 138
QB pressured
17%
28th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
67th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.7
37th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws209 throws charted

66% comp6.6 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch7% 20+ air yds11–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (9%), 18 caught (95%), 154 yds, 8.1 per throw1995% · 154yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (10%), 12 caught (57%), 130 yds, 6.2 per throw2157% · 130yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 30 yds, 3.3 per throw933% · 30yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 64 yds, 21.3 per throw333% · 64yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 59 yds, 9.8 per throw650% · 59yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 13 caught (76%), 99 yds, 5.8 per throw1776% · 99yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 8 caught (100%), 69 yds, 8.6 per throw8100% · 69yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 107 yds, 13.4 per throw875% · 107yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 115 yds, 14.4 per throw875% · 115yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 20 yds, 10.0 per throw250% · 20yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 31 yds, 10.3 per throw333% · 31yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (11%), 21 caught (91%), 97 yds, 4.2 per throw2391% · 97yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (13%), 18 caught (67%), 96 yds, 3.6 per throw2767% · 96yRight, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (11%), 18 caught (78%), 176 yds, 7.7 per throw2378% · 176yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 86 yds, 8.6 per throw1060% · 86yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 88 yds, 8.0 per throw1145% · 88yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 40 yds, 10.0 per throw425% · 40yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on174 throws charted

64% comp9.2 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds13–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 59 yds, 6.6 per throw989% · 59yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 16 caught (80%), 101 yds, 5.0 per throw2080% · 101yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (9%), 9 caught (60%), 80 yds, 5.3 per throw1560% · 80yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 56 yds, 8.0 per throw771% · 56yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 25 yds, 12.5 per throw250% · 25yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 44 yds, 7.3 per throw633% · 44yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 104 yds, 14.9 per throw743% · 104yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw5100% · 35yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 79 yds, 15.8 per throw5100% · 79yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 24 yds, 6.0 per throw450% · 24yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 55 yds, 11.0 per throw560% · 55yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 54 yds, 27.0 per throw2100% · 54yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 97 yds, 19.4 per throw540% · 97yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (10%), 15 caught (88%), 97 yds, 5.7 per throw1788% · 97yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 11 caught (69%), 69 yds, 4.3 per throw1669% · 69yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (13%), 13 caught (59%), 141 yds, 6.4 per throw2259% · 141yRight, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 9 caught (56%), 155 yds, 9.7 per throw1656% · 155yRight, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 50 yds, 8.3 per throw633% · 50yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw333% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction270 carries

Left
18%
5.8 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
61%
3.4 YPC · 32% succ.
Right
21%
3.8 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced316 carries

Left
23%
7.9 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
54%
5.4 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
23%
7.3 YPC · 51% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Eddie George

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Hunter NajmQBSO6' 1"190Aliso Viejo, CA
12Jarin MockQBFR6' 3"212Pickerington, OH
13Caleb MoyerQBFR6' 2"193Wapakoneta, OH
15Dylan DreaskyQBFR6' 2"197Linden, MI
16Austin NovosadQBJR6' 3"203Dripping Springs, TX
17Jay KastantinQBJR6' 4"235Needham, MA
1Austyn DendyRBSO6' 1"230Pine Bluff, AR
2Nakai AmachreeRBSO5' 10"195Haslett, MI
4Ke'Marion BaldwinRBJR5' 9"205St. Pauls, NC
20Marceles CareyRBFR5' 11"165DeLand, FL
21Carson LovettRBFR6' 1"220Detroit, MI
33Tristin BlackmonRBFR6' 1"220Prattville, AL
44Leo KempFBSR5' 11"239Paso Robles, CA
3Trey JohnsonWRSR6' 0"200Frankfort, IL
5Brennan RidleyWRJR5' 11"177Richmond, VA
6Isaiah DawsonWRSO5' 8"192Garner, NC
9Nick SowellWRSR6' 5"205Irmo, SC
11Austin ClayWRSO6' 0"175Cleveland, OH
14Pauly SadlerWRFR6' 1"190Cleveland, OH
18Winn SharpWRSO6' 5"200Whitehouse, OH
19Joseph SaffoldWRFR6' 1"185Cleveland, OH
25Cade BrooksWRFR5' 11"190Portland, TN
82Maddox HunstadWRFR6' 5"197Saint Augustine, FL
83Pierce St GemeWRSO5' 11"186San Francisco, CA
87Reddik PillarelliWRSO6' 0"195Holland, OH
0Jeremiah ScobyTESO6' 3"218Dickinson, TX
8Eli Jacon-DuffyTESO6' 4"245Pleasant Plain, OH
80Ocean BrabbsTESO6' 3"213Ann Arbor, MI
84Trent TaylorTEFR6' 5"260Perry, OH
85Reece LittleTEFR6' 3"230Findlay, OH
86Derron Gray Jr.TEFR6' 4"230Columbus, OH
88Carsen MelvinTEFR6' 3"225Westfield, IN
89Blane CleaverTESR6' 2"235Berwick, PA
59John KolarchickOLFR6' 6"320Troy, MI
61Pete PendergestOLFR6' 5"285Hamilton, OH
64MJ DillardOLSO6' 5"280Buford, GA
65Gabe FunkOLSO6' 6"320Xenia, OH
71Travis RobertsonOLFR6' 7"310Farmington Hills, MI
75Maddux MurphyOLFR6' 6"310Saint Joseph, MI
76Theo AndallOLFR6' 3"295London, England
50Vincent GiordanoOTFR6' 5"310West Chester, OH
58Ethan KraatzOTFR6' 4"310Saginaw, MI
66Zane PanchulaOTFR6' 5"305Rockford, MI
70Alex HarrisOTSO6' 5"320Cleveland, OH
54Brody BolynCJR6' 3"310Uniondale, IN
4Kade KostusDLSR6' 2"265Rockford, MI
28Samuel DossousDLFR6' 3"230Massillon, OH
52Elijah Durham-SmithDLFR6' 2"250Pickerington, OH
55Timothy Taylor Jr.DLFR6' 0"275Starke, FL
56John Baker IVDLFR6' 5"210Clinton Township, MI
58Kore ThomasDLFR6' 1"320Forney, TX
88Selah BrownDLSR6' 2"295Louisville, KY
90Bryce BrewsterDLFR6' 3"245Cincinnati, OH
93Trent MerrellDLFR6' 3"250Elyria, OH
96Cameron SimmonsDLFR6' 3"240Sugar Hill, GA
5Eriq GeorgeDESR6' 3"300Nashville, TN
17Jaimion OlversonDEFR6' 3"280Cincinnati, OH
23Myles BradleyDESR6' 0"230Mansfield, OH
48Quentin LewisDEFR6' 2"240Snellville, GA
54Dior GarnerDTFR6' 3"285Canton, OH
95Jonathan HendrixDTFR6' 2"285Mason, OH
99Brendon RiceDTFR6' 2"315Farmington Hills, MI
3Dorian PringleLBSO6' 0"225Akron, OH
6Sanders EllisLBJR6' 2"250Nashville, TN
8Cashmire LewisLBFR6' 4"215Hartford, CT
10Andrew Hines IIILBSO6' 1"230Alpharetta, GA
20Darian HawkinsLBFR6' 4"217Culver City, CA
30Caden CarterLBFR6' 1"215Norton, OH
36Jabari MitchellLBJR6' 3"225Reynoldsburg, OH
39Henry ReifschneiderLBSO6' 0"212Waynesville, OH
44AJ OdomLBSR6' 3"235Oakman, AL
45Kingston SealsLBFR6' 2"230Maple Heights, OH
50Jonathan GoinsLBSO6' 1"220Pine Bluff, AR
1Drey BraxtonDBJR5' 10"175Highland Springs, VA
11Armahn HaleDBSR5' 11"213Akron, OH
13Chris Newell Jr.DBFR5' 10"182Cleveland, OH
14JayT JacksonDBSR6' 1"179Columbus, GA
21Cedarius ChristianDBFR6' 1"190Dundee, FL
22Julian HoltDBFR6' 1"200Jacksonville, FL
2JoJo JohnsonCBSR6' 0"188Merrillville, IN
18Nick SawyerCBSR5' 11"178Harvest, AL
26Josira AndrewsCBSO5' 10"180Brooklyn, NY
32Rico GarciaCBFR5' 10"180Tampa, FL
37Garrison BlairCBSO5' 10"185Carrollton, TX
0Kal-El PascalSJR6' 0"190Miami, FL
9Preston EstoEstaSSO6' 1"190Mason, OH
15D'kyah BanksSSO6' 5"185Atlanta, GA
19Jahai JohnsonSFR6' 1"200Piscataway, NJ
24DeVenchi Arnold IISFR6' 1"190District Heights, MD
12Travis KennerPKJR5' 10"178Temperance, MI
27Treyton McKeePKFR5' 11"192Lancaster, OH
95Carlos GuerraPKFR5' 8"175Brentwood, TN
97Drew RosickPKFR6' 1"180Armada, MI
30Ryan KingstonPSR6' 6"220South Bend, IN
91Alex JenkinsPFR6' 1"225Fishers, IN
52Quinn ForsytheLSFR6' 2"180Manhattan, IL
56Quillan JimenezLSJR6' 2"220Tampa, FL
73Caden CampbellGSO6' 4"295Rochester, MI
77James Thomas Jr.GJR6' 5"295Fairfield, OH
78Alexis SanchezGSR6' 3"335Glendale, AZ

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+7.0, #31) · worst: 2020 (-21.2, #128)
-20-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#113
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-72-3#127-18.3-12.0-6.3
20254-82-6#113-8.7-6.7-2.0
20247-66-2#68+0.4-0.9+1.3
20237-65-3#76-1.9-1.0-1.0
20226-75-3#122-10.9-4.4-6.5
20214-82-6#117-11.4-7.7-3.8
20200-50-5#128-21.2-13.9-7.3
20193-92-6#126-17.1-11.3-5.8
20183-92-6#125-14.4-4.9-9.5
20172-102-6#115-11.9-1.7-10.3
20164-83-5#107-9.0-3.2-5.8
201510-47-1#31+7.0+8.8-1.8
20148-65-3#91-5.4-0.8-4.5

Bowling Green's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →