The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 42Oregon | L 24–58 | -20.9 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 61Maryland | L 14–45 | -27.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 42–35 | -16.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 74Miami (OH)CONF | L 23–38 | -18.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 53Georgia Tech | L 17–63 | -27.0 | — | ACCNX |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 58ToledoCONF | L 36–52 | -11.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 93Western MichiganCONF | L 35–42 | -14.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 32OhioCONF | L 14–49 | -19.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | vs 124Kent StateCONF | L 28–35 | -23.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 122Central MichiganCONF | W 24–13 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 108AkronCONF | W 21–6 | +7.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 52BuffaloCONF | L 14–44 | -26.3 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.4% | 98th | 49.8% | 122nd |
| Rushing success rate | 37.2% | 118th | 57.1% | 128th |
| Passing success rate | 43.1% | 49th | 36.5% | 27th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 85th | 20.1% | 125th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.4% | 111th | 13.3% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.69 | 108th | 3.71 | 129th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.1% | 112th | 50.4% | 129th |
| Stuff rate | 22.3% | 110th | 11.5% | 130th |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 82nd | 5.7% | 70th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.8% | 57th | 45.5% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.6% | 57th | 85.1% | 129th |
| Havoc rate | 16.1% | 116th | 9.4% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.3 | 104th | 40.0 | 111th |
| Yards / game | 355.3 | 106th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.01 | 105th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 238.7 | 60th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.07 | 86th | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 44th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 116.6 | 118th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.35 | 122nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 66th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 83rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.7 | 105th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jarret Doege | QB | ||||
| 13 | Grant Loy | QB | ||||
| 1 | Andrew Clair | RB | ||||
| 6 | Ra'veion Hargrove | RB | ||||
| 7 | Bryson Denley | RB | ||||
| 24 | Charles Lamar | RB | ||||
| 28 | Rico Frye | RB | ||||
| R Hargrove | RB | |||||
| 3 | RB Marlow III | WR | ||||
| 5 | Noah Massey | WR | ||||
| 11 | Neiko Creamer | WR | ||||
| 12 | Jordan Wayne-Prather | WR | ||||
| 16 | Colin DeBord | WR | ||||
| 18 | Malik Wooldridge | WR | ||||
| 21 | Scotty Miller | WR | ||||
| 47 | Dorian Hendrix | WR | ||||
| 83 | Justin Sawmiller | WR | ||||
| 89 | Deric Phouthavong | WR | ||||
| 80 | Quintin Morris | TE | ||||
| 84 | Tyler Traylor | TE | ||||
| 75 | Jordan Murphy | OL | ||||
| 54 | Nico Lautanen | DL | ||||
| 56 | Walter Haire | DL | ||||
| Roland Walder | DL | |||||
| Karl Brooks | DL | |||||
| Jevon Henderson | DL | |||||
| 1 | Brandon Harris | DE | ||||
| 11 | Karl Brooks | DE | ||||
| 41 | Romeo Masuku | DE | ||||
| 96 | Josh Croslen | DE | ||||
| 95 | Kyle Junior | DT | ||||
| DeMontae Haigler | DT | |||||
| 3 | Evan Brown | LB | ||||
| 15 | Eldridge Salguero | LB | ||||
| 24 | Keith Simms | LB | ||||
| 26 | Hassan Belton | LB | ||||
| 28 | Jerry Judd III | LB | ||||
| 55 | Kholbe Coleman | LB | ||||
| 2 | Clint Stephens | DB | ||||
| 3 | Darius Wortham | DB | ||||
| 4 | Fred Garth | DB | ||||
| 11 | Cedric Mitchell | DB | ||||
| 13 | Jamari Bozeman | DB | ||||
| 14 | Marcus Milton | DB | ||||
| 16 | James Harris Jr. | DB | ||||
| 22 | Robert Jackson Jr. | DB | ||||
| 31 | Jerry McBride III | DB | ||||
| 37 | Melvin Jackson III | DB | ||||
| 1 | Caleb Biggers | CB | ||||
| 25 | Jai Nunn-Liddell | CB | ||||
| 12 | Nate Needham | PK | ||||
| 31 | Mason Lawler | PK | ||||
| 96 | Matt Naranjo | P | ||||
| 98 | Grant Tinnerman | P | ||||
| 39 | Matt Oliveira | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →