MAC · 2018 · Final

Bowling Green Falcons 2018

3-92-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#125
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-14.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.9
107th in FBS
Defense
-9.5
126th in FBS
Schedule
-3.8
92nd toughest
Preseason
-6.1
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-14.4 now, -6.1 preseason · down 12 spots since preseason
-20-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#125

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1@42OregonL 24–58-20.9—PACN
2Sep 8vs61MarylandL 14–45-27.7—ESPN+
3Sep 15vsEastern Kentucky FCSW 42–35-16.8—ESPN3
4Sep 22vs74Miami (OH)CONFL 23–38-18.0—ESPN+
5Sep 29@53Georgia TechL 17–63-27.0—ACCNX
6Oct 6@58ToledoCONFL 36–52-11.9—ESPN+
7Oct 13vs93Western MichiganCONFL 35–42-14.1—ESPN+
8Oct 20@32OhioCONFL 14–49-19.7—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Oct 30vs124Kent StateCONFL 28–35-23.0—ESPNU
11Nov 10@122Central MichiganCONFW 24–13+0.2—ESPN+
12Nov 17@108AkronCONFW 21–6+7.3—ESPN3
13Nov 23vs52BuffaloCONFL 14–44-26.3—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%98th49.8%122nd
Rushing success rate37.2%118th57.1%128th
Passing success rate43.1%49th36.5%27th
Explosive run rate13.6%85th20.1%125th
Explosive pass rate8.4%111th13.3%109th
Line yards / carry2.69108th3.71129th
Opportunity rate34.1%112th50.4%129th
Stuff rate22.3%110th11.5%130th
Sack rate6.8%82nd5.7%70th
3rd-down conversion41.8%57th45.5%110th
Red-zone TD rate65.6%57th85.1%129th
Havoc rate16.1%116th9.4%124th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.3104th40.0111th
Yards / game355.3106th——
Yards / play5.01105th——
Pass yards / game238.760th——
Yards / pass att.7.0786th——
Completion %61.7%44th——
Rush yards / game116.6118th——
Yards / carry3.35122nd——
3rd-down conv. %39.0%66th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.4283rd——
Penalty yards / game65.7105th——

Players

56 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

56 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →